H2H, PREDICTION Novak Djokovic vs Rafael Nadal | French Open odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. Paris. Djokovic and Nadal will face off in the quarter of the French Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match

Prediction and head to head Novak Djokovic vs. Rafael Nadal

Novak Djokovic and Rafael Nadal will square off in the quarter of the French Open for the 59th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 8:45 pm on Court PHILIPPE-CHATRIER. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Novak Djokovic who should win in 4 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Novak Djokovic is the pick to win this match.
Novak Djokovic -> 1.49
Rafael Nadal -> 2.78

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Prediction and head to head Novak Djokovic vs. Rafael Nadal

This will be the 59th time that Novak Djokovic and Rafael Nadal face off. The head to head is 30-28 for Djokovic (see full H2H stats), but Nadal leads 19-8 on clay.

The last time that they played each other, Djokovic won 3-6 6-3 7-6(4) 6-2 in the semifinal in at the French Open back in 2021.

Highlights Novak Djokovic vs Rafael Nadal – French Open 11-June-2021

Novak Djokovic

Novak Djokovic
Novak Djokovic

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
4
High
1
WLWWWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 32-8 10-4 16-3 1-0 5-1 0-0
2023 56-7 27-1 12-3 11-2 6-1 0-0
2022 42-7 2-1 14-4 19-2 7-0 0-0
2021 55-7 19-3 18-3 11-1 7-0 0-0
2020 41-5 26-1 11-1 4-3 0-0 0-0

Currently world no. 1 Djokovic got to the quarter after beating Yoshihito Nishioka 6-3 6-1 6-0, Alex Molcan 6-2 6-3 7-64, Aljaz Bedene 6-3 6-3 6-2 and Diego Sebastian Schwartzman 6-1 6-3 6-3.

In the 4th round, Novak had a good straight sets win against Schwartzman (6-1 6-3 6-3). During the match, Djokovic scored 98 points vs Schwartzman’s 67. The Serbian was pretty aggressive to blast 42 winners.

Talking about the service games, Djokovic recorded 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Novak Djokovic was very effective on serve to win 74% (42/57) of his 1st serve and 54% (14/26) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Serbian broke Schwartzman 6 times after converting 55% of his break points (6/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Novak hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to win 60% of the points he played.

Djokovic has a tremendous win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 87% of his matches (536-80). 14-3 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Djokovic has a composed 142-27 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

His best result of the year was winning the title in in Rome where he defeated Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-0 7-6(5).

Novak has a compiled 16-4 win-loss record in 2022, 14-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

Djokovic
French Open
Djokovic's Record

Rafael Nadal

Rafael Nadal
Rafael Nadal

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
154
High
1
LWLWWWWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 12-7 2-1 10-6 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 1-3 1-3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 39-8 23-3 10-2 1-3 5-0 0-0
2021 24-5 5-2 19-3 0-0 0-0 0-0
2020 27-7 13-3 9-1 5-3 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 5, Rafael reached the quarter after beating Jordan Thompson 6-2 6-2 6-2, Corentin Moutet 6-3 6-1 6-4, Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-3 6-2 6-4 and Felix Auger Aliassime 3-6 6-3 6-2 3-6 6-3.

In the 4th round, Rafael had a tough win against Auger-Aliassime to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (3-6 6-3 6-2 3-6 6-3). During the match Nadal scored 152 points vs Auger-Aliassime’s 135. Nadal was extremely aggressive to blast 60 winners.

About the serving games, Nadal blasted 3 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Rafael Nadal lost the serve 4 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Nadal put 67% of his first serves in, winning 67% (60/90) of the points behind his 1st serve and 66% (29/44) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Auger-Aliassime 6 times after converting 27% of his break points (6/22).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Spaniard has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in in Melbourne where he defeated Maxime Cressy in the final 7-6(6) 6-3 and in at the Australian Open where he overcame Daniil Medvedev in the final 2-6 6-7(5) 6-4 6-4 7-5 and in in Acapulco where he defeated Cameron Norrie in the final 6-4 6-4.

