Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Daniel Dutra Da Silva will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Poznan Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 4:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Camilo Ugo Carabelli who should win in 2 sets.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 1.27
Daniel Dutra Da Silva -> 3.76
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Prediction and head to head Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Daniel Dutra Da Silva
There is no head to head record between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Daniel Dutra Da Silva since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 33-29 | 5-9 | 27-14 | 1-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 58-30 | 6-5 | 52-24 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-26 | 0-2 | 41-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-24 | 3-4 | 36-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-24 | 4-2 | 39-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 155, the Argentine got to the 2nd round after defeating Maks Kasnikowski 5-7 6-4 6-1.
In the 1st round against Kasnikowski, The Argentine recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-4 6-1). During the match, Ugo Carabelli scored 104 points vs Kasnikowski’s 87. The Argentine was very aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ugo Carabelli fired 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Camilo Ugo Carabelli lost the serve 4 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Ugo Carabelli put 59% of his first serves in, winning 61% (33/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 58% (22/38) on the 2nd serve. Camilo broke Kasnikowski 7 times after converting 54% of his break points (7/13).
Ugo Carabelli has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 64% of his matches (231-129). 20-8 on clay in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Ugo Carabelli has an aggregate204-109 record in the last 7 years on clay.
Camilo’s best result of the year was reaching the final in the Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger and the Buenos Aires 2 Challenger.
Ugo Carabelli has a composed 23-11 win-loss record in 2022, 20-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Poznan Challenger
The Argentine has never competed in this tournament before.
Daniel Dutra Da Silva
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 42-35 | 0-0 | 42-34 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 52-35 | 7-3 | 45-32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-28 | 7-1 | 24-27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 25-37 | 1-3 | 24-34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 46-21 | 2-1 | 44-20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 273, the Brazilian got to the 2nd round after defeating Jeremy Jahn 6-1 6-4, Timo Stodder 3-6 7-64 6-0 and Renzo Olivo 6-2 7-66.
In the 1st round, Dutra Da Silva had a good straight sets win against Olivo (6-2 7-66). During the match Dutra Da Silva scored 91 points vs Olivo’s 75. The Brazilian was extremely aggressive to blast 27 winners.
About the serving games, Dutra Da Silva scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 3 double faults. Daniel Dutra Da Silva lost the serve 4 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Dutra Da Silva put 59% of his first serves in, winning 54% (27/50) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (19/35) on the 2nd serve. The Brazilian broke Olivo 6 times after converting 46% of his break points (6/13).
The Brazilian’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in the Santa Cruz de la Sierra 2 Challenger and the Vicenza Challenger.
Daniel has an aggregate 19-17 win-loss record in 2022, 18-16 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ugo Carabelli | Dutra Da Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 29 | 66 |
| Pts | 104-87 | 247-202 |
| Total Points | 191 | 449 |
| Winners | 33 | 73 |
| %Winners | 32% | 30% |
Ugo Carabelli played 1 match while Dutra Da Silva competed in 3 matches. Dutra Da Silva started his run from the qualifications while Ugo Carabelli had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Camilo Ugo Carabelli conceded 1 set, while Daniel Dutra Da Silva conceded 1 set. Ugo Carabelli has played 4 set(s) less than Dutra Da Silva (3 vs 7). Therefore, Ugo Carabelli played 37 games less than Dutra Da Silva. The Argentine scored 33 winners (32% of the total points). On the other side, Dutra Da Silva struck 73 winners (30%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ugo Carabelli | Dutra Da Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 0.7 |
| 1st in | 54/92 | 122/223 |
| %1st in | 59% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 33/54 | 73/122 |
| %1st pts | 61% | 60% |
| 2nd pts | 22/38 | 58/101 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 57% |
Ugo Carabelli scored 4 aces . Dutra Da Silva made 2 aces (0.7 per match). Ugo Carabelli won 61% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Dutra Da Silva won 60% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ugo Carabelli | Dutra Da Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 16 |
| Converted | 7/13 | 16/32 |
| % Converted | 54% | 50% |
| Conceded | 10 | 22 |
| Saved | 6 | 13 |
| % Saved | 60% | 59% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 9 |
Camilo broke his opponent 7 times with a 54% conversion rate. Camilo conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. The Brazilian broke his opponents 16 times with a 50% conversion rate. Dutra Da Silva conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 59% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ugo Carabelli | |||
| R1 Kasnikowski | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 29 | |
| pts | 104-87 | 104-87 | |
| Total points | 191 | 191 | |
| Winners | 33 | 33 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 32% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 54/92 | 54/92 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 33/54 | 33/54 | |
| % 1st pts | 61% | 61% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/38 | 22/38 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 7 | 7 | |
| Converted | 7/13 | 7/13 | |
| Converted % | 54% | 54% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 10 | |
| Saved | 6/10 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Dutra Da Silva | |||||
| Q1 Jahn | Q3 Stodder | R1 Olivo | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | 3-6 7-64 6-0 | 6-2 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 28 | 21 | 66 | |
| pts | 66-42 | 90-85 | 91-75 | 247-202 | |
| Total points | 108 | 175 | 166 | 449 | |
| Winners | 20 | 26 | 27 | 73 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 29% | 30% | 30% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 26/49 | 46/89 | 50/85 | 122/223 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 52% | 59% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 20/26 | 26/46 | 27/50 | 73/122 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 57% | 54% | 60% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/23 | 24/43 | 19/35 | 58/101 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 56% | 54% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 6 | 16 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 6/9 | 6/13 | 16/32 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 67% | 46% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 8 | 12 | 22 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 4/8 | 8/12 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | 67% | 167% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | |
Tennis Scores in Poznan Challenger
- Genaro Alberto OlivieriAlberto Olivieri – Gregoire BarrereBarrere (4-6 6-4 7-60) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Chun Hsin TsengHsin Tseng – Aldin SetkicSetkic (7-5 7-67) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Henri LaaksonenLaaksonen (6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daniel Dutra Da SilvaDutra Da Silva – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Dimitar KuzmanovKuzmanov – Hugo GrenierGrenier (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Georgii KravchenkoKravchenko (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marcelo Tomas Barrios VeraTomas Barrios Vera – Elmar EjupovicEjupovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Genaro Alberto OlivieriAlberto Olivieri – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Zizou BergsBergs – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (0-0) – H2H and prediction