Rafael Nadal and Casper Ruud will square off in the final of the French Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 3:00 pm on Court Philippe-Chatrier. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rafael Nadal who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Rafael Nadal is the pick to win this match.
Rafael Nadal -> 1.185
Casper Ruud -> 5.65

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Prediction and head to head Rafael Nadal vs. Casper Ruud

There is no head to head record between Rafael Nadal and Casper Ruud since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Rafael Nadal

Ranked no. 5, Rafael got to the final after beating Jordan Thompson 6-2 6-2 6-2, Corentin Moutet 6-3 6-1 6-4, Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-3 6-2 6-4, Felix Auger Aliassime 3-6 6-3 6-2 3-6 6-3, Novak Djokovic 6-2 4-6 6-2 7-6⁴ and Alexander Zverev 7-6⁸ 6-6 ret..

In the semifinal, The Spaniard defeated Zverev (7-6⁸ 6-6 ret.). During the match, Nadal scored 97 points vs Zverev’s 93. Nadal was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Talking about the service games, Nadal recorded 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Rafael Nadal lost the serve 5 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Nadal put 60% of his first serves in, winning 58% (30/52) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (17/35) on the 2nd serve. Rafael broke Zverev 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Nadal has conceded 3 set in this event to conquer 56% of the points he played.

Nadal has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 84% of his matches (474-90). 9-2 on clay in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Nadal has a compiled 219-26 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

His best result of the year was conquering the title in in Melbourne where he beat Maxime Cressy in the final 7-6(6) 6-3 and in at the Australian Open where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 2-6 6-7(5) 6-4 6-4 7-5 and in in Acapulco where he beat Cameron Norrie in the final 6-4 6-4.

Rafael has an overall 29-3 win-loss record in 2022, 9-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

Casper Ruud

Ranked no. 8, the Norwegian got to the final after defeating Jo-Wilfried Tsonga 6-7⁶ 7-6⁴ 6-2 7-6⁰, Emil Ruusuvuori 6-3 6-4 6-2, Lorenzo Sonego 6-2 6-7³ 1-6 6-4 6-3, Hubert Hurkacz 6-2 6-3 3-6 6-3, Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune 6-1 4-6 7-6² 6-3 and Marin Cilic 3-6 6-4 6-2 6-2.

In the semifinal against Cilic, Casper recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-4 6-2 6-2). During the match Ruud scored 121 points vs Cilic’s 103. Casper was very aggressive to blast 50 winners.

About the serving games, Ruud made 16 aces and he was extremely steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Casper Ruud was exceptionally effective on serve to win 71% (50/70) of his 1st serve and 64% (25/39) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Ruud broke Cilic 5 times after converting 33% of his break points (5/15).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Norwegian has conceded 6 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

His best result of the year was winning the title in in Buenos Aires where he beat Diego Sebastian Schwartzman in the final 5-7 6-2 6-3 and in in Geneva where he overcame Joao Sousa in the final 7-6(3) 4-6 7-6(1).

Ruud has a compiled 30-9 win-loss record in 2022, 21-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3^rd round in 2019, 2020 and 2021. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Nadal	Ruud
Match played	6	6
Tot Set	21	24
Tot Games	185	230
Pts	668-538	778-649
Total Points	1206	1427
Winners	258	344
%Winners	39%	44%

Both Nadal and Ruud played 6 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Rafael Nadal dropped 3 sets, while Casper Ruud lost 6 sets. Nadal has played 3 set(s) less than Ruud (21 vs 24). Therefore, Nadal played 45 games less than Ruud. Rafael scored 258 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Ruud scored 344 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Nadal	Ruud
Aces	13	52
Avg per match	2.2	8.7
1st in	374/568	468/685
%1st in	66%	68%
1st pts	258/374	344/468
%1st pts	69%	74%
2nd pts	116/194	132/217
%2nd pts	60%	61%

Nadal struck 13 aces (2.2 per match). Ruud recorded 52 aces (8.7 per match). Nadal won 69% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Ruud won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Nadal	Ruud
Won	38	29
Converted	38/85	29/76
% Converted	45%	38%
Conceded	38	35
Saved	20	22
% Saved	53%	63%
Times Broken	18	13

Rafael broke his opponents 38 times with a 45% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve 18 times and he saved 53% of the break points that he conceded. Ruud broke his opponents 29 times with a 38% conversion rate. Ruud conceded his serve 13 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded.