The Spaniard has an overall 27-3 win-loss record in 2022, 7-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

Previously, he won this tournament 13 times in 2005, 2006, 2007, 2008, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2017, 2018, 2019 and 2020. See his history.

Nadal
French Open
Nadal's Record
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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

N.Djokovic
R.Nadal
8h:13
8h:13
Time on court​
10h:43
10h:43
!
2h:15
2h:15
Last match​
!
4h:21
4h:21
4
4
Match played
4
4
103
103
Games Played​
121
121
12
12
Set played​​
14
14
395
395
Total points​
423
423
98.8
98.8
Avg point​
105.8
105.8
179
179
Winners
164
164
44.8
44.8
Avg Winners​
41
41
45%
45%
Ratio winners
39%
39%
-- Serve --
31
31
Aces
7
7
7.8
7.8
Avg Aces
1.8
1.8
2
2
Double Faults
7
7
0.5
0.5
Avg Double Faults
1.8
1.8
179/231
179/231
1st won total​
164/224
164/224
!
77%
77%
1st won %
!
73%
73%
52/93
52/93
2nd won total​
75/119
75/119
56%
56%
2nd won %
!
63%
63%
-- Break Points --
23/48
23/48
BP won
26/57
26/57
5.8/12
5.8/12
Avg BP won
6.5/14.3
6.5/14.3
48%
48%
Won
46%
46%
17
17
Conceded
18
18
4.3
4.3
Avg Conceded
4.5
4.5
3
3
Broken
9
9
!
0.8
0.8
Avg Broken
2.3
2.3
14
14
Saved
9
9

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Djokovic Nadal
Match played 4 4
Tot Set 12 14
Tot Games 103 121
Pts 395-266 423-315
Total Points 661 738
Winners 179 164
%Winners 45% 39%

Both Djokovic and Nadal played 4 matches. At the moment, Rafael Nadal lost 2 sets while Novak Djokovic hasn’t lost a set so far. Djokovic has played 2 set(s) less than Nadal (12 vs 14). Therefore, Djokovic played 18 games less than Nadal. Djokovic scored 179 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Rafael scored 164 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve Djokovic Nadal
Aces 31 7
Avg per match 7.8 1.8
1st in 231/324 224/343
%1st in 71% 65%
1st pts 179/231 164/224
%1st pts 77% 73%
2nd pts 52/93 75/119
%2nd pts 56% 63%

Djokovic struck 31 aces (7.8 per match). Nadal bagged 7 aces (1.8 per match). Djokovic won 77% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Nadal won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Djokovic Nadal
Won 23 26
Converted 23/48 26/57
% Converted 48% 46%
Conceded 17 18
Saved 14 9
% Saved 82% 50%
Times Broken 3 9

Novak broke his opponents 23 times with a 48% conversion rate. Djokovic lost his serve 3 times and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded. The Spaniard broke his opponents 26 times with a 46% conversion rate. Rafael conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.

