Jelena Ostapenko and Madison Keys will play each other in the 3rd round of the Viking International for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 3:30 pm on Court 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Madison Keys who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Madison Keys is the pick to win this match.
Madison Keys -> 1.71
Jelena Ostapenko -> 2.19
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Prediction and head to head Jelena Ostapenko vs. Madison Keys
This will be the 3rd time that Jelena Ostapenko and Madison Keys clash against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Keys (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on grass.
The last time that they played, Keys won 7-5 6-2 in the 3rd round in Charleston back in 2019.
Jelena Ostapenko
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-19 | 14-10 | 8-6 | 4-0 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-22 | 21-15 | 7-4 | 1-1 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-19 | 19-10 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-19 | 12-9 | 5-4 | 7-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 14, Jelena reached the 3rd round after defeating Ajla Tomljanovic 6-4 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Ostapenko had a good straight sets win against Tomljanovic (6-4 6-4). During the match, Ostapenko scored 66 points vs Tomljanovic’s 57. The Latvian was very aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Talking about the service games, Ostapenko made 4 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Jelena Ostapenko lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Ostapenko put 56% of her first serves in, winning 70% (23/33) of the points behind her 1st serve and 58% (15/26) on the 2nd serve. Ostapenko broke Tomljanovic 4 times after converting 80% of her break points (4/5).
Ostapenko has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 61% of her matches (288-181). 2-1 on grass in 2022. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Ostapenko has a compiled 34-17 win-loss record in the last years on grass.
Her best result of the season was winning the title in in Dubai where she beat Veronika Kudermetova in the final 6-0 6-4.
Jelena has a compiled 17-10 win-loss record in 2022, 2-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Eastbourne
Madison Keys
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6-1 | 6-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 24-12 | 7-6 | 13-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-15 | 19-9 | 5-3 | 0-2 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-20 | 25-12 | 4-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-15 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 24, Keys got to the 3rd round after beating Lauren Davis 6-4 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Keys had a good straight sets win against Davis (6-4 6-3). During the match Keys scored 69 points vs Davis’s 54. The American was exceptionally aggressive to blast 26 winners.
About the serving games, Keys blasted 6 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Madison Keys lost the serve 4 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Keys put 70% of her first serves in, winning 67% (26/39) of the points behind her 1st serve and 29% (5/17) on the 2nd serve. Madison broke Davis 6 times after converting 55% of her break points (6/11).
Her best result of the current season was winning the title in in Adelaide where she overcame Alison Riske in the final 6-1 6-2.
Madison has an aggregate 19-10 win-loss record in 2022, 1-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Eastbourne
Previously, she won this tournament once in 2014. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ostapenko | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 19 |
| Pts | 66-57 | 69-54 |
| Total Points | 123 | 123 |
| Winners | 23 | 26 |
| %Winners | 35% | 38% |
Both Ostapenko and Keys played 1 match. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Ostapenko and Keys have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Ostapenko played 1 game more than Keys. Ostapenko scored 23 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, The American bagged 26 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ostapenko | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 6 |
| 1st in | 33/59 | 39/56 |
| %1st in | 56% | 70% |
| 1st pts | 23/33 | 26/39 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 15/26 | 5/17 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 29% |
Ostapenko made 4 aces . Keys made 6 aces . Ostapenko won 70% points on her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Keys won 67% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 29% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ostapenko | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 6 |
| Converted | 4/5 | 6/11 |
| % Converted | 80% | 55% |
| Conceded | 2 | 7 |
| Saved | 0 | 3 |
| % Saved | 0% | 43% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 |
Ostapenko broke her opponent 4 times with a 80% conversion rate. Jelena lost her serve twice and she saved 0% of the break points that she conceded. Madison broke her opponent 6 times with a 55% conversion rate. Madison conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 43% of the break points that she conceded.
| Ostapenko | |||
| R2 Tomljanovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 66-57 | 66-57 | |
| Total points | 123 | 123 | |
| Winners | 23 | 23 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 33/59 | 33/59 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 23/33 | 23/33 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/26 | 15/26 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 4/5 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 80% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 0/2 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Keys | |||
| R2 Davis |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 69-54 | 69-54 | |
| Total points | 123 | 123 | |
| Winners | 26 | 26 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 39/56 | 39/56 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 26/39 | 26/39 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 5/17 | 5/17 | |
| % 2nd pts | 29% | 29% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/11 | 6/11 | |
| Converted % | 55% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 3/7 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 43% | 43% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWL
WWWWLWW Tennis Scores in Eastbourne
- Viktoriya TomovaTomova – Shelby RogersRogers (4-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Anhelina KalininaKalinina – Maria SakkariSakkari (3-6 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Kirsten FlipkensFlipkens – Elise MertensMertens (6-2 2-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko – Elena RybakinaRybakina (1-6 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Camila GiorgiGiorgi – Rebecca MarinoMarino (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Katie BoulterBoulter – Karolina PliskovaPliskova (1-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Kaia KanepiKanepi (6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Jodie Anna BurrageAnna Burrage – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Madison KeysKeys – Lauren DavisDavis (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Petra KvitovaKvitova – Donna VekicVekic (6-1 7-61) – See score progression
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Magda LinetteLinette – Alison RiskeRiske (6-73 6-3 7-64) – See score progression
- Garbine MuguruzaMuguruza – Magdalena FrechFrech (6-1 7-67) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Tomas BerdychBerdych (1-6 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- John IsnerIsner – Leonardo MayerMayer (6-0 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Fabio FogniniFognini (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Rafael NadalNadal – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Aljaz BedeneBedene (6-0 4-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Nick KyrgiosKyrgios – Mischa ZverevZverev (3-6 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Steve DarcisDarcis – Dusan LajovicLajovic (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Juan Martin Del PotroMartin Del Potro (7-66 7-5) – See score progression
- Jodie Anna BurrageAnna Burrage – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jil TeichmannTeichmann – Harriet DartDart (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jodie Anna BurrageAnna Burrage – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko – Magda LinetteLinette (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Katie BoulterBoulter – Petra KvitovaKvitova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Madison KeysKeys (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Garbine MuguruzaMuguruza – Camila GiorgiGiorgi (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Kirsten FlipkensFlipkens – Viktoriya TomovaTomova (2-0) – H2H and prediction
