Michael Geerts and Ernests Gulbis will face off in the qualifications of the Montechiarugolo for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 1:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ernests Gulbis who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Ernests Gulbis is the pick to win this match.
Ernests Gulbis -> 1.74
Michael Geerts -> 2.05
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Prediction and head to head Michael Geerts vs. Ernests Gulbis
This will be the 2nd time that Michael Geerts and Ernests Gulbis face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Gulbis (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.
The last time that they played, Gulbis won 6-3 6-2 in the qualifications in the Pau Challenger back in February 2022.
Michael Geerts
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 50-37 | 18-11 | 10-12 | 17-13 | 0-1 | 5-0 |
| 2023 | 32-39 | 13-10 | 13-19 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 42-37 | 5-8 | 24-14 | 11-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| 2021 | 35-28 | 13-7 | 14-14 | 8-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 12-8 | 5-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-1 |
Ranked no. 285, Michael got to the qualifications after defeating Daniele Capecchi 6-1 6-2.
In the qualifications, The Belgian had a good straight sets win against Capecchi (6-1 6-2). During the match, Geerts scored 54 points vs Capecchi’s 33. Michael was very aggressive to blast 20 winners.
Talking about the service games, Geerts bagged 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Michael Geerts lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Geerts put 60% of his first serves in, winning 80% (20/25) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (7/17) on the 2nd serve. Michael broke Capecchi 6 times after converting 50% of his break points (6/12).
Geerts has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 60% of his matches (259-174). 16-7 on clay in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Geerts has a compiled92-68 record in the last 9 years on clay.
The Belgian’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M25 Santa Margherita di Pula.
Michael has a composed 23-16 win-loss record in 2022, 16-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Parma Challenger
The Belgian has never competed in this tournament before.
Ernests Gulbis
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 5-3 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-21 | 3-2 | 17-13 | 7-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 13-21 | 2-4 | 6-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-13 | 9-4 | 3-6 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2019 | 8-30 | 3-9 | 1-9 | 4-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 373, the Latvian reached the qualifications after beating Sebastian Fanselow 6-2 6-4.
In the qualifications, Gulbis had a good straight sets win against Fanselow (6-2 6-4). During the match Gulbis scored 74 points vs Fanselow’s 57. The Latvian was pretty aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about serving, Gulbis struck 2 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Ernests Gulbis lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Gulbis put 52% of his first serves in, winning 84% (26/31) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (12/29) on the 2nd serve. Gulbis broke Fanselow 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).
Gulbis’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in the Cherbourg Challenger.
Gulbis has an overall 14-12 win-loss record in 2022, 6-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Geerts | Gulbis |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 15 | 18 |
| Pts | 54-33 | 74-57 |
| Total Points | 87 | 131 |
| Winners | 20 | 26 |
| %Winners | 37% | 35% |
Both Geerts and Gulbis played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Geerts and Gulbis have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Geerts played 3 games less than Gulbis. The Belgian scored 20 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Gulbis made 26 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Geerts | Gulbis |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 2 |
| 1st in | 25/42 | 31/60 |
| %1st in | 60% | 52% |
| 1st pts | 20/25 | 26/31 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 84% |
| 2nd pts | 7/17 | 12/29 |
| %2nd pts | 41% | 41% |
Geerts managed to score 4 aces . Gulbis scored 2 aces . Geerts won 80% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 41% of the points. On the other side, Gulbis won 84% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 41% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Geerts | Gulbis |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 5 |
| Converted | 6/12 | 5/12 |
| % Converted | 50% | 42% |
| Conceded | 4 | 6 |
| Saved | 3 | 4 |
| % Saved | 75% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 |
Geerts broke his opponent 6 times with a 50% conversion rate. Geerts surrendered his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Ernests broke his opponent 5 times with a 42% conversion rate. Gulbis conceded his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Geerts | |||
| Q1 Capecchi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 54-33 | 54-33 | |
| Total points | 87 | 87 | |
| Winners | 20 | 20 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 25/42 | 25/42 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 20/25 | 20/25 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/17 | 7/17 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 41% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/12 | 6/12 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Gulbis | |||
| Q1 Fanselow |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 74-57 | 74-57 | |
| Total points | 131 | 131 | |
| Winners | 26 | 26 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 31/60 | 31/60 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 26/31 | 26/31 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/29 | 12/29 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 41% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 5/12 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWLWWLWW
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