Mohamed Safwat and Federico Arnaboldi will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Milan Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 10:30 am on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mohamed Safwat who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Mohamed Safwat is the pick to win this match.
Mohamed Safwat -> 1.71
Federico Arnaboldi -> 2.09
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Mohamed Safwat vs. Federico Arnaboldi
There is no head to head record between Mohamed Safwat and Federico Arnaboldi since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Mohamed Safwat
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6-7 | 5-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 40-24 | 25-8 | 15-15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 61-28 | 36-10 | 24-16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 25-24 | 2-6 | 22-15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 10-24 | 1-2 | 5-14 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 508, the Egyptian reached the qualifications after defeating Juan Pablo Paz 7-64 6-1.
In the qualifications, Safwat had a good straight sets win against Pablo Paz (7-64 6-1). During the match, Safwat scored 65 points vs Pablo Paz’s 51. Safwat was exceptionally aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Regarding the service games, Safwat was unable to score even 1 ace during the encounter and he committed only 3 double faults. Mohamed Safwat was very effective on serve to win 84% (31/37) of his 1st serve and 62% (16/26) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Safwat was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Pablo Paz twice.
Safwat has a good record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (384-263). 6-7 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Safwat has an aggregate 182-124 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Mohamed has a composed 7-13 win-loss record in 2022, 6-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Milan Challenger
Mohamed has never competed in this tournament before.
Federico Arnaboldi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-29 | 2-5 | 11-19 | 4-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-27 | 0-1 | 40-23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-29 | 1-2 | 23-21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-24 | 0-2 | 23-19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 60-15 | 12-2 | 48-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 597, the Italian reached the qualifications after beating Cristian Rodriguez 3-6 6-4 6-0.
In the qualifications against Rodriguez, Federico recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-4 6-0). During the match Arnaboldi scored 89 points vs Rodriguez’s 63. The Italian was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about serving, Arnaboldi recorded 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Federico Arnaboldi was quite efficient on serve to win 76% (28/37) of his 1st serve and 61% (17/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Federico broke Rodriguez 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Arnaboldi has an overall 5-7 win-loss record in 2022, 5-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Safwat | Arnaboldi |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 25 |
| Pts | 65-51 | 89-63 |
| Total Points | 116 | 152 |
| Winners | 31 | 28 |
| %Winners | 48% | 31% |
Both Safwat and Arnaboldi played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Federico Arnaboldi surrendered 1 set while Mohamed Safwat hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Safwat has played 1 set(s) less than Arnaboldi (2 vs 3). Therefore, Safwat played 5 games less than Arnaboldi. Safwat scored 31 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Federico fired 28 winners (31%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Safwat | Arnaboldi |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 2 |
| 1st in | 37/63 | 37/65 |
| %1st in | 59% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 31/37 | 28/37 |
| %1st pts | 84% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 16/26 | 17/28 |
| %2nd pts | 62% | 61% |
Safwat didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Arnaboldi recorded 2 aces . Safwat won 84% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Arnaboldi won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Safwat | Arnaboldi |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 5 |
| Converted | 2/2 | 5/10 |
| % Converted | 100% | 50% |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 |
| Saved | 2 | 0 |
| % Saved | 100% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 |
The Egyptian broke his opponent twice with a 100% conversion rate. The Egyptian pretty effective on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points. The Italian broke his opponent 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. Arnaboldi conceded his serve twice and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.
| Safwat | |||
| Q1 Pablo Paz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 65-51 | 65-51 | |
| Total points | 116 | 116 | |
| Winners | 31 | 31 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 37/63 | 37/63 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 31/37 | 31/37 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/26 | 16/26 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 62% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/2 | 2/2 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Arnaboldi | |||
| Q1 Rodriguez |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-4 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 25 | |
| pts | 89-63 | 89-63 | |
| Total points | 152 | 152 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 31% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 37/65 | 37/65 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 28/37 | 28/37 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/28 | 17/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 61% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 5/10 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 0/2 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLLWWWWL
LWWLWLWLLL
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Robin HaaseHaase – Joris De LooreDe Loore (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aldin SetkicSetkic – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ernests GulbisGulbis – Julian LenzLenz (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Andrea BassoBasso – Inigo CervantesCervantes (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexey VatutinVatutin – Benoit PairePaire (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Federico CoriaCoria – Pedja KrstinKrstin (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marco CecchinatoCecchinato – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Viktor DurasovicDurasovic – Gian Marco MoroniMarco Moroni (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Georgii KravchenkoKravchenko (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Federico ArnaboldiArnaboldi – Mohamed SafwatSafwat (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francesco PassaroPassaro – Nicholas David IonelDavid Ionel (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Andrew PaulsonPaulson – Giovanni OradiniOradini (0-0) – H2H and prediction