Djokovic
R1
Nishioka
R2
Molcan
R3
Bedene
R4
Schwartzman
Total
Score 6-3 6-1 6-0 6-2 6-3 7-64 6-3 6-3 6-2 6-1 6-3 6-3
Tot Set 3 3 3 3 12
Tot Games 22 30 26 25 103
pts 100-65 106-76 91-58 98-67 395-266
Total points 165 182 149 165 661
Winners 44 52 41 42 179
%Winners 44% 49% 45% 43% 45%
SERVE
Aces 9 10 9 3 31
Double Faults 0 0 1 1 2
1st in 60/86 66/89 48/66 57/83 231/324
% 1st in 70% 74% 73% 69% 71%
1st pts 44/60 52/66 41/48 42/57 179/231
% 1st pts 73% 79% 85% 74% 77%
2nd pts 11/26 14/23 13/18 14/26 52/93
% 2nd pts 42% 61% 72% 54% 56%
Breaks
Won 8 4 5 6 23
Converted 8/18 4/8 5/11 6/11 23/48
Converted % 44% 50% 45% 55% 48%
Conceded 6 2 1 8 17
Saved 5/6 1/2 1/1 7/8 14
Saved % 83% 50% 100% 88% 80%
Times Broken 1 1 0 1 3
Nadal
R1
Thompson
R2
Moutet
R3
Van De Zandschulp
R4
Auger-Aliassime
Total
Score 6-2 6-2 6-2 6-3 6-1 6-4 6-3 6-2 6-4 3-6 6-3 6-2 3-6 6-3
Tot Set 3 3 3 5 14
Tot Games 24 26 27 44 121
pts 90-53 84-63 97-64 152-135 423-315
Total points 143 147 161 287 738
Winners 30 34 40 60 164
%Winners 33% 40% 41% 39% 39%
SERVE
Aces 1 1 2 3 7
Double Faults 0 2 1 4 7
1st in 41/63 47/72 46/74 90/134 224/343
% 1st in 65% 65% 62% 67% 65%
1st pts 30/41 34/47 40/46 60/90 164/224
% 1st pts 73% 72% 87% 67% 73%
2nd pts 17/22 14/25 15/28 29/44 75/119
% 2nd pts 77% 56% 54% 66% 63%
Breaks
Won 7 7 6 6 26
Converted 7/11 7/12 6/12 6/22 26/57
Converted % 64% 58% 50% 27% 46%
Conceded 2 4 3 9 18
Saved 1/2 2/4 1/3 5/9 9
Saved % 50% 50% 33% 56% 47%
Times Broken 1 2 2 4 9

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Djokovic
WLWWWWWWWW
Nadal
LWLWWWWLLW
2024 2023 2022
31 - 8
12 - 7
10-4
Hard
2-1
16-3
Clay
10-6
5-1
Grass
0-0

Tennis Scores – French Open

  • Marcelo Arevalo/Jean-Julien RojerArevalo/Jean-Julien RojerTim Puetz/Michael VenusPuetz/Michael Venus (6-4 2-6 6-1) – See score progression
  • Rohan Bopanna/Matwe MiddelkoopBopanna/Matwe MiddelkoopNikola Mektic/Mate PavicMektic/Mate Pavic (6-75 7-63 7-610) – See score progression
  • Ivan Dodig/Austin KrajicekDodig/Austin KrajicekAlexander Bublik/Thanasi KokkinakisBublik/Thanasi Kokkinakis (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
  • Jannik SinnerSinnerMackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (6-3 7-66 6-3) – See score progression
  • Andrey RublevRublevCristian GarinGarin (6-4 3-6 6-2 7-611) – See score progression
  • Daniil MedvedevMedvedevMiomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (6-2 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
  • Rajeev Ram/Joe SalisburyRam/Joe SalisburyMaxime Cressy/Feliciano LopezCressy/Feliciano Lopez (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
  • Casper RuudRuudLorenzo SonegoSonego (6-2 6-73 1-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
  • Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipasMikael YmerYmer (6-2 6-2 6-1) – See score progression
  • Marin CilicCilicGilles SimonSimon (6-0 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
  • Lloyd Glasspool/Harri HeliovaaraGlasspool/Harri HeliovaaraHugo Nys/Jan ZielinskiNys/Jan Zielinski (7-67 6-3) – See score progression
  • Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov RuneHugo GastonGaston (6-3 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
  • Hubert HurkaczHurkaczDavid GoffinGoffin (7-5 6-2 6-1) – See score progression
  • Carlos AlcarazAlcarazSebastian KordaKorda (6-4 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
  • Karen KhachanovKhachanovCameron NorrieNorrie (6-2 7-5 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
  • Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian SchwartzmanGrigor DimitrovDimitrov (6-3 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
  • Alexander ZverevZverevBrandon NakashimaNakashima (7-62 6-3 7-65) – See score progression
  • Rafael NadalNadalBotic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-3 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
  • Novak DjokovicDjokovicAljaz BedeneBedene (6-3 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
  • Felix Auger AliassimeAuger AliassimeFilip KrajinovicKrajinovic (7-63 7-62 7-5) – See score progression
  • Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata MirallesJohn IsnerIsner (6-4 3-6 6-4 6-75 6-3) – See score progression
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