Daniel Michalski and Lucas Gerch will play each other in the qualifications of the Poznan Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 10:30 am on CENTRE COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniel Michalski who should win in 2 sets.
Daniel Michalski -> 1.39
Lucas Gerch -> 2.9
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Prediction and head to head Daniel Michalski vs. Lucas Gerch
This will be the 3rd time that Daniel Michalski and Lucas Gerch face off. The head to head is 2-0 for Michalski (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Michalski won 7-5 6-0 in the semifinal in M15 Antalya back in 2021.
Daniel Michalski
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 51-29 | 5-3 | 46-26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-26 | 1-6 | 36-19 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-25 | 4-6 | 36-18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-24 | 0-0 | 51-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 47-25 | 0-3 | 47-20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 278 (career-high), Michalski got to the qualifications after defeating Anirudh Chandrasekar 6-2 6-1.
In the qualifications, Daniel had a good straight sets win against Chandrasekar (6-2 6-1). During the match, Michalski scored 57 points vs Chandrasekar’s 36. The Pole was extremely aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about the service games, Michalski fired 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Daniel Michalski conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 2 break points. Furthermore, Michalski put 67% of his first serves in, winning 83% (25/30) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (7/15) on the 2nd serve. The Pole broke Chandrasekar 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Michalski has a solid match record in the last 6 years having won 64% of his matches (138-78). 29-10 on clay in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Michalski has an overall112-56 win-loss record in the last 6 years on clay.
Michalski’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M15 Cairo and the Zadar Challenger.
Daniel has a compiled 29-10 win-loss record in 2022, 29-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Poznan Challenger
Lucas Gerch
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26-17 | 6-4 | 20-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-23 | 0-2 | 35-16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 2023 | 32-20 | 2-2 | 26-14 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-29 | 11-3 | 36-20 | 10-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-27 | 8-8 | 20-18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 368, the German got to the qualifications after beating Blazej Sopolinski 6-1 6-3.
In the qualifications, Gerch had a good straight sets win against Sopolinski (6-1 6-3). During the match Gerch scored 59 points vs Sopolinski’s 36. Lucas was pretty aggressive to blast 23 winners.
About the serving games, Gerch scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Lucas Gerch was pretty effective on serve to win 85% (23/27) of his 1st serve and 90% (9/10) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Gerch broke Sopolinski 4 times after converting 31% of his break points (4/13).
Lucas’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M25 Cancun.
Gerch has a composed 26-12 win-loss record in 2022, 13-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Poznan Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Michalski | Gerch |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 15 | 16 |
| Pts | 57-36 | 59-36 |
| Total Points | 93 | 95 |
| Winners | 25 | 23 |
| %Winners | 44% | 39% |
Both Michalski and Gerch played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Michalski and Gerch have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Michalski played 1 game less than Gerch. The Pole scored 25 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Gerch made 23 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Michalski | Gerch |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 1 |
| 1st in | 30/45 | 27/37 |
| %1st in | 67% | 73% |
| 1st pts | 25/30 | 23/27 |
| %1st pts | 83% | 85% |
| 2nd pts | 7/15 | 9/10 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 90% |
Michalski recorded 2 aces . Gerch managed to score 1 ace . Michalski won 83% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Gerch won 85% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 90% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Michalski | Gerch |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 4 |
| Converted | 5/8 | 4/13 |
| % Converted | 63% | 31% |
| Conceded | 2 | 0 |
| Saved | 2 | 0 |
| % Saved | 100% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
The Pole broke his opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. The Pole pretty effective on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 2 break points. Gerch broke his opponent 4 times with a 31% conversion rate. Lucas was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Michalski | |||
| Q1 Chandrasekar | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 57-36 | 57-36 | |
| Total points | 93 | 93 | |
| Winners | 25 | 25 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 30/45 | 30/45 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 25/30 | 25/30 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/15 | 7/15 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 47% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/8 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Gerch | |||
| Q1 Sopolinski | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 59-36 | 59-36 | |
| Total points | 95 | 95 | |
| Winners | 23 | 23 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 27/37 | 27/37 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 23/27 | 23/27 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/10 | 9/10 | |
| % 2nd pts | 90% | 90% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/13 | 4/13 | |
| Converted % | 31% | 31% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
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