Aryna Sabalenka and Ekaterina Alexandrova will square off in the final of the Libema Open for the 5^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 12:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.68
Ekaterina Alexandrova -> 2.29

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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Ekaterina Alexandrova

This will be the 5^th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Ekaterina Alexandrova face off. The head to head is 2-2 for Sabalenka and Alexandrova (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on grass.

The last time that they played, Alexandrova won 6-3 6-4 in the quarter in Moscow back in 2021.

Highlights Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Aryna Sabalenka – Moscow 22-October-2021

Aryna Sabalenka

Ranked no. 6, the Belarussian got to the final after defeating Kateryna Baindl 6-4 6-1, Arianne Hartono 6-2 6-3, Alison Van Uytvanck 6-3 3-6 7-6⁵ and Shelby Rogers 7-6⁶ 6-0.

In the semifinal, Sabalenka had a good straight sets win against Rogers (7-6⁶ 6-0). During the match, Sabalenka scored 76 points vs Rogers’s 60. The Belarussian was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Talking about the service games, Sabalenka blasted 2 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve twice and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 57% of her first serves in, winning 67% (28/42) of the points behind her 1st serve and 53% (17/32) on the 2nd serve. Sabalenka broke Rogers 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Belarussian has surrendered 1 set in this competition to win 55% of the points she played.

Sabalenka has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 66% of her matches (249-130). 4-0 on grass in 2022. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Sabalenka has an overall27-14 record in the last 7 years on grass.

Sabalenka’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Stuttgart.

The Belarussian has a composed 19-12 win-loss record in 2022, 4-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in ‘s-Hertogenbosch

Ekaterina Alexandrova

Ranked no. 30, the Russian reached the final after defeating Dayana Yastremska 2-6 7-6¹ 6-2, Anhelina Kalinina 6-4 6-2, Caty McNally 6-0 6-1 and Veronika Kudermetova 6-3 6-1.

In the semifinal, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Kudermetova (6-3 6-1). During the match Alexandrova scored 63 points vs Kudermetova’s 45. Ekaterina was exceptionally aggressive to blast 20 winners.

About the serving games, Alexandrova fired 6 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Ekaterina Alexandrova lost the serve once and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Alexandrova put 51% of her first serves in, winning 80% (20/25) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (12/24) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Kudermetova 5 times after converting 83% of her break points (5/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Russian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 58% of the points she played.

Alexandrova’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Charleston, Madrid and Hertogenbosch.

Alexandrova has an aggregate 21-11 win-loss record in 2022, 4-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Sabalenka	Alexandrova
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	9	9
Tot Games	84	76
Pts	304-247	276-198
Total Points	551	474
Winners	126	101
%Winners	41%	37%

Both Sabalenka and Alexandrova played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Aryna Sabalenka conceded 1 set, while Ekaterina Alexandrova lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Sabalenka and Alexandrova have played the same amount of sets 9. However, Sabalenka played 8 games more than Alexandrova. Sabalenka scored 126 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Ekaterina bagged 101 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Sabalenka	Alexandrova
Aces	22	30
Avg per match	5.5	7.5
1st in	173/279	133/223
%1st in	62%	60%
1st pts	126/173	101/133
%1st pts	73%	76%
2nd pts	54/106	50/90
%2nd pts	51%	56%

Sabalenka made 22 aces (5.5 per match). Alexandrova struck 30 aces (7.5 per match). Sabalenka won 73% points on her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Alexandrova won 76% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Sabalenka	Alexandrova
Won	16	18
Converted	16/31	18/31
% Converted	52%	58%
Conceded	20	15
Saved	13	9
% Saved	65%	60%
Times Broken	7	6

Sabalenka broke her opponents 16 times with a 52% conversion rate. Aryna conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 65% of the break points that she conceded. Alexandrova broke her opponents 18 times with a 58% conversion rate. The Russian conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 60% of the break points that she conceded.

Sabalenka
	R1 Kozlova	R2 Hartono	1/4 Van Uytvanck	1/2 Rogers	Total
Score	6-4 6-1	6-2 6-3	6-3 3-6 7-65	7-66 6-0
Tot Set	2	2	3	2	9
Tot Games	17	17	31	19	84
pts	70-53	60-41	98-93	76-60	304-247
Total points	123	101	191	136	551
Winners	30	25	43	28	126
%Winners	43%	42%	44%	37%	41%
SERVE
Aces	10	6	4	2	22
Double Faults	11	0	3	4	18
1st in	43/67	29/48	59/90	42/74	173/279
% 1st in	64%	60%	66%	57%	62%
1st pts	30/43	25/29	43/59	28/42	126/173
% 1st pts	70%	86%	73%	67%	73%
2nd pts	11/24	9/19	17/31	17/32	54/106
% 2nd pts	46%	47%	55%	53%	51%
Breaks
Won	5	4	2	5	16
Converted	5/11	4/7	2/5	5/8	16/31
Converted %	45%	57%	40%	63%	52%
Conceded	7	1	4	8	20
Saved	5/7	0/1	2/4	6/8	13
Saved %	71%	0%	50%	75%	49%
Times Broken	2	1	2	2	7

Alexandrova
	R1 Yastremska	R2 Kalinina	1/4 McNally	1/2 Kudermetova	Total
Score	2-6 7-61 6-2	6-4 6-2	6-0 6-1	6-3 6-1
Tot Set	3	2	2	2	9
Tot Games	29	18	13	16	76
pts	92-83	70-52	51-18	63-45	276-198
Total points	175	122	69	108	474
Winners	32	29	20	20	101
%Winners	35%	41%	39%	32%	37%
SERVE
Aces	8	9	7	6	30
Double Faults	7	4	1	5	17
1st in	48/81	36/58	24/35	25/49	133/223
% 1st in	59%	62%	69%	51%	60%
1st pts	32/48	29/36	20/24	20/25	101/133
% 1st pts	67%	81%	83%	80%	76%
2nd pts	17/33	13/22	8/11	12/24	50/90
% 2nd pts	52%	59%	73%	50%	56%
Breaks
Won	5	3	5	5	18
Converted	5/12	3/7	5/6	5/6	18/31
Converted %	42%	43%	83%	83%	58%
Conceded	6	5	0	4	15
Saved	1/6	5/5	0/0	3/4	9
Saved %	17%	100%	–	75%	48%
Times Broken	5	0	0	1	6

Tennis Scores in ‘s Hertogenbosch

• Peter GojowczykGojowczyk – Benoit PairePaire (7-5 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (2-2) – H2H and prediction