Alex Rybakov and Juncheng Shang will clash against each other in the qualifications of the Lyon Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 2:00 pm on Court 12. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Juncheng Shang who should win in 3 sets.
Juncheng Shang -> 1.88
Alex Rybakov -> 1.88
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Prediction and head to head Alex Rybakov vs. Juncheng Shang
There is no head to head record between Alex Rybakov and Juncheng Shang since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Alex Rybakov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 47-26 | 24-13 | 8-6 | 15-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-20 | 11-8 | 12-8 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 22-25 | 5-8 | 7-9 | 10-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-23 | 5-7 | 20-12 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-26 | 4-4 | 35-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 343, Rybakov got to the qualifications after defeating Jurgen Briand 6-2 3-6 6-3.
In the qualifications, Alex defeated Briand (6-2 3-6 6-3). During the match, Rybakov scored 90 points vs Briand’s 80. Alex was very aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Regarding the service games, Rybakov managed to score 3 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Alex Rybakov lost the serve 3 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Rybakov put 63% of his first serves in, winning 65% (32/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 59% (17/29) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Briand 5 times after converting 31% of his break points (5/16).
Rybakov has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 61% of his matches (148-96). 13-9 on clay in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Rybakov has an overall80-45 win-loss record in the last 9 years on clay.
Rybakov has an overall 17-15 win-loss record in 2022, 13-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lyon Challenger
The American has never competed in this tournament before.
Juncheng Shang
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6-8 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-27 | 25-10 | 8-7 | 2-6 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-23 | 21-14 | 3-3 | 0-2 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-24 | 17-8 | 15-10 | 7-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-5 | 6-3 | 12-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 406, the Chinese got to the qualifications after defeating Steven Diez 2-6 6-2 7-64.
In the qualifications against Diez, The Chinese recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-2 7-64). During the match Shang and Diez scored the same amount of points (92). However, the world no. 343 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The Chinese was pretty aggressive to blast 29 winners.
About the serving games, Shang couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Juncheng Shang lost the serve 7 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Shang put 68% of his first serves in, winning 48% (29/60) of the points behind his 1st serve and 57% (16/28) on the 2nd serve. Juncheng broke Diez 7 times after converting 54% of his break points (7/13).
Juncheng’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M15 Naples.
The Chinese has an aggregate 16-12 win-loss record in 2022, 14-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rybakov | Shang |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 26 | 29 |
| Pts | 90-80 | 92-92 |
| Total Points | 170 | 184 |
| Winners | 32 | 29 |
| %Winners | 36% | 32% |
Both Rybakov and Shang played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Alex Rybakov conceded 1 set, while Juncheng Shang surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Rybakov and Shang have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Rybakov played 3 games less than Shang. Rybakov scored 32 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The Chinese bagged 29 winners (32%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rybakov | Shang |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 0 |
| 1st in | 49/78 | 60/88 |
| %1st in | 63% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 32/49 | 29/60 |
| %1st pts | 65% | 48% |
| 2nd pts | 17/29 | 16/28 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 57% |
Rybakov managed to score 3 aces . Shang didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Rybakov won 65% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Shang won 48% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rybakov | Shang |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 7 |
| Converted | 5/16 | 7/13 |
| % Converted | 31% | 54% |
| Conceded | 9 | 12 |
| Saved | 6 | 5 |
| % Saved | 67% | 42% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 7 |
Alex broke his opponent 5 times with a 31% conversion rate. Alex surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Chinese broke his opponent 7 times with a 54% conversion rate. Juncheng conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 42% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rybakov | |||
| Q1 Briand | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 3-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 90-80 | 90-80 | |
| Total points | 170 | 170 | |
| Winners | 32 | 32 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 49/78 | 49/78 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 32/49 | 32/49 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/29 | 17/29 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/16 | 5/16 | |
| Converted % | 31% | 31% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 | |
| Saved | 6/9 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Shang | |||
| Q1 Diez | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-2 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 29 | |
| pts | 92-92 | 92-92 | |
| Total points | 184 | 184 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 32% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 60/88 | 60/88 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 29/60 | 29/60 | |
| % 1st pts | 48% | 48% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/28 | 16/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 7 | 7 | |
| Converted | 7/13 | 7/13 | |
| Converted % | 54% | 54% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 12 | |
| Saved | 5/12 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 42% | 42% | |
| Times Broken | 7 | 7 | |
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