Jozef Kovalik and Elmar Ejupovic will square off in the qualifications of the Montechiarugolo for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 11:00 am on GRANDSTAND. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jozef Kovalik who should win in 2 sets.
Jozef Kovalik -> 1.26
Elmar Ejupovic -> 3.7
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Prediction and head to head Jozef Kovalik vs. Elmar Ejupovic
There is no head to head record between Jozef Kovalik and Elmar Ejupovic since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Jozef Kovalik
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14-23 | 2-5 | 11-14 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 36-25 | 3-5 | 30-15 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-34 | 1-3 | 21-28 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-23 | 3-6 | 29-13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 31-27 | 0-1 | 26-20 | 5-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 220, the Slovakian got to the qualifications after defeating Matteo Donati 6-0 3-1 ret..
In the qualifications, The Slovakian had a good straight sets win against Donati (6-0 3-1 ret.). During the match, Kovalik scored 39 points vs Donati’s 15. Kovalik was quite aggressive to blast 12 winners.
Regarding the service games, Kovalik managed to score 3 aces and he was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults. Jozef Kovalik was quite efficient on serve to win 86% (12/14) of his 1st serve and 77% (10/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Kovalik broke Donati 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Kovalik has a good match record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (326-243). 9-7 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Kovalik has a composed 251-157 match record in the last years on clay.
Kovalik’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in the Oeiras 2 Challenger.
Kovalik has an overall 11-12 win-loss record in 2022, 9-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Parma Challenger
Kovalik has never competed in this tournament before.
Elmar Ejupovic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22-17 | 7-5 | 14-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2024 | 34-27 | 7-5 | 19-12 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| 2023 | 30-34 | 4-7 | 16-17 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 |
| 2022 | 46-28 | 4-2 | 32-19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7-2 |
| 2021 | 34-25 | 1-2 | 23-17 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 4-1 |
Ranked no. 395, Ejupovic reached the qualifications after beating Alexis Gautier 6-4 7-5.
In the qualifications, Elmar had a good straight sets win against Gautier (6-4 7-5). During the match Ejupovic scored 71 points vs Gautier’s 61. Elmar was exceptionally aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about serving, Ejupovic fired 11 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Elmar Ejupovic was extremely effective on serve to win 82% (32/39) of his 1st serve and 60% (12/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Ejupovic broke Gautier twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Elmar has an overall 20-14 win-loss record in 2022, 14-9 on clay (See FULL STATS)
.H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kovalik | Ejupovic |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 10 | 22 |
| Pts | 39-15 | 71-61 |
| Total Points | 54 | 132 |
| Winners | 12 | 32 |
| %Winners | 31% | 45% |
Both Kovalik and Ejupovic played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Kovalik has played 1 set more than Ejupovic (3 vs 2). However, it’s interesting to notice that Kovalik played 12 games less than Ejupovic. Jozef scored 12 winners (31% of the total points). On the other side, Ejupovic managed to score 32 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kovalik | Ejupovic |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 11 |
| 1st in | 14/27 | 39/59 |
| %1st in | 52% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 12/14 | 32/39 |
| %1st pts | 86% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 10/13 | 12/20 |
| %2nd pts | 77% | 60% |
Kovalik recorded 3 aces . Ejupovic blasted 11 aces . Kovalik won 86% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 77% of the points. On the other side, Ejupovic won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kovalik | Ejupovic |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 2 |
| Converted | 4/7 | 2/5 |
| % Converted | 57% | 40% |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 |
| Saved | 0 | 0 |
| % Saved | 0% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
The Slovakian broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. The Slovakian had a solid display on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 0 break points. Ejupovic broke his opponent twice with a 40% conversion rate. Ejupovic was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Kovalik | |||
| Q1 Donati | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 3-1 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 10 | 10 | |
| pts | 39-15 | 39-15 | |
| Total points | 54 | 54 | |
| Winners | 12 | 12 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 31% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 14/27 | 14/27 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 12/14 | 12/14 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 86% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/13 | 10/13 | |
| % 2nd pts | 77% | 77% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Ejupovic | |||
| Q1 Gautier | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 71-61 | 71-61 | |
| Total points | 132 | 132 | |
| Winners | 32 | 32 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 11 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 39/59 | 39/59 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 32/39 | 32/39 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/20 | 12/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 2/5 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
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