Carlos Alcaraz and Oscar Otte will square off in the 3rd round of Wimbledon for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 5:00 pm on Court 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 4 sets.

As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.32
Oscar Otte -> 3.65

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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Oscar Otte

There is no head to head record between Carlos Alcaraz and Oscar Otte since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Carlos Alcaraz

Carlos Alcaraz

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
1
High
1
LWWWWLWWWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 71-9 28-4 22-1 10-3 11-1 0-0
2024 54-13 22-5 17-4 7-3 8-1 0-0
2023 65-12 26-6 25-3 2-3 12-0 0-0
2022 57-13 21-4 27-4 6-4 3-1 0-0
2021 48-19 15-8 22-7 10-3 1-1 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 7, Alcaraz reached the 3rd round after beating Jan-Lennard Struff 4-6 7-5 4-6 7-63 6-4 and Tallon Griekspoor 6-4 7-60 6-3.

In the 2nd round, Carlos had a good straight sets win against Griekspoor (6-4 7-60 6-3). During the match, Alcaraz scored 103 points vs Griekspoor’s 82. Alcaraz was exceptionally aggressive to blast 48 winners.

Regarding the service games, Alcaraz struck 9 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Carlos Alcaraz was quite effective on serve to win 81% (48/59) of his 1st serve and 61% (25/41) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Alcaraz broke Griekspoor 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Spaniard has lost 2 set in this event to conquer 52% of the points he played.

Alcaraz has a fantastic record in the last 5 years having won 78% of his matches (145-42). 2-0 on grass in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Alcaraz has a compiled3-1 match record in the last 5 years on grass.

His best result of the year was conquering the title in in Rio de Janeiro where he defeated Diego Sebastian Schwartzman in the final 6-4 6-2 and in in Miami where he defeated Casper Ruud in the final 7-5 6-4 and in in Barcelona where he defeated Pablo Carreno-Busta in the final 6-3 6-2 and in in Madrid where he overcame Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 6-1.

The Spaniard has a composed 34-4 win-loss record in 2022, 2-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Wimbledon
Alcaraz's Record

Oscar Otte

Oscar Otte

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
821
High
36
LWWWLWWWLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 9-5 0-0 9-5 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 4-7 0-0 0-1 2-4 2-2 0-0
2023 15-24 6-10 3-6 1-4 4-3 1-1
2022 26-31 7-9 7-6 5-13 7-3 0-0
2021 48-20 14-3 17-12 8-3 4-1 5-1
See all years

Ranked no. 36 (career-high), Otte got to the 3rd round after beating Peter Gojowczyk 6-1 6-2 6-1 and Christian Harrison 3-1 ret..

In the 2nd round, The German had a good straight sets win against Harrison (3-1 ret.). During the match Otte scored 15 points vs Harrison’s 9. Otte was exceptionally aggressive to blast 5 winners.

About the serving games, Otte made 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Oscar Otte was pretty efficient on serve to win 100% (5/5) of his 1st serve and 60% (3/5) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Otte broke Harrison once after converting 33% of his break points (1/3).

Otte’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Munich, Stuttgart and Halle.

Otte has an aggregate 21-17 win-loss record in 2022, 7-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2021. See his history.

