Ryan Peniston and Otto Virtanen will clash against each other in the quarter of the Surbiton Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 6:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ryan Peniston who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Ryan Peniston is the pick to win this match.
Ryan Peniston -> 1.59
Otto Virtanen -> 2.36

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Prediction and head to head Ryan Peniston vs. Otto Virtanen

This will be the 2nd time that Ryan Peniston and Otto Virtanen face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Peniston (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on grass.

The last time that they squared off, Peniston won 6-1 6-3 in the qualifications in the Sultan 2 Challenger back in 2021.

Ryan Peniston

Ryan Peniston

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
200
High
123
LLWWWLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 53-23 45-15 0-0 4-3 4-5 0-0
2024 28-24 27-16 0-1 0-3 1-4 0-0
2023 31-29 20-12 1-8 7-4 3-5 0-0
2022 31-26 4-8 5-4 13-9 9-5 0-0
2021 47-23 25-9 12-4 9-7 1-3 0-0

Ranked no. 196 (career-high), the Brit got to the quarter after beating Adrian Mannarino 2-6 6-1 6-4 and Jack Draper 6-79 7-5 6-4.

In the 2nd round against Draper, The Brit recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-79 7-5 6-4). During the match, Peniston scored 129 points vs Draper’s 120. Ryan was extremely aggressive to blast 63 winners.

Talking about the service games, Peniston scored 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Ryan Peniston lost the serve 3 times and he saved 13 break points. Furthermore, Peniston put 68% of his first serves in, winning 69% (63/91) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (20/43) on the 2nd serve. Ryan broke Draper 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Ryan has lost 2 set in this competition to conquer 52% of the points he played.

Peniston has a solid match record in the last 6 years having won 65% of his matches (191-101). 2-0 on grass in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Peniston has a composed6-7 match record in the last 6 years on grass.

Peniston’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M25 Loughborough and the Ostrava Challenger.

Ryan has an overall 17-10 win-loss record in 2022, 2-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Surbiton Challenger

Surbiton Challenger
Peniston's Record

Otto Virtanen

Otto Virtanen

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
126
High
91
LLWWWWLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 27-24 4-9 5-9 12-6 6-0 0-0
2024 43-28 9-11 5-7 24-7 5-3 0-0
2023 33-31 4-6 4-10 22-11 3-4 0-0
2022 46-31 4-1 7-12 25-13 8-3 2-2
2021 40-21 2-2 16-11 19-6 0-0 3-2

Ranked no. 376, Virtanen reached the quarter after beating Tim Van Rijthoven 6-3 3-6 7-5

, Marius Copil 6-4 6-1, Thanasi Kokkinakis 6-3 7-65 and Paul Jubb 2-6 7-5 6-3.

In the 2nd round against Jubb, Otto recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 7-5 6-3). During the match Virtanen scored 86 points vs Jubb’s 82. The Finn was quite aggressive to blast 40 winners.

Talking about serving, Virtanen blasted 9 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Otto Virtanen lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Virtanen put 58% of his first serves in, winning 82% (40/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (18/36) on the 2nd serve. Otto broke Jubb twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Otto started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

The Finn’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M25 Vilnius and M15 Kouvola.

Virtanen has a composed 21-12 win-loss record in 2022, 4-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Surbiton Challenger
Virtanen's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

R.Peniston
O.Virtanen
4h:50
4h:50
Time on court​
5h:25
5h:25
!
3h:03
3h:03
Last match​
1h:39
1h:39
2
2
Match played
!
4
4
60
60
Games Played​
98
98
6
6
Set played​​
10
10
214
214
Total points​
307
307
107
107
Avg point​
76.8
76.8
98
98
Winners
154
154
49
49
Avg Winners​
38.5
38.5
46%
46%
Ratio winners
50%
50%
-- Serve --
12
12
Aces
47
47
6
6
Avg Aces
!
11.8
11.8
3
3
Double Faults
16
16
1.5
1.5
Avg Double Faults
4
4
98/146
98/146
1st won total​
154/187
154/187
67%
67%
1st won %
!
82%
82%
37/73
37/73
2nd won total​
58/108
58/108
51%
51%
2nd won %
54%
54%
-- Break Points --
9/21
9/21
BP won
8/23
8/23
4.5/10.5
4.5/10.5
Avg BP won
2/5.8
2/5.8
43%
43%
Won
35%
35%
23
23
Conceded
17
17
11.5
11.5
Avg Conceded
4.3
4.3
6
6
Broken
3
3
3
3
Avg Broken
!
0.8
0.8
17
17
Saved
14
14

