Elias Ymer and Borna Coric will clash against each other in the final of the Montechiarugolo for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 3:15 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Borna Coric who should win in 2 sets.
Borna Coric -> 1.38
Elias Ymer -> 3.04
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Prediction and head to head Elias Ymer vs. Borna Coric
There is no head to head record between Elias Ymer and Borna Coric since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Elias Ymer
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 35-31 | 11-7 | 16-20 | 7-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 24-32 | 7-15 | 6-9 | 8-7 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 42-41 | 10-13 | 24-17 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-32 | 12-11 | 20-15 | 5-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-29 | 9-9 | 20-11 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 148, the Swede got to the final after defeating Gastao Elias 7-69 6-4, Nicholas David Ionel 6-1 6-4, Andrea Arnaboldi 6-3 7-5 and Marco Cecchinato 2-6 6-3 6-2
.In the semifinal against Cecchinato, Elias recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-3 6-2).During the match, Ymer scored less points (2) than Cecchinato. In fact, the world no. 148 won 78 points vs Cecchinato’s. That means that Ymer was more focused during the important points. Elias was quite aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ymer scored 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Elias Ymer lost the serve 4 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Ymer put 60% of his first serves in, winning 67% (33/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 34% (11/32) on the 2nd serve. The Swede broke Cecchinato 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ymer has conceded 1 set in this tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Ymer has a winning record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (318-240). 11-7 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Ymer has an overall 186-114 record in the last years on clay.
Ymer’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Pune and the Parma Challenger.
Ymer has a compiled 23-14 win-loss record in 2022, 11-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Parma Challenger
Elias has never competed in this tournament before.
Borna Coric
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26-13 | 1-6 | 15-5 | 10-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 23-27 | 8-13 | 3-7 | 11-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 22-19 | 10-10 | 9-5 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-17 | 10-5 | 10-9 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 6-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 255, Borna reached the final after defeating Franco Agamenone 6-3 6-3, Flavio Cobolli 7-5 6-4, Giulio Zeppieri 6-75 6-3 6-4 and Dusan Lajovic 6-1 7-5.
In the semifinal, Coric had a good straight sets win against Lajovic (6-1 7-5). During the match Coric scored 64 points vs Lajovic’s 44. Coric was pretty aggressive to blast 27 winners.
About the serving games, Coric recorded 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Borna Coric was quite effective on serve to win 77% (27/35) of his 1st serve and 75% (15/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Borna broke Lajovic 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Croatian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Borna’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in the Parma Challenger.
Coric has a compiled 8-9 win-loss record in 2022, 7-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ymer | Coric |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 86 | 91 |
| Pts | 310-258 | 288-227 |
| Total Points | 568 | 515 |
| Winners | 135 | 115 |
| %Winners | 44% | 40% |
Both Ymer and Coric played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Elias Ymer surrendered 1 set, while Borna Coric conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Ymer and Coric have played the same amount of sets 9. However, Ymer played 5 games less than Coric. Ymer scored 135 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Borna managed to score 115 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ymer | Coric |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 15 | 22 |
| Avg per match | 3.8 | 5.5 |
| 1st in | 170/273 | 139/245 |
| %1st in | 62% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 135/170 | 115/139 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 83% |
| 2nd pts | 51/103 | 72/106 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 68% |
Ymer managed to score 15 aces (3.8 per match). Coric managed to score 22 aces (5.5 per match). Ymer won 79% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Coric won 83% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 68% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ymer | Coric |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 12 |
| Converted | 14/41 | 12/26 |
| % Converted | 34% | 46% |
| Conceded | 22 | 5 |
| Saved | 16 | 3 |
| % Saved | 73% | 60% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 2 |
Ymer broke his opponents 14 times with a 34% conversion rate. Elias lost his serve 6 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded. The Croatian broke his opponents 12 times with a 46% conversion rate. The Croatian conceded his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ymer | ||||||
| R1 Elias | R2 David | 1/4 Arnaboldi | 1/2 Cecchinato | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-69 6-4 | 6-1 6-4 | 6-3 7-5 | 2-6 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 17 | 21 | 25 | 86 | |
| pts | 88-73 | 65-39 | 79-66 | 78-80 | 310-258 | |
| Total points | 161 | 104 | 145 | 158 | 568 | |
| Winners | 41 | 29 | 32 | 33 | 135 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 45% | 41% | 42% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 15 | |
| 1st in | 45/66 | 34/50 | 42/76 | 49/81 | 170/273 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 68% | 55% | 60% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 41/45 | 29/34 | 32/42 | 33/49 | 135/170 | |
| % 1st pts | 91% | 85% | 76% | 67% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/21 | 10/16 | 16/34 | 11/32 | 51/103 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 63% | 47% | 34% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14 | |
| Converted | 1/10 | 3/8 | 5/10 | 5/13 | 14/41 | |
| Converted % | 10% | 38% | 50% | 38% | 34% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 22 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 3/3 | 8/10 | 5/9 | 16 | |
| Saved % | – | 100% | 80% | 56% | 59% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Coric | ||||||
| R1 Agamenone | R2 Cobolli | 1/4 Zeppieri | 1/2 Lajovic | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | 7-5 6-4 | 6-75 6-3 6-4 | 6-1 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 22 | 32 | 19 | 91 | |
| pts | 59-45 | 73-62 | 92-76 | 64-44 | 288-227 | |
| Total points | 104 | 135 | 168 | 108 | 515 | |
| Winners | 24 | 25 | 39 | 27 | 115 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 34% | 42% | 42% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 22 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 31/47 | 32/60 | 41/83 | 35/55 | 139/245 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 53% | 49% | 64% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 24/31 | 25/32 | 39/41 | 27/35 | 115/139 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 78% | 95% | 77% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/16 | 18/28 | 27/42 | 15/20 | 72/106 | |
| % 2nd pts | 75% | 64% | 64% | 75% | 68% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/8 | 3/6 | 3/5 | 12/26 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 38% | 50% | 60% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 2/3 | 0/1 | 1/1 | 3 | |
| Saved % | – | 67% | 0% | 100% | 42% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
Tennis Scores in Parma Challenger
- Luciano Darderi/Fernando RomboliDarderi/Fernando Romboli – Denys Molchanov/Igor ZelenayMolchanov/Igor Zelenay (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Elias YmerYmer – Borna CoricCoric (0-0) – H2H and prediction