Alexander Zverev and Rafael Nadal will play each other in the semifinal of the French Open for the 10th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 2.45 pm on Court PHILIPPE-CHATRIER. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rafael Nadal who should win in 4 sets.
As per the initial odds, Rafael Nadal is the pick to win this match.
Rafael Nadal -> 1.39
Alexander Zverev -> 3.32
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Prediction and head to head Alexander Zverev vs. Rafael Nadal
This will be the 10th time that Alexander Zverev and Rafael Nadal face off. The head to head is 6-3 for Nadal (see full H2H stats), 4-1 on clay.
The last time that they played, Nadal won 6-3 6-4 in the quarter in Rome back in 2021.
Highlights Rafael Nadal vs Alexander Zverev – Rome 14-May-2021
Alexander Zverev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 69-21 | 29-10 | 23-6 | 11-3 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-27 | 22-13 | 20-7 | 8-5 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-10 | 9-4 | 17-5 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 59-15 | 28-6 | 14-4 | 13-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-11 | 12-7 | 3-1 | 13-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3 (career-high), Alexander reached the semifinal after beating Sebastian Ofner 6-2 6-4 6-4, Sebastian Baez 2-6 4-6 6-1 6-2 7-5, Brandon Nakashima 7-62 6-3 7-65, Bernabe Zapata Miralles 7-611 7-5 6-3 and Carlos Alcaraz 6-4 6-4 4-6 7-67.
In the quarter, The German had a good straight sets win against Alcaraz (6-4 6-4 4-6 7-67). During the match, Zverev scored 138 points vs Alcaraz’s 125. Zverev was exceptionally aggressive to blast 68 winners.
Regarding the service games, Zverev managed to score 7 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Overall, Alexander Zverev was pretty effective on serve to win 73% (68/93) of his 1st serve and 58% (22/38) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Alexander broke Alcaraz 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alexander has conceded 3 set in this competition to win 53% of the points he played.
Zverev has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 67% of his matches (406-196). 17-4 on clay in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Zverev has an aggregate 145-65 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Zverev’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Montpellier and Madrid.
The German has a composed 29-9 win-loss record in 2022, 17-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Rafael Nadal
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12-8 | 2-1 | 10-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-8 | 23-3 | 10-2 | 1-3 | 5-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-5 | 5-2 | 19-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 27-7 | 13-3 | 9-1 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5, Rafael reached the semifinal after defeating Jordan Thompson 6-2 6-2 6-2, Corentin Moutet 6-3 6-1 6-4, Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-3 6-2 6-4, Felix Auger Aliassime 3-6 6-3 6-2 3-6 6-3 and Novak Djokovic 6-2 4-6 6-2 7-64.
In the quarter, Rafael defeated Djokovic (6-2 4-6 6-2 7-64). During the match Nadal scored 148 points vs Djokovic’s 130. Rafael was exceptionally aggressive to blast 64 winners.
Talking about serving, Nadal managed to score 3 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Rafael Nadal lost the serve 4 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Nadal put 71% of his first serves in, winning 65% (64/98) of the points behind his 1st serve and 60% (24/40) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Djokovic 7 times after converting 41% of his break points (7/17).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rafael has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title in in Melbourne where he beat Maxime Cressy in the final 7-6(6) 6-3 and in at the Australian Open where he overcame Daniil Medvedev in the final 2-6 6-7(5) 6-4 6-4 7-5 and in in Acapulco where he overcame Cameron Norrie in the final 6-4 6-4.
Nadal has an overall 28-3 win-loss record in 2022, 8-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Previously, he won this tournament 13 times in 2005, 2006, 2007, 2008, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2017, 2018, 2019 and 2020. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Zverev | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 18 | 18 |
| Tot Games | 185 | 160 |
| Pts | 507-441 | 571-445 |
| Total Points | 948 | 1016 |
| Winners | 235 | 228 |
| %Winners | 46% | 40% |
Both Zverev and Nadal played 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alexander Zverev surrendered 3 sets, while Rafael Nadal lost 3 sets. Talking about their workload, Zverev and Nadal have played the same amount of sets 18. However, Zverev played 25 games more than Nadal. Zverev scored 235 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Rafael blasted 228 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Zverev | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 38 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 7.6 | 2 |
| 1st in | 331/488 | 322/481 |
| %1st in | 68% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 235/331 | 228/322 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 77/152 | 99/159 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 62% |
Zverev recorded 38 aces (7.6 per match). Nadal recorded 10 aces (2 per match). Zverev won 71% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Nadal won 71% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Zverev | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 22 | 33 |
| Converted | 22/43 | 33/74 |
| % Converted | 51% | 45% |
| Conceded | 32 | 30 |
| Saved | 19 | 17 |
| % Saved | 59% | 57% |
| Times Broken | 13 | 13 |
Zverev broke his opponents 22 times with a 51% conversion rate. Zverev lost his serve 13 times and he saved 59% of the break points that he conceded. Rafael broke his opponents 33 times with a 45% conversion rate. Nadal conceded his serve 13 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded.
