Elise Mertens and Varvara Gracheva will play each other in the 3rd round of the French Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 1:00 pm on Court 7. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elise Mertens who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Elise Mertens is the pick to win this match.
Elise Mertens -> 1.47
Varvara Gracheva -> 2.85
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Prediction and head to head Elise Mertens vs. Varvara Gracheva
There is no head to head record between Elise Mertens and Varvara Gracheva since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Elise Mertens
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27-25 | 17-15 | 6-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-22 | 24-16 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-23 | 19-14 | 4-3 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-20 | 20-10 | 9-5 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 34-13 | 17-7 | 9-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 32, Elise got to the 3rd round after defeating Elena Gabriela Ruse 6-3 6-1 and Marie Bouzkova w/o.
In the 2nd round, Mertens defeated Bouzkova (w/o). During the match, Mertens and Bouzkova scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 32 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The Belgian was not very aggressive to strike just winners.
Talking about the service games, Mertens wasn’t able to score even 1 ace during the encounter and she was pretty steady in conceding no double faults. Elise Mertens conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of her first serves in, win 0% (0) of the points behind her 1st serve and 0% (0) on the 2nd serve.
Mertens has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 65% of her matches (369-198). 3-2 on clay in 2022. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Mertens has a compiled 92-51 match record in the last years on clay.
Elise has an overall 12-9 win-loss record in 2022, 3-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Varvara Gracheva
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 29-28 | 13-15 | 15-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-30 | 23-18 | 7-6 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-32 | 7-11 | 12-14 | 10-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-31 | 11-10 | 7-10 | 9-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 10-14 | 5-7 | 4-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 71, Gracheva got to the 3rd round after beating Astra Sharma 4-6 6-4 7-5 and Ajla Tomljanovic 6-4 6-75 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Gracheva defeated Tomljanovic (6-4 6-75 7-5). During the match Gracheva scored 114 points vs Tomljanovic’s 107. Gracheva was extremely aggressive to blast 47 winners.
About the serving games, Gracheva made 4 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Varvara Gracheva lost the serve 4 times and she saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Gracheva put 58% of her first serves in, winning 68% (47/69) of the points behind her 1st serve and 51% (26/51) on the 2nd serve. Varvara broke Tomljanovic 6 times after converting 75% of her break points (6/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points she played.
Varvara has an aggregate 18-11 win-loss record in 2022, 10-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mertens | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 16 | 67 |
| Pts | 58-36 | 215-203 |
| Total Points | 94 | 418 |
| Winners | 18 | 86 |
| %Winners | 31% | 40% |
Mertens played 1 match while Gracheva competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Varvara Gracheva lost 2 sets while Elise Mertens hasn’t conceded a set so far. Mertens has played 4 set(s) less than Gracheva (2 vs 6). Therefore, Mertens played 51 games less than Gracheva. Elise scored 18 winners (31% of the total points). On the other side, Varvara scored 86 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mertens | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 4 |
| 1st in | 23/48 | 130/222 |
| %1st in | 48% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 18/23 | 86/130 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 66% |
| 2nd pts | 11/25 | 49/92 |
| %2nd pts | 44% | 53% |
Mertens bagged 5 aces . Gracheva made 8 aces (4 per match). Mertens won 78% points on her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Gracheva won 66% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mertens | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 11 |
| Converted | 6/9 | 11/20 |
| % Converted | 67% | 55% |
| Conceded | 3 | 23 |
| Saved | 1 | 15 |
| % Saved | 33% | 65% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 8 |
The Belgian broke her opponent 6 times with a 67% conversion rate. The Belgian lost her serve twice and she saved 33% of the break points that she conceded. The Russian broke her opponents 11 times with a 55% conversion rate. Gracheva conceded her serve 8 times and she saved 65% of the break points that she conceded.
| Mertens | ||||
| R1 Gabriela Ruse |
R2 Bouzkova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | w/o | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | – | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | – | 16 | |
| pts | 58-36 | – | 58-36 | |
| Total points | 94 | – | 94 | |
| Winners | 18 | – | 18 | |
| %Winners | 31% | – | 31% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | – | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | – | 6 | |
| 1st in | 23/48 | – | 23/48 | |
| % 1st in | 48% | – | 48% | |
| 1st pts | 18/23 | – | 18/23 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | – | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/25 | – | 11/25 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | – | 44% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | – | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/9 | – | 6/9 | |
| Converted % | 67% | – | 67% | |
| Conceded | 3 | – | 3 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | – | 1 | |
| Saved % | 33% | – | 17% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | – | 2 | |
| Gracheva | ||||
| R1 Sharma |
R2 Tomljanovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-4 7-5 | 6-4 6-75 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 35 | 67 | |
| pts | 101-96 | 114-107 | 215-203 | |
| Total points | 197 | 221 | 418 | |
| Winners | 39 | 47 | 86 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 41% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 61/102 | 69/120 | 130/222 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 58% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 39/61 | 47/69 | 86/130 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 68% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/41 | 26/51 | 49/92 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 51% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 11 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 6/8 | 11/20 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 75% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 14 | 23 | |
| Saved | 5/9 | 10/14 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 56% | 71% | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLWLWLWW
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