Federico Coria and Alexander Shevchenko will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Milan Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 3:30 pm on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Federico Coria who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Federico Coria is the pick to win this match.
Federico Coria -> 1.444
Alexander Shevchenko -> 2.77
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Prediction and head to head Federico Coria vs. Alexander Shevchenko
There is no head to head record between Federico Coria and Alexander Shevchenko since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Federico Coria
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18-15 | 0-1 | 18-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-35 | 0-3 | 45-31 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-29 | 3-8 | 35-20 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-32 | 2-5 | 39-26 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-31 | 2-7 | 40-20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 70, Coria reached the semifinal after beating Pedja Krstin 6-1 6-1, Joris De Loore 6-2 6-0 and Luciano Darderi 6-2 4-0 ret..
In the quarter, Federico had a good straight sets win against Darderi (6-2 4-0 ret.). During the match, Coria scored 51 points vs Darderi’s 30. Coria was quite aggressive to blast 17 winners.
Talking about the service games, Coria was unable to score even 1 ace and he committed only 2 double faults. Federico Coria was very efficient on serve to win 71% (17/24) of his 1st serve and 75% (12/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Coria broke Darderi 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Federico hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to win 71% of the points he played.
Coria has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (446-264). 17-14 on clay in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Coria has an overall 434-231 match record in the last years on clay.
Federico’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Marrakech.
The Argentine has a compiled 18-17 win-loss record in 2022, 17-14 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Milan Challenger
Alexander Shevchenko
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 20-24 | 3-7 | 16-14 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 22-35 | 8-13 | 6-12 | 7-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-34 | 16-15 | 19-13 | 10-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-33 | 2-4 | 41-23 | 7-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 49-27 | 8-4 | 33-17 | 8-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 173 (career-high), Shevchenko got to the semifinal after beating Aldin Setkic 6-1 6-2, Giovanni Fonio 6-3 7-63 and Shintaro Mochizuki 6-3 6-1.
In the quarter, Shevchenko had a good straight sets win against Mochizuki (6-3 6-1). During the match Shevchenko scored 65 points vs Mochizuki’s 42. Shevchenko was exceptionally aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about serving, Shevchenko scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Alexander Shevchenko lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Shevchenko put 76% of his first serves in, winning 59% (24/41) of the points behind his 1st serve and 85% (11/13) on the 2nd serve. Alexander broke Mochizuki 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alexander hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.
Shevchenko’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M25 Antalya and the Bratislava Challenger.
The Russian has an aggregate 34-14 win-loss record in 2022, 32-12 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Milan Challenger
The Russian has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Coria | Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 40 | 53 |
| Pts | 153-71 | 198-140 |
| Total Points | 224 | 338 |
| Winners | 60 | 70 |
| %Winners | 39% | 35% |
Both Coria and Shevchenko played 3 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Coria has played 1 set more than Shevchenko (7 vs 6). However, it’s interesting to notice that Coria played 13 games less than Shevchenko. Federico scored 60 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian recorded 70 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Coria | Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 3.7 | 2 |
| 1st in | 75/111 | 110/173 |
| %1st in | 68% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 60/75 | 70/110 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 64% |
| 2nd pts | 23/36 | 38/63 |
| %2nd pts | 64% | 60% |
Coria blasted 11 aces (3.7 per match). Shevchenko bagged 6 aces (2 per match). Coria won 80% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Shevchenko won 64% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Coria | Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 15 | 15 |
| Converted | 15/21 | 15/21 |
| % Converted | 71% | 71% |
| Conceded | 4 | 13 |
| Saved | 3 | 8 |
| % Saved | 75% | 62% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 5 |
Federico broke his opponents 15 times with a 71% conversion rate. Federico dropped his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. The Russian broke his opponents 15 times with a 71% conversion rate. Alexander conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 62% of the break points that he conceded.
| Coria | |||||
| R1 Krstin |
R2 De Loore |
1/4 Darderi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-1 | 6-2 6-0 | 6-2 4-0 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 14 | 12 | 40 | |
| pts | 51-17 | 51-24 | 51-30 | 153-71 | |
| Total points | 68 | 75 | 81 | 224 | |
| Winners | 20 | 23 | 17 | 60 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 45% | 33% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 7 | 4 | 0 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 21/33 | 30/38 | 24/40 | 75/111 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 79% | 60% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 20/21 | 23/30 | 17/24 | 60/75 | |
| % 1st pts | 95% | 77% | 71% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/12 | 3/8 | 12/16 | 23/36 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 38% | 75% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 4 | 15 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 6/8 | 4/6 | 15/21 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 75% | 67% | 71% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0/1 | 3/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | 100% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Shevchenko | |||||
| R1 Setkic |
R2 Fonio |
1/4 Mochizuki |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | 6-3 7-63 | 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 22 | 16 | 53 | |
| pts | 59-38 | 74-60 | 65-42 | 198-140 | |
| Total points | 97 | 134 | 107 | 338 | |
| Winners | 28 | 18 | 24 | 70 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 24% | 37% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 41/57 | 28/62 | 41/54 | 110/173 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 45% | 76% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 28/41 | 18/28 | 24/41 | 70/110 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 64% | 59% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/16 | 19/34 | 11/13 | 38/63 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 56% | 85% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 5 | 15 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 5/6 | 5/9 | 15/21 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 83% | 56% | 71% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 1/4 | 4/5 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 25% | 80% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWLLWLW
LLLWWWLWWL Tennis Scores in Milan Challenger
- Francesco PassaroPassaro – Viktor DurasovicDurasovic (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Matteo GiganteGigante (7-65 6-2) – See score progression
- Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Shintaro MochizukiMochizuki (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Federico CoriaCoria – Luciano DarderiDarderi (6-2 4-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Luciano Darderi/Fernando RomboliDarderi/Fernando Romboli – Piotr Matuszewski/Andrew PaulsonMatuszewski/Andrew Paulson (4-6 6-2 10-8) – See score progression
- Diego Hidalgo/Cristian RodriguezHidalgo/Cristian Rodriguez – Treat Conrad Huey/Franko SkugorConrad Huey/Franko Skugor (4-6 6-3 10-7) – See score progression
- Grigoriy Lomakin/Vladyslav ManafovLomakin/Vladyslav Manafov – Alexey Vatutin/Tristan-Samuel WeissbornVatutin/Tristan-Samuel Weissborn (7-64 7-62) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Federico CoriaCoria – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francesco PassaroPassaro – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
