Elias Ymer and Borna Coric will clash against each other in the final of the Montechiarugolo for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 3:15 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Borna Coric who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Borna Coric is the pick to win this match.
Borna Coric -> 1.38
Elias Ymer -> 3.04

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Prediction and head to head Elias Ymer vs. Borna Coric

There is no head to head record between Elias Ymer and Borna Coric since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Elias Ymer

Elias Ymer

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
169
High
105
LLWWWWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 35-31 11-7 16-20 7-3 1-1 0-0
2024 24-32 7-15 6-9 8-7 3-1 0-0
2023 42-41 10-13 24-17 7-10 1-1 0-0
2022 39-32 12-11 20-15 5-4 2-2 0-0
2021 35-29 9-9 20-11 6-8 0-1 0-0

Ranked no. 148, the Swede got to the final after defeating Gastao Elias 7-69 6-4, Nicholas David Ionel 6-1 6-4, Andrea Arnaboldi 6-3 7-5 and Marco Cecchinato 2-6 6-3 6-2

.

In the semifinal against Cecchinato, Elias recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-3 6-2).During the match, Ymer scored less points (2) than Cecchinato. In fact, the world no. 148 won 78 points vs Cecchinato’s. That means that Ymer was more focused during the important points. Elias was quite aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Regarding the service games, Ymer scored 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Elias Ymer lost the serve 4 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Ymer put 60% of his first serves in, winning 67% (33/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 34% (11/32) on the 2nd serve. The Swede broke Cecchinato 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Ymer has conceded 1 set in this tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

Ymer has a winning record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (318-240). 11-7 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Ymer has an overall 186-114 record in the last years on clay.

Ymer’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Pune and the Parma Challenger.

Ymer has a compiled 23-14 win-loss record in 2022, 11-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Parma Challenger

Elias has never competed in this tournament before.

Parma Challenger
Ymer's Record

Borna Coric

Borna Coric

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
115
High
12
LLLLLWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 26-13 1-6 15-5 10-2 0-0 0-0
2024 23-27 8-13 3-7 11-6 1-1 0-0
2023 22-19 10-10 9-5 3-1 0-3 0-0
2022 27-17 10-5 10-9 7-3 0-0 0-0
2021 6-3 3-2 0-0 3-1 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 255, Borna reached the final after defeating Franco Agamenone 6-3 6-3, Flavio Cobolli 7-5 6-4, Giulio Zeppieri 6-75 6-3 6-4 and Dusan Lajovic 6-1 7-5.

In the semifinal, Coric had a good straight sets win against Lajovic (6-1 7-5). During the match Coric scored 64 points vs Lajovic’s 44. Coric was pretty aggressive to blast 27 winners.

About the serving games, Coric recorded 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Borna Coric was quite effective on serve to win 77% (27/35) of his 1st serve and 75% (15/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Borna broke Lajovic 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Croatian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

Borna’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in the Parma Challenger.

Coric has a compiled 8-9 win-loss record in 2022, 7-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Parma Challenger
Coric's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

E.Ymer
B.Coric
6h:55
6h:55
Time on court​
6h:56
6h:56
!
2h:09
2h:09
Last match​
1h:21
1h:21
4
4
Match played
4
4
86
86
Games Played​
91
91
9
9
Set played​​
9
9
310
310
Total points​
288
288
77.5
77.5
Avg point​
72
72
135
135
Winners
115
115
33.8
33.8
Avg Winners​
28.8
28.8
44%
44%
Ratio winners
40%
40%
-- Serve --
15
15
Aces
22
22
3.8
3.8
Avg Aces
5.5
5.5
15
15
Double Faults
7
7
3.8
3.8
Avg Double Faults
1.8
1.8
135/170
135/170
1st won total​
115/139
115/139
!
79%
79%
1st won %
!
83%
83%
51/103
51/103
2nd won total​
72/106
72/106
50%
50%
2nd won %
!
68%
68%
-- Break Points --
14/41
14/41
BP won
12/26
12/26
3.5/10.3
3.5/10.3
Avg BP won
3/6.5
3/6.5
34%
34%
Won
46%
46%
22
22
Conceded
5
5
5.5
5.5
Avg Conceded
1.3
1.3
6
6
Broken
2
2
1.5
1.5
Avg Broken
!
0.5
0.5
16
16
Saved
3
3

