Maria Sakkari and Daria Kasatkina will play each other in the quarter of the bett1open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 11:00 am on Steffi Graf Stadion. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Maria Sakkari who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Maria Sakkari is the pick to win this match.
Maria Sakkari -> 1.85
Daria Kasatkina -> 2.04
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Prediction and head to head Maria Sakkari vs. Daria Kasatkina
This will be the 5th time that Maria Sakkari and Daria Kasatkina play each other. The head to head is 4-0 for Kasatkina (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on grass.
The last time that they fought against each other, Kasatkina won 3-6 6-3 6-1 in the 2nd round in Madrid back in May 2022.
Highlights Daria Kasatkina vs Maria Sakkari – Madrid 01-May-2022
Maria Sakkari
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25-16 | 12-7 | 11-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-25 | 26-17 | 5-4 | 3-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-23 | 21-12 | 8-5 | 4-2 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-20 | 23-13 | 9-4 | 5-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-11 | 12-7 | 2-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6, the Greek got to the quarter after beating Leolia Jeanjean 6-3 6-2 and Daria Saville 6-1 7-5.
In the 2nd round, The Greek had a good straight sets win against Gavrilova (6-1 7-5). During the match, Sakkari scored 74 points vs Gavrilova’s 47. The Greek was pretty aggressive to blast 17 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sakkari managed to score 4 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Maria Sakkari was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 81% (17/21) of her 1st serve and 78% (21/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Maria broke Gavrilova 4 times after converting 29% of her break points (4/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Maria hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to win 61% of the points she played.
Sakkari has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 62% of her matches (354-218). 4-1 on grass in 2022. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sakkari has a compiled20-13 record in the last 9 years on grass.
Maria’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in St. Petersburg and Indian Wells.
The Greek has a compiled 24-11 win-loss record in 2022, 4-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Berlin
The Greek has never competed in this tournament before.
Daria Kasatkina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 33-19 | 17-13 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-25 | 19-15 | 12-6 | 2-1 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-22 | 24-14 | 12-5 | 1-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-19 | 19-10 | 5-5 | 7-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-14 | 7-8 | 5-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 12, the Russian got to the quarter after beating Anhelina Kalinina 5-7 6-3 6-1 and Ekaterina Alexandrova 5-7 6-1 6-1.
In the 2nd round against Alexandrova, Darya recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-1 6-1). During the match Kasatkina scored 99 points vs Alexandrova’s 83. The Russian was very aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Talking about serving, Kasatkina fired 4 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Daria Kasatkina lost the serve 5 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Kasatkina put 64% of her first serves in, winning 67% (42/63) of the points behind her 1st serve and 31% (11/35) on the 2nd serve. Kasatkina broke Alexandrova 9 times after converting 64% of her break points (9/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Kasatkina has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
Darya’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Melbourne, Sydney, Rome and at the French Open .
Darya has a compiled 25-11 win-loss record in 2022, 2-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sakkari | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 36 | 54 |
| Pts | 146-94 | 209-176 |
| Total Points | 240 | 385 |
| Winners | 40 | 81 |
| %Winners | 27% | 39% |
Both Sakkari and Kasatkina played 2 matches. At the moment, Daria Kasatkina lost 2 sets while Maria Sakkari hasn’t dropped a set so far. Sakkari has played 2 set(s) less than Kasatkina (4 vs 6). Therefore, Sakkari played 18 games less than Kasatkina. Maria scored 40 winners (27% of the total points). On the other side, Darya recorded 81 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sakkari | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 3.5 | 4.5 |
| 1st in | 46/92 | 121/185 |
| %1st in | 50% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 40/46 | 81/121 |
| %1st pts | 87% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 32/46 | 24/64 |
| %2nd pts | 70% | 38% |
Sakkari struck 7 aces (3.5 per match). Kasatkina struck 9 aces (4.5 per match). Sakkari won 87% points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 70% of the points. On the other side, Kasatkina won 67% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 38% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sakkari | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 16 |
| Converted | 8/27 | 16/35 |
| % Converted | 30% | 46% |
| Conceded | 1 | 17 |
| Saved | 0 | 8 |
| % Saved | 0% | 47% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 9 |
The Greek broke her opponents 8 times with a 30% conversion rate. The Greek surrendered her serve once and she saved 0% of the break points that she conceded. Darya broke her opponents 16 times with a 46% conversion rate. The Russian conceded her serve 9 times and she saved 47% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sakkari | ||||
| R1 Jeanjean |
R2 Gavrilova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 6-1 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 19 | 36 | |
| pts | 72-47 | 74-47 | 146-94 | |
| Total points | 119 | 121 | 240 | |
| Winners | 23 | 17 | 40 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 23% | 27% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 25/44 | 21/48 | 46/92 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 44% | 50% | |
| 1st pts | 23/25 | 17/21 | 40/46 | |
| % 1st pts | 92% | 81% | 87% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/19 | 21/27 | 32/46 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 78% | 70% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/13 | 4/14 | 8/27 | |
| Converted % | 31% | 29% | 30% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Kasatkina | ||||
| R1 Kalinina |
R2 Alexandrova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 6-3 6-1 | 5-7 6-1 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 26 | 54 | |
| pts | 110-93 | 99-83 | 209-176 | |
| Total points | 203 | 182 | 385 | |
| Winners | 39 | 42 | 81 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 42% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 6 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 58/87 | 63/98 | 121/185 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 64% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 39/58 | 42/63 | 81/121 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/29 | 11/35 | 24/64 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 31% | 38% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 7 | 9 | 16 | |
| Converted | 7/21 | 9/14 | 16/35 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 64% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 10 | 17 | |
| Saved | 3/7 | 5/10 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 43% | 50% | 47% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWLWWLLL
LWWWLWLWLL Tennis Scores in Berlin
- Bianca Vanessa Andreescu/Sabine LisickiVanessa Andreescu/Sabine Lisicki – Asia Muhammad/Ena ShibaharaMuhammad/Ena Shibahara (7-64 1-6 10-7) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Storm Sanders/Katerina SiniakovaSanders/Katerina Siniakova – Nicole Melichar/Ellen PerezMelichar/Ellen Perez (3-6 7-65 12-10) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Damir DzumhurDzumhur – Liam BroadyBroady (6-3 2-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Fabio FogniniFognini – Richard BerankisBerankis (6-3 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Viktor TroickiTroicki (6-1 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Jo-Wilfried TsongaTsonga (3-6 6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Cori GauffGauff (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Belinda BencicBencic – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (4-4) – H2H and prediction
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Maria SakkariSakkari (4-0) – H2H and prediction
