Daria Kasatkina and Shelby Rogers will face off in the 3rd round of the French Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 1:00 pm on Court 7. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daria Kasatkina who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Daria Kasatkina is the pick to win this match.
Daria Kasatkina -> 1.51
Shelby Rogers -> 2.71

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Prediction and head to head Daria Kasatkina vs. Shelby Rogers

This will be the 2nd time that Daria Kasatkina and Shelby Rogers fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Rogers (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.

The last time that they competed against each other, Rogers won 6-4 5-7 6-0 in the 2nd round in Miami back in 2017.

Daria Kasatkina

Daria Kasatkina

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
37
High
8
LLLWWLLWLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 19-22 12-13 5-5 0-0 2-4 0-0
2024 40-23 24-16 8-4 0-1 8-2 0-0
2023 39-25 19-15 12-6 2-1 6-3 0-0
2022 41-22 24-14 12-5 1-1 4-2 0-0
2021 38-19 19-10 5-5 7-1 7-3 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 20, Kasatkina got to the 3rd round after beating Rebecca Sramkova 6-2 6-0 and Fernanda Contreras Gomez 6-0 6-3.

In the 2nd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Contreras Gomez (6-0 6-3). During the match, Kasatkina scored 55 points vs Contreras Gomez’s 31. The Russian was quite aggressive to blast 19 winners.

Talking about the service games, Kasatkina couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault. Daria Kasatkina lost the serve once. Furthermore, Kasatkina put 71% of her first serves in, winning 76% (19/25) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (5/10) on the 2nd serve. Kasatkina was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Contreras Gomez 6 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Darya hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to win 64% of the points she played.

Kasatkina has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of her matches (285-157). 9-3 on clay in 2022. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Kasatkina has a compiled 108-43 record in the last years on clay.

Kasatkina’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Melbourne, Sydney and Rome.

Darya has a compiled 20-10 win-loss record in 2022, 9-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

French Open
Kasatkina's Record

Shelby Rogers

Shelby Rogers

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
341
High
30
LLLLLLWLWL
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Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 5-11 2-8 3-3 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 14-14 11-8 3-4 0-0 0-2 0-0
2022 19-20 13-9 2-4 0-3 4-4 0-0
2021 29-23 20-12 5-6 0-1 4-4 0-0
2020 21-10 16-9 1-1 4-0 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 50, the American reached the 3rd round after defeating Tereza Martincova 6-4 6-3 and Danielle Rose Collins 6-4 6-3.

In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Collins (6-4 6-3). During the match Rogers scored 59 points vs Collins’s 50. Rogers was very aggressive to blast 19 winners.

About the serving games, Rogers managed to score 2 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Shelby Rogers lost the serve 3 times and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Rogers put 60% of her first serves in, winning 61% (19/31) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (10/21) on the 2nd serve. Rogers broke Collins 6 times after converting 55% of her break points (6/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Shelby hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.

The American has an aggregate 8-10 win-loss record in 2022, 2-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2016. See her history.

French Open
Rogers's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

D.Kasatkina
S.Rogers
1h:50
1h:50
Time on court​
!
2h:50
2h:50
!
0h:56
0h:56
Last match​
1h:16
1h:16
2
2
Match played
2
2
29
29
Games Played​
38
38
4
4
Set played​​
4
4
108
108
Total points​
134
134
54
54
Avg point​
67
67
45
45
Winners
41
41
22.5
22.5
Avg Winners​
20.5
20.5
42%
42%
Ratio winners
31%
31%
-- Serve --
1
1
Aces
4
4
0.5
0.5
Avg Aces
2
2
2
2
Double Faults
3
3
1
1
Avg Double Faults
1.5
1.5
45/60
45/60
1st won total​
41/63
41/63
!
75%
75%
1st won %
65%
65%
10/19
10/19
2nd won total​
34/63
34/63
53%
53%
2nd won %
54%
54%
-- Break Points --
11/12
11/12
BP won
10/19
10/19
5.5/6
5.5/6
Avg BP won
5/9.5
5/9.5
!
92%
92%
Won
!
53%
53%
2
2
Conceded
10
10
1
1
Avg Conceded
5
5
1
1
Broken
4
4
!
0.5
0.5
Avg Broken
2
2
1
1
Saved
6
6
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Kasatkina Rogers
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 4
Tot Games 29 38
Pts 108-61 134-114
Total Points 169 248
Winners 45 41
%Winners 42% 31%

Both Kasatkina and Rogers played 2 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Kasatkina and Rogers have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Kasatkina played 9 games less than Rogers. Kasatkina scored 45 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Rogers blasted 41 winners (31%).

Serve Performance

Serve Kasatkina Rogers
Aces 1 4
Avg per match 0.5 2
1st in 60/76 63/126
%1st in 79% 50%
1st pts 45/60 41/63
%1st pts 75% 65%
2nd pts 10/19 34/63
%2nd pts 53% 54%

Kasatkina struck 1 ace (0.5 per match). Rogers also made 4 aces (2 per match). Kasatkina won 75% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Rogers won 65% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Kasatkina Rogers
Won 11 10
Converted 11/12 10/19
% Converted 92% 53%
Conceded 2 10
Saved 1 6
% Saved 50% 60%
Times Broken 1 4

Darya broke her opponents 11 times with a 92% conversion rate. Kasatkina lost her serve once and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Rogers broke her opponents 10 times with a 53% conversion rate. Shelby conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 60% of the break points that she conceded.

Kasatkina
R1
Sramkova		 R2
Contreras Gomez		 Total
Score 6-2 6-0 6-0 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 14 15 29
pts 53-30 55-31 108-61
Total points 83 86 169
Winners 26 19 45
%Winners 49% 35% 42%
SERVE
Aces 1 0 1
Double Faults 1 1 2
1st in 35/41 25/35 60/76
% 1st in 85% 71% 79%
1st pts 26/35 19/25 45/60
% 1st pts 74% 76% 75%
2nd pts 5/9 5/10 10/19
% 2nd pts 56% 50% 53%
Breaks
Won 5 6 11
Converted 5/6 6/6 11/12
Converted % 83% 100% 92%
Conceded 1 1 2
Saved 1/1 0/1 1
Saved % 100% 0% 50%
Times Broken 0 1 1
Rogers
R1
Martincova		 R2
Collins		 Total
Score 6-4 6-3 6-4 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 19 19 38
pts 75-64 59-50 134-114
Total points 139 109 248
Winners 22 19 41
%Winners 29% 32% 31%
SERVE
Aces 2 2 4
Double Faults 1 2 3
1st in 32/74 31/52 63/126
% 1st in 43% 60% 50%
1st pts 22/32 19/31 41/63
% 1st pts 69% 61% 65%
2nd pts 24/42 10/21 34/63
% 2nd pts 57% 48% 54%
Breaks
Won 4 6 10
Converted 4/8 6/11 10/19
Converted % 50% 55% 53%
Conceded 6 4 10
Saved 5/6 1/4 6
Saved % 83% 25% 54%
Times Broken 1 3 4

Tennis Scores – French Open

Upcoming matches in the draw

Kasatkina
More Stats
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Rogers

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