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Ymer Coric
Match played 4 4
Tot Set 9 9
Tot Games 86 91
Pts 310-258 288-227
Total Points 568 515
Winners 135 115
%Winners 44% 40%

Both Ymer and Coric played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Elias Ymer surrendered 1 set, while Borna Coric conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Ymer and Coric have played the same amount of sets 9. However, Ymer played 5 games less than Coric. Ymer scored 135 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Borna managed to score 115 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve Ymer Coric
Aces 15 22
Avg per match 3.8 5.5
1st in 170/273 139/245
%1st in 62% 57%
1st pts 135/170 115/139
%1st pts 79% 83%
2nd pts 51/103 72/106
%2nd pts 50% 68%

Ymer managed to score 15 aces (3.8 per match). Coric managed to score 22 aces (5.5 per match). Ymer won 79% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Coric won 83% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 68% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Ymer Coric
Won 14 12
Converted 14/41 12/26
% Converted 34% 46%
Conceded 22 5
Saved 16 3
% Saved 73% 60%
Times Broken 6 2

Ymer broke his opponents 14 times with a 34% conversion rate. Elias lost his serve 6 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded. The Croatian broke his opponents 12 times with a 46% conversion rate. The Croatian conceded his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.

Ymer
R1
Elias
R2
David
1/4
Arnaboldi
1/2
Cecchinato
Total
Score 7-69 6-4 6-1 6-4 6-3 7-5 2-6 6-3 6-2
Tot Set 2 2 2 3 9
Tot Games 23 17 21 25 86
pts 88-73 65-39 79-66 78-80 310-258
Total points 161 104 145 158 568
Winners 41 29 32 33 135
%Winners 47% 45% 41% 42% 44%
SERVE
Aces 1 2 7 5 15
Double Faults 2 5 6 2 15
1st in 45/66 34/50 42/76 49/81 170/273
% 1st in 68% 68% 55% 60% 62%
1st pts 41/45 29/34 32/42 33/49 135/170
% 1st pts 91% 85% 76% 67% 79%
2nd pts 14/21 10/16 16/34 11/32 51/103
% 2nd pts 67% 63% 47% 34% 50%
Breaks
Won 1 3 5 5 14
Converted 1/10 3/8 5/10 5/13 14/41
Converted % 10% 38% 50% 38% 34%
Conceded 0 3 10 9 22
Saved 0/0 3/3 8/10 5/9 16
Saved % 100% 80% 56% 59%
Times Broken 0 0 2 4 6
Coric
R1
Agamenone
R2
Cobolli
1/4
Zeppieri
1/2
Lajovic
Total
Score 6-3 6-3 7-5 6-4 6-75 6-3 6-4 6-1 7-5
Tot Set 2 2 3 2 9
Tot Games 18 22 32 19 91
pts 59-45 73-62 92-76 64-44 288-227
Total points 104 135 168 108 515
Winners 24 25 39 27 115
%Winners 41% 34% 42% 42% 40%
SERVE
Aces 4 4 9 5 22
Double Faults 2 3 1 1 7
1st in 31/47 32/60 41/83 35/55 139/245
% 1st in 66% 53% 49% 64% 57%
1st pts 24/31 25/32 39/41 27/35 115/139
% 1st pts 77% 78% 95% 77% 83%
2nd pts 12/16 18/28 27/42 15/20 72/106
% 2nd pts 75% 64% 64% 75% 68%
Breaks
Won 3 3 3 3 12
Converted 3/7 3/8 3/6 3/5 12/26
Converted % 43% 38% 50% 60% 46%
Conceded 0 3 1 1 5
Saved 0/0 2/3 0/1 1/1 3
Saved % 67% 0% 100% 42%
Times Broken 0 1 1 0 2

Tennis Scores in Parma Challenger

  • Luciano Darderi/Fernando RomboliDarderi/Fernando RomboliDenys Molchanov/Igor ZelenayMolchanov/Igor Zelenay (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings

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