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Peniston Virtanen
Match played 2 4
Tot Set 6 10
Tot Games 60 98
Pts 214-195 307-272
Total Points 409 579
Winners 98 154
%Winners 46% 50%

Peniston played 2 matches while Virtanen competed in 4 matches. Virtanen started his run from the qualifications while Peniston had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Ryan Peniston conceded 2 sets, while Otto Virtanen conceded 2 sets. Peniston has played 4 set(s) less than Virtanen (6 vs 10). Therefore, Peniston played 38 games less than Virtanen. Peniston scored 98 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, The Finn struck 154 winners (50%).

Serve Performance

Serve Peniston Virtanen
Aces 12 47
Avg per match 6 11.8
1st in 146/219 187/295
%1st in 67% 63%
1st pts 98/146 154/187
%1st pts 67% 82%
2nd pts 37/73 58/108
%2nd pts 51% 54%

Peniston bagged 12 aces (6 per match). Virtanen scored 47 aces (11.8 per match). Peniston won 67% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Virtanen won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Peniston Virtanen
Won 9 8
Converted 9/21 8/23
% Converted 43% 35%
Conceded 23 17
Saved 17 14
% Saved 74% 82%
Times Broken 6 3

The Brit broke his opponents 9 times with a 43% conversion rate. Peniston surrendered his serve 6 times and he saved 74% of the break points that he conceded. The Finn broke his opponents 8 times with a 35% conversion rate. Virtanen conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded.

Peniston
R1
Mannarino
R2
Draper
Total
Score 2-6 6-1 6-4 6-79 7-5 6-4
Tot Set 3 3 6
Tot Games 25 35 60
pts 85-75 129-120 214-195
Total points 160 249 409
Winners 35 63 98
%Winners 41% 49% 46%
SERVE
Aces 5 7 12
Double Faults 1 2 3
1st in 55/85 91/134 146/219
% 1st in 65% 68% 67%
1st pts 35/55 63/91 98/146
% 1st pts 64% 69% 67%
2nd pts 17/30 20/43 37/73
% 2nd pts 57% 47% 51%
Breaks
Won 4 5 9
Converted 4/9 5/12 9/21
Converted % 44% 42% 43%
Conceded 7 16 23
Saved 4/7 13/16 17
Saved % 57% 81% 69%
Times Broken 3 3 6
Virtanen
Q1
Van Rijthoven
Q3
Copil
R1
Kokkinakis
R2
Jubb
Total
Score 6-3 3-6 7-5 6-4 6-1 6-3 7-65 2-6 7-5 6-3
Tot Set 3 2 2 3 10
Tot Games 30 17 22 29 98
pts 95-89 56-38 70-63 86-82 307-272
Total points 184 94 133 168 579
Winners 45 25 44 40 154
%Winners 47% 45% 63% 47% 50%
SERVE
Aces 15 5 18 9 47
Double Faults 5 3 1 7 16
1st in 57/87 29/49 52/74 49/85 187/295
% 1st in 66% 59% 70% 58% 63%
1st pts 45/57 25/29 44/52 40/49 154/187
% 1st pts 79% 86% 85% 82% 82%
2nd pts 17/30 13/20 10/22 18/36 58/108
% 2nd pts 57% 65% 45% 50% 54%
Breaks
Won 2 3 1 2 8
Converted 2/10 3/4 1/4 2/5 8/23
Converted % 20% 75% 25% 40% 35%
Conceded 6 2 4 5 17
Saved 5/6 2/2 4/4 3/5 14
Saved % 83% 100% 100% 60% 172%
Times Broken 1 0 0 2 3

Upcoming matches in the draw