Daria Kasatkina and Fernanda Contreras Gomez will face off in the 2nd round of the French Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 2:00 pm on Court 12. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daria Kasatkina who should win in 2 sets.
Daria Kasatkina -> 1.096
Fernanda Contreras Gomez -> 7.7
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Prediction and head to head Daria Kasatkina vs. Fernanda Contreras Gomez
There is no head to head record between Daria Kasatkina and Fernanda Contreras Gomez since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Daria Kasatkina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19-22 | 12-13 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 40-23 | 24-16 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-25 | 19-15 | 12-6 | 2-1 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-22 | 24-14 | 12-5 | 1-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-19 | 19-10 | 5-5 | 7-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 20, Kasatkina got to the 2nd round after defeating Rebecca Sramkova 6-2 6-0.
In the 1st round, Kasatkina had a good straight sets win against Sramkova (6-2 6-0). During the match, Kasatkina scored 53 points vs Sramkova’s 30. Kasatkina was exceptionally aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Regarding the service games, Kasatkina scored just 1 ace during the match and she committed only 1 double fault. Daria Kasatkina was extremely effective on serve to win 74% (26/35) of her 1st serve and 56% (5/9) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Darya broke Sramkova 5 times after converting 83% of her break points (5/6).
Kasatkina has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of her matches (284-157). 8-3 on clay in 2022. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Kasatkina has a compiled 107-43 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
The Russian’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Melbourne, Sydney and Rome.
The Russian has a composed 19-10 win-loss record in 2022, 8-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Fernanda Contreras Gomez
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 20-26 | 5-12 | 9-11 | 6-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-23 | 20-14 | 12-6 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 26-18 | 10-7 | 16-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 225, Contreras Gomez reached the 2nd round after defeating Caty McNally 3-6 6-3 7-68, Ipek Oz 5-7 6-4 6-2, Joanne Zuger 6-1 3-6 6-3 and Panna Udvardy 7-68 6-3.
In the 1st round, The Mexican had a good straight sets win against Udvardy (7-68 6-3). During the match Contreras Gomez scored 91 points vs Udvardy’s 79. Fernanda was very aggressive to blast 35 winners.
About the serving games, Contreras Gomez recorded 6 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Fernanda Contreras Gomez lost the serve 3 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Contreras Gomez put 66% of her first serves in, winning 67% (35/52) of the points behind her 1st serve and 52% (14/27) on the 2nd serve. Contreras Gomez broke Udvardy 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).
The Mexican’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in the W60 Canberra and the W60 Prague.
The Mexican has an aggregate 22-11 win-loss record in 2022, 12-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Contreras Gomez has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kasatkina | Contreras Gomez |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 14 | 108 |
| Pts | 53-30 | 404-368 |
| Total Points | 83 | 772 |
| Winners | 26 | 157 |
| %Winners | 49% | 39% |
Kasatkina played 1 match while Contreras Gomez competed in 4 matches. Contreras Gomez started her run from the qualifications while Kasatkina had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Fernanda Contreras Gomez surrendered 3 sets while Daria Kasatkina hasn’t lost a set so far. Kasatkina has played 9 set(s) less than Contreras Gomez (2 vs 11). Therefore, Kasatkina played 94 games less than Contreras Gomez. Darya scored 26 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, The Mexican blasted 157 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kasatkina | Contreras Gomez |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 3.3 |
| 1st in | 35/41 | 263/392 |
| %1st in | 85% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 26/35 | 157/263 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 60% |
| 2nd pts | 5/9 | 79/129 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 61% |
Kasatkina managed to score 1 ace . Contreras Gomez also managed to score 13 aces (3.3 per match). Kasatkina won 74% points behind her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Contreras Gomez won 60% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kasatkina | Contreras Gomez |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 19 |
| Converted | 5/6 | 19/43 |
| % Converted | 83% | 44% |
| Conceded | 1 | 49 |
| Saved | 1 | 35 |
| % Saved | 100% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 14 |
Kasatkina broke her opponent 5 times with a 83% conversion rate. The Russian was rock solid on her serve as she has never surrendered a single service game after saving 1 break points. Fernanda broke her opponents 19 times with a 44% conversion rate. Fernanda conceded her serve 14 times and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded.
| Kasatkina | |||
| R1 Sramkova | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 14 | |
| pts | 53-30 | 53-30 | |
| Total points | 83 | 83 | |
| Winners | 26 | 26 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 35/41 | 35/41 | |
| % 1st in | 85% | 85% | |
| 1st pts | 26/35 | 26/35 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 5/9 | 5/9 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 5/6 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 83% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Contreras Gomez | ||||||
| Q1 McNally | Q2 Oz | Q3 Zuger | R1 Udvardy | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-3 7-68 | 5-7 6-4 6-2 | 6-1 3-6 6-3 | 7-68 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 30 | 25 | 22 | 108 | |
| pts | 107-110 | 110-99 | 96-80 | 91-79 | 404-368 | |
| Total points | 217 | 209 | 176 | 170 | 772 | |
| Winners | 42 | 40 | 40 | 35 | 157 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 36% | 42% | 38% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 73/109 | 71/106 | 67/98 | 52/79 | 263/392 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | 68% | 66% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 42/73 | 40/71 | 40/67 | 35/52 | 157/263 | |
| % 1st pts | 58% | 56% | 60% | 67% | 60% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/36 | 23/35 | 19/31 | 14/27 | 79/129 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 66% | 61% | 52% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 19 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 6/14 | 5/11 | 4/8 | 19/43 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 43% | 45% | 50% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 13 | 17 | 6 | 49 | |
| Saved | 9/13 | 9/13 | 14/17 | 3/6 | 35 | |
| Saved % | 69% | 69% | 82% | 50% | 270% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | |
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- Paolo LorenziLorenzi – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (2-6 6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Horacio ZeballosZeballos – Fernando VerdascoVerdasco (3-6 7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
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- Damir DzumhurDzumhur – Gilles SimonSimon (6-4 1-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
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- Julien BenneteauBenneteau – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (7-65 6-75 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Carlos BerlocqBerlocq – Viktor TroickiTroicki (3-6 6-1 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Kyle EdmundEdmund – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (2-6 6-2 7-66) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Borna CoricCoric – Donald YoungYoung (4-6 6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marcos BaghdatisBaghdatis – Jiri VeselyVesely (6-2 7-63) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Pablo CuevasCuevas (7-62 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
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