Nadal
	R1 Thompson	R2 Moutet	R3 Van De Zandschulp	R4 Auger-Aliassime	1/4 Djokovic	1/2 Zverev	Total
Score	6-2 6-2 6-2	6-3 6-1 6-4	6-3 6-2 6-4	3-6 6-3 6-2 3-6 6-3	6-2 4-6 6-2 7-64	7-68 6-6 ret.
Tot Set	3	3	3	5	4	2	20
Tot Games	24	26	27	44	39	25	185
pts	90-53	84-63	97-64	152-135	148-130	97-93	668-538
Total points	143	147	161	287	278	190	1206
Winners	30	34	40	60	64	30	258
%Winners	33%	40%	41%	39%	43%	31%	39%
SERVE
Aces	1	1	2	3	3	3	13
Double Faults	0	2	1	4	4	1	12
1st in	41/63	47/72	46/74	90/134	98/138	52/87	374/568
% 1st in	65%	65%	62%	67%	71%	60%	66%
1st pts	30/41	34/47	40/46	60/90	64/98	30/52	258/374
% 1st pts	73%	72%	87%	67%	65%	58%	69%
2nd pts	17/22	14/25	15/28	29/44	24/40	17/35	116/194
% 2nd pts	77%	56%	54%	66%	60%	49%	60%
Breaks
Won	7	7	6	6	7	5	38
Converted	7/11	7/12	6/12	6/22	7/17	5/11	38/85
Converted %	64%	58%	50%	27%	41%	45%	45%
Conceded	2	4	3	9	12	8	38
Saved	1/2	2/4	1/3	5/9	8/12	3/8	20
Saved %	50%	50%	33%	56%	67%	38%	49%
Times Broken	1	2	2	4	4	5	18

Ruud
	R1 Tsonga	R2 Ruusuvuori	R3 Sonego	R4 Hurkacz	1/4 Vitus Nodskov Rune	1/2 Cilic	Total
Score	6-76 7-64 6-2 7-60	6-3 6-4 6-2	6-2 6-73 1-6 6-4 6-3	6-2 6-3 3-6 6-3	6-1 4-6 7-62 6-3	3-6 6-4 6-2 6-2
Tot Set	4	3	5	4	4	4	24
Tot Games	47	27	47	35	39	35	230
pts	162-134	100-77	138-123	113-95	144-117	121-103	778-649
Total points	296	177	261	208	261	224	1427
Winners	77	46	66	42	63	50	344
%Winners	48%	46%	48%	37%	44%	41%	44%
SERVE
Aces	7	5	8	3	13	16	52
Double Faults	1	0	2	1	4	0	8
1st in	102/142	67/90	90/129	59/97	80/118	70/109	468/685
% 1st in	72%	74%	70%	61%	68%	64%	68%
1st pts	77/102	46/67	66/90	42/59	63/80	50/70	344/468
% 1st pts	75%	69%	73%	71%	79%	71%	74%
2nd pts	23/40	16/23	25/39	24/38	19/38	25/39	132/217
% 2nd pts	58%	70%	64%	63%	50%	64%	61%
Breaks
Won	4	4	5	6	5	5	29
Converted	4/10	4/15	5/9	6/10	5/17	5/15	29/76
Converted %	40%	27%	56%	60%	29%	33%	38%
Conceded	7	4	4	5	6	9	35
Saved	5/7	4/4	1/4	2/5	3/6	7/9	22
Saved %	71%	100%	25%	40%	50%	78%	61%
Times Broken	2	0	3	3	3	2	13

Tennis Scores – French Open

• Marcelo Arevalo/Jean-Julien RojerArevalo/Jean-Julien Rojer – Ivan Dodig/Austin KrajicekDodig/Austin Krajicek (6-7⁴ 7-6⁵ 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Rafael NadalNadal – Casper RuudRuud (0-0) – H2H and prediction