Wimbledon
Otte's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

C.Alcaraz
O.Otte
!
6h:17
6h:17
Time on court​
1h:33
1h:33
!
2h:06
2h:06
Last match​
!
0h:15
0h:15
2
2
Match played
2
2
87
87
Games Played​
26
26
8
8
Set played​​
5
5
295
295
Total points​
104
104
147.5
147.5
Avg point​
52
52
132
132
Winners
36
36
66
66
Avg Winners​
18
18
45%
45%
Ratio winners
35%
35%
-- Serve --
39
39
Aces
9
9
!
19.5
19.5
Avg Aces
4.5
4.5
11
11
Double Faults
12
12
!
5.5
5.5
Avg Double Faults
!
6
6
132/170
132/170
1st won total​
36/43
36/43
!
78%
78%
1st won %
!
84%
84%
58/100
58/100
2nd won total​
22/40
22/40
58%
58%
2nd won %
55%
55%
-- Break Points --
5/23
5/23
BP won
8/12
8/12
2.5/11.5
2.5/11.5
Avg BP won
4/6
4/6
!
22%
22%
Won
!
67%
67%
14
14
Conceded
1
1
7
7
Avg Conceded
0.5
0.5
3
3
Broken
0
0
1.5
1.5
Avg Broken
!
0
0
11
11
Saved
1
1
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Alcaraz Otte
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 8 5
Tot Games 87 26
Pts 295-270 104-64
Total Points 565 168
Winners 132 36
%Winners 45% 35%

Both Alcaraz and Otte played 2 matches. At the moment, Carlos Alcaraz dropped 2 sets while Oscar Otte hasn’t lost a set so far. Alcaraz has played 3 sets more than Otte (8 vs 5). Therefore, Alcaraz played 61 games more than Otte. The Spaniard scored 132 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Otte made 36 winners (35%).

Serve Performance

Serve Alcaraz Otte
Aces 39 9
Avg per match 19.5 4.5
1st in 170/270 43/83
%1st in 63% 52%
1st pts 132/170 36/43
%1st pts 78% 84%
2nd pts 58/100 22/40
%2nd pts 58% 55%

Alcaraz fired 39 aces (19.5 per match). Otte scored 9 aces (4.5 per match). Alcaraz won 78% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Otte won 84% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Alcaraz Otte
Won 5 8
Converted 5/23 8/12
% Converted 22% 67%
Conceded 14 1
Saved 11 1
% Saved 79% 100%
Times Broken 3 0

Carlos broke his opponents 5 times with a 22% conversion rate. Carlos surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 79% of the break points that he conceded. Oscar broke his opponents 8 times with a 67% conversion rate. The German was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 1 break points.

Alcaraz
R1
Struff		 R2
Griekspoor		 Total
Score 4-6 7-5 4-6 7-63 6-4 6-4 7-60 6-3
Tot Set 5 3 8
Tot Games 55 32 87
pts 192-188 103-82 295-270
Total points 380 185 565
Winners 84 48 132
%Winners 44% 47% 45%
SERVE
Aces 30 9 39
Double Faults 7 4 11
1st in 111/170 59/100 170/270
% 1st in 65% 59% 63%
1st pts 84/111 48/59 132/170
% 1st pts 76% 81% 78%
2nd pts 33/59 25/41 58/100
% 2nd pts 56% 61% 58%
Breaks
Won 2 3 5
Converted 2/14 3/9 5/23
Converted % 14% 33% 22%
Conceded 8 6 14
Saved 6/8 5/6 11
Saved % 75% 83% 79%
Times Broken 2 1 3
Otte
R1
Gojowczyk		 R2
Harrison		 Total
Score 6-1 6-2 6-1 3-1 ret.
Tot Set 3 1 4
Tot Games 22 4 26
pts 89-55 15-9 104-64
Total points 144 24 168
Winners 31 5 36
%Winners 35% 33% 35%
SERVE
Aces 5 4 9
Double Faults 10 2 12
1st in 38/73 5/10 43/83
% 1st in 52% 50% 52%
1st pts 31/38 5/5 36/43
% 1st pts 82% 100% 84%
2nd pts 19/35 3/5 22/40
% 2nd pts 54% 60% 55%
Breaks
Won 7 1 8
Converted 7/9 1/3 8/12
Converted % 78% 33% 67%
Conceded 1 0 1
Saved 1/1 0/0 1
Saved % 100% – 50%
Times Broken 0 0 0

Tennis Scores – Wimbledon

Upcoming matches in the draw

Alcaraz
More Stats
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Otte

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