Madison Keys and Caroline Garcia will play each other in the 2nd round of the French Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 3:00 pm on Court PHILIPPE-CHATRIER. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Madison Keys who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Madison Keys is the pick to win this match.
Madison Keys -> 1.65
Caroline Garcia -> 2.29
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Prediction and head to head Madison Keys vs. Caroline Garcia
This will be the 4th time that Madison Keys and Caroline Garcia square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Keys (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.
The last time that they played, Keys won 6-3 6-2 in the 4th round in Melbourne back in 2018.
Madison Keys
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 3-3 | 3-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-15 | 19-9 | 5-3 | 0-2 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-20 | 25-12 | 4-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-15 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 8-5 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 22, the American got to the 2nd round after defeating Anna Kalinskaya 6-3 3-6 6-4.
In the 1st round, The American defeated Kalinskaya (6-3 3-6 6-4). During the match, Keys scored 105 points vs Kalinskaya’s 103. The American was extremely aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about the service games, Keys blasted 3 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Madison Keys lost the serve 6 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Keys put 63% of her first serves in, winning 60% (33/55) of the points behind her 1st serve and 41% (13/32) on the 2nd serve. Madison broke Kalinskaya 7 times after converting 41% of her break points (7/17).
Keys has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 63% of her matches (252-147). 2-3 on clay in 2022. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Keys has an aggregate 59-38 match record in the last years on clay.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in in Adelaide where she defeated Alison Riske in the final 6-1 6-2.
Madison has a compiled 16-9 win-loss record in 2022, 2-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Caroline Garcia
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12-10 | 9-8 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-27 | 23-17 | 4-4 | 7-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-21 | 21-13 | 11-4 | 4-1 | 10-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-26 | 15-14 | 8-6 | 3-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 11-11 | 5-6 | 4-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 79, the French player got to the 2nd round after beating Taylor Townsend 6-3 6-4.
In the 1st round, Garcia had a good straight sets win against Townsend (6-3 6-4). During the match Garcia scored 64 points vs Townsend’s 54. Caroline was quite aggressive to blast 31 winners.
About the serving games, Garcia managed to score 7 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Caroline Garcia lost the serve once and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Garcia put 71% of her first serves in, winning 70% (31/44) of the points behind her 1st serve and 56% (10/18) on the 2nd serve. Caroline broke Townsend 3 times after converting 50% of her break points (3/6).
Caroline’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Lyon.
Garcia has an overall 7-8 win-loss record in 2022, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2017. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Keys | Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 28 | 19 |
| Pts | 105-103 | 64-54 |
| Total Points | 208 | 118 |
| Winners | 33 | 31 |
| %Winners | 31% | 48% |
Both Keys and Garcia played 1 match. At the moment, Madison Keys conceded 1 set while Caroline Garcia hasn’t conceded a set so far. Keys has played 1 set more than Garcia (3 vs 2). Therefore, Keys played 9 games more than Garcia. The American scored 33 winners (31% of the total points). On the other side, Caroline bagged 31 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Keys | Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 7 |
| 1st in | 55/87 | 44/62 |
| %1st in | 63% | 71% |
| 1st pts | 33/55 | 31/44 |
| %1st pts | 60% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 13/32 | 10/18 |
| %2nd pts | 41% | 56% |
Keys bagged 3 aces . Garcia made 7 aces . Keys won 60% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 41% of the points. On the other side, Garcia won 70% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Keys | Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 3 |
| Converted | 7/17 | 3/6 |
| % Converted | 41% | 50% |
| Conceded | 9 | 2 |
| Saved | 3 | 1 |
| % Saved | 33% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 1 |
Keys broke her opponent 7 times with a 41% conversion rate. The American dropped her serve 6 times and she saved 33% of the break points that she conceded. Garcia broke her opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. Garcia conceded her serve once and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.
| Keys | |||
| R1 Kalinskaya |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 3-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 28 | |
| pts | 105-103 | 105-103 | |
| Total points | 208 | 208 | |
| Winners | 33 | 33 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 31% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 55/87 | 55/87 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 33/55 | 33/55 | |
| % 1st pts | 60% | 60% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/32 | 13/32 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 41% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 7 | 7 | |
| Converted | 7/17 | 7/17 | |
| Converted % | 41% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 | |
| Saved | 3/9 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 6 | 6 | |
| Garcia | |||
| R1 Townsend |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 64-54 | 64-54 | |
| Total points | 118 | 118 | |
| Winners | 31 | 31 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 44/62 | 44/62 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 31/44 | 31/44 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/18 | 10/18 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 3/6 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWLW
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