| Zverev | |||||||
| R1 Ofner |
R2 Baez |
R3 Nakashima |
R4 Zapata Miralles |
1/4 Alcaraz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 6-4 | 2-6 4-6 6-1 6-2 7-5 | 7-62 6-3 7-65 | 7-611 7-5 6-3 | 6-4 6-4 4-6 7-67 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 18 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 45 | 35 | 34 | 43 | 185 | |
| pts | 94-72 | 151-136 | – | 124-108 | 138-125 | 507-441 | |
| Total points | 166 | 287 | 0 | 232 | 263 | 948 | |
| Winners | 41 | 72 | 54 | 68 | 235 | ||
| %Winners | 44% | 48% | 0% | 44% | 49% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 13 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 38 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 22 | ||
| 1st in | 48/74 | 106/155 | / | 84/128 | 93/131 | 331/488 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 68% | 0% | 66% | 71% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 41/48 | 72/106 | / | 54/84 | 68/93 | 235/331 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 68% | 0% | 64% | 73% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/26 | 23/49 | / | 16/39 | 22/38 | 77/152 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 47% | 0% | 41% | 58% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 4 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 22 | ||
| Converted | 4/15 | 7/11 | / | 8/9 | 3/8 | 22/43 | |
| Converted % | 27% | 64% | 0% | 89% | 38% | 51% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 32 | ||
| Saved | 0/0 | 8/13 | 0/ | 7/13 | 4/6 | 19 | |
| Saved % | – | 62% | – | 54% | 67% | 37% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 13 | ||
| Nadal | |||||||
| R1 Thompson |
R2 Moutet |
R3 Van De Zandschulp |
R4 Auger-Aliassime |
1/4 Djokovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 6-2 | 6-3 6-1 6-4 | 6-3 6-2 6-4 | 3-6 6-3 6-2 3-6 6-3 | 6-2 4-6 6-2 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 18 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 26 | 27 | 44 | 39 | 160 | |
| pts | 90-53 | 84-63 | 97-64 | 152-135 | 148-130 | 571-445 | |
| Total points | 143 | 147 | 161 | 287 | 278 | 1016 | |
| Winners | 30 | 34 | 40 | 60 | 64 | 228 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 40% | 41% | 39% | 43% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 41/63 | 47/72 | 46/74 | 90/134 | 98/138 | 322/481 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | 62% | 67% | 71% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 30/41 | 34/47 | 40/46 | 60/90 | 64/98 | 228/322 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 72% | 87% | 67% | 65% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/22 | 14/25 | 15/28 | 29/44 | 24/40 | 99/159 | |
| % 2nd pts | 77% | 56% | 54% | 66% | 60% | 62% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 33 | |
| Converted | 7/11 | 7/12 | 6/12 | 6/22 | 7/17 | 33/74 | |
| Converted % | 64% | 58% | 50% | 27% | 41% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 30 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 2/4 | 1/3 | 5/9 | 8/12 | 17 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | 33% | 56% | 67% | 51% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWWWWL
LLWLWWWWLL Tennis Scores – French Open
- Marin CilicCilic – Andrey RublevRublev (5-7 6-3 6-4 3-6 7-62) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (6-1 4-6 7-62 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz (6-4 6-4 4-6 7-67) – See score progression
- Ivan Dodig/Austin KrajicekDodig/Austin Krajicek – Rajeev Ram/Joe SalisburyRam/Joe Salisbury (3-6 7-69 7-610) – See score progression
- Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio Zeballos – Wesley Koolhof/Neal SkupskiKoolhof/Neal Skupski (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Rafael NadalNadal – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (6-2 4-6 6-2 7-64) – See score progression
- Marcelo Arevalo/Jean-Julien RojerArevalo/Jean-Julien Rojer – Rafael Matos/David Vega HernandezMatos/David Vega Hernandez (7-66 6-3) – See score progression
- Rohan Bopanna/Matwe MiddelkoopBopanna/Matwe Middelkoop – Lloyd Glasspool/Harri HeliovaaraGlasspool/Harri Heliovaara (4-6 6-4 7-63) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Rafael NadalNadal – Alexander ZverevZverev (6-3) – H2H and prediction
- Casper RuudRuud – Marin CilicCilic (2-0) – H2H and prediction
