Angelique Kerber and Elise Mertens will square off in the 3rd round of Wimbledon for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 3:00 pm on Court 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Angelique Kerber who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Angelique Kerber is the pick to win this match.
Angelique Kerber -> 1.36
Elise Mertens -> 3.38
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Prediction and head to head Angelique Kerber vs. Elise Mertens
This will be the 2nd time that Angelique Kerber and Elise Mertens square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Mertens (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on grass.
The last time that they competed against each other, Mertens won 6-4 2-6 6-1 in the semifinal in Doha back in 2019.
Angelique Kerber
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10-15 | 4-7 | 6-4 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 13-11 | 2-4 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-16 | 14-8 | 4-4 | 1-2 | 11-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 7-6 | 7-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 19, Angelique reached the 3rd round after beating Kristina Mladenovic 6-0 7-5 and Magda Linette 6-3 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Kerber had a good straight sets win against Linette (6-3 6-3). During the match, Kerber scored 78 points vs Linette’s 62. The German was quite aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about the service games, Kerber scored just 1 ace during the encounter and she committed only 2 double faults. Angelique Kerber lost the serve once and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Kerber put 73% of her first serves in, winning 63% (30/48) of the points behind her 1st serve and 67% (12/18) on the 2nd serve. Kerber broke Linette 4 times after converting 31% of her break points (4/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Kerber hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to win 57% of the points she played.
Kerber has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 67% of her matches (361-181). 4-1 on grass in 2022. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Kerber has an overall 62-17 win-loss record in the last years on grass.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in in Strasbourg where she beat Kaja Juvan in the final 7-6(5) 6-7(0) 7-6(5).
Kerber has an aggregate 13-10 win-loss record in 2022, 4-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Elise Mertens
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27-25 | 17-15 | 6-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-22 | 24-16 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-23 | 19-14 | 4-3 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-20 | 20-10 | 9-5 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 34-13 | 17-7 | 9-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 31, Mertens reached the 3rd round after defeating Maria Camila Osorio Serrano 1-6 6-2 4-2 ret. and Panna Udvardy 3-6 7-65 7-5.
In the 2nd round against Udvardy, Mertens recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-65 7-5). During the match Mertens scored 133 points vs Udvardy’s 132. Elise was exceptionally aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Talking about serving, Mertens blasted 3 aces and she was not very consistent on her 2nd serve to score 10 double faults. Elise Mertens lost the serve 5 times and she saved 11 break points. Furthermore, Mertens put 56% of her first serves in, winning 64% (44/69) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (27/54) on the 2nd serve. Elise broke Udvardy 5 times after converting 25% of her break points (5/20).
Elise has a compiled 16-13 win-loss record in 2022, 3-3 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Previously, her best result was reaching the 4th round in 2019. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kerber | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 36 | 55 |
| Pts | 139-107 | 205-199 |
| Total Points | 246 | 404 |
| Winners | 53 | 65 |
| %Winners | 38% | 32% |
Both Kerber and Mertens played 2 matches. At the moment, Elise Mertens lost 2 sets while Angelique Kerber hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Kerber has played 3 set(s) less than Mertens (4 vs 7). Therefore, Kerber played 19 games less than Mertens. Kerber scored 53 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Elise fired 65 winners (32%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kerber | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 1.5 |
| 1st in | 81/117 | 104/190 |
| %1st in | 69% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 53/81 | 65/104 |
| %1st pts | 65% | 63% |
| 2nd pts | 22/36 | 43/86 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 50% |
Kerber struck 2 aces (1 per match). Mertens struck 3 aces (1.5 per match). Kerber won 65% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Mertens won 63% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kerber | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 10 |
| Converted | 9/23 | 10/30 |
| % Converted | 39% | 33% |
| Conceded | 9 | 27 |
| Saved | 7 | 18 |
| % Saved | 78% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 9 |
The German broke her opponents 9 times with a 39% conversion rate. The German surrendered her serve twice and she saved 78% of the break points that she conceded. Elise broke her opponents 10 times with a 33% conversion rate. Elise conceded her serve 9 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.
| Kerber | ||||
| R1 Mladenovic |
R2 Linette |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 7-5 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | 36 | |
| pts | 61-45 | 78-62 | 139-107 | |
| Total points | 106 | 140 | 246 | |
| Winners | 23 | 30 | 53 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 33/51 | 48/66 | 81/117 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 73% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 23/33 | 30/48 | 53/81 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 63% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/18 | 12/18 | 22/36 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 67% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 4/13 | 9/23 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 31% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 4/5 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 80% | 78% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Mertens | ||||
| R1 Camila Osorio Serrano |
R2 Udvardy |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1-6 6-2 4-2 ret. | 3-6 7-65 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 34 | 55 | |
| pts | 72-67 | 133-132 | 205-199 | |
| Total points | 139 | 265 | 404 | |
| Winners | 21 | 44 | 65 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 33% | 32% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 10 | 16 | |
| 1st in | 35/67 | 69/123 | 104/190 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 56% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 21/35 | 44/69 | 65/104 | |
| % 1st pts | 60% | 64% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/32 | 27/54 | 43/86 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 5/20 | 10/30 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 25% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 16 | 27 | |
| Saved | 7/11 | 11/16 | 18 | |
| Saved % | 64% | 69% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLLLLLW
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Upcoming matches in the draw
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- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Alize CornetCornet (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic – Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Elena RybakinaRybakina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Petra MarticMartic – Jessica PegulaPegula (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Petra KvitovaKvitova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Magdalena FrechFrech – Simona HalepHalep (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Harmony TanTan – Katie BoulterBoulter (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marie BouzkovaBouzkova – Alison RiskeRiske (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Shuai ZhangZhang – Caroline GarciaGarcia (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Angelique KerberKerber – Elise MertensMertens (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Diane ParryParry – Ons JabeurJabeur (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Tatjana MariaMaria (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Irina-Camelia BeguBegu – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Heather WatsonWatson – Kaja JuvanJuvan (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko – Jule NiemeierNiemeier (0-0) – H2H and prediction
