Casper Ruud and Joao Sousa will square off in the final of the Gonet Geneva Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 3:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Casper Ruud who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Casper Ruud is the pick to win this match.
Casper Ruud -> 1.153
Joao Sousa -> 6.1

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Prediction and head to head Casper Ruud vs. Joao Sousa

This will be the 3rd time that Casper Ruud and Joao Sousa square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Ruud (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay.

The last time that they competed against each other, Ruud won 6-3 6-4 in the 2nd round in Sao paulo back in 2019.

Casper Ruud

Casper Ruud

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
12
High
2
LLWWWWWWLL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 39-16 12-8 14-5 13-3 0-0 0-0
2024 51-25 21-9 24-7 5-8 1-1 0-0
2023 37-23 12-12 22-8 2-2 1-1 0-0
2022 51-22 18-8 25-7 7-5 1-2 0-0
2021 57-17 16-6 28-5 11-4 2-2 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 8, the Norwegian got to the final after beating Benoit Paire 6-3 6-1, Thanasi Kokkinakis 6-4 7-63 and Reilly Opelka 7-62 7-5.

In the semifinal, Ruud had a good straight sets win against Opelka (7-62 7-5). During the match, Ruud scored 75 points vs Opelka’s 60. Ruud was exceptionally aggressive to blast 41 winners.

Regarding the service games, Ruud fired 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Casper Ruud was quite efficient on serve to win 89% (41/46) of his 1st serve and 72% (13/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Norwegian was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Opelka once.

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Norwegian hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to conquer 57% of the points he played.

Ruud has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 65% of his matches (288-157). 14-5 on clay in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Ruud has a composed179-85 match record in the last 8 years on clay.

His best result of the season was winning the title in in Buenos Aires where he defeated Diego Sebastian Schwartzman in the final 5-7 6-2 6-3.

Casper has an aggregate 23-9 win-loss record in 2022, 14-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Geneva

Geneva
Ruud's Record

Joao Sousa

Joao Sousa

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
726
High
28
LWWLLLWWLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 6-5 0-0 2-2 4-3 0-0 0-0
2023 23-33 6-8 10-20 5-4 0-0 2-1
2022 25-34 10-12 10-11 5-7 0-4 0-0
2021 28-31 11-9 4-11 11-6 2-5 0-0
2020 4-13 0-5 2-5 2-3 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 79, Joao reached the final after defeating Pablo Andujar 6-1 6-4, Nikoloz Basilashvili 6-4 6-3, Ilya Ivashka 7-5 7-5 and Richard Gasquet 6-2 6-2.

In the semifinal, Sousa had a good straight sets win against Gasquet (6-2 6-2). During the match Sousa scored 68 points vs Gasquet’s 42. The Portuguese was exceptionally aggressive to blast 28 winners.

About the serving games, Sousa made 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Joao Sousa was pretty effective on serve to win 82% (28/34) of his 1st serve and 56% (10/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Joao broke Gasquet 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Joao hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.

His best result of the year was conquering the title in in Pune where he defeated Emil Ruusuvuori in the final 7-6(9) 4-6 6-1.

Joao has a compiled 19-16 win-loss record in 2022, 8-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Geneva

Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2015. See his history.

Geneva
Sousa's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

C.Ruud
J.Sousa
4h:08
4h:08
Time on court​
5h:40
5h:40
1h:30
1h:30
Last match​
1h:15
1h:15
3
3
Match played
!
4
4
64
64
Games Played​
76
76
6
6
Set played​​
8
8
200
200
Total points​
272
272
66.7
66.7
Avg point​
68
68
97
97
Winners
104
104
32.3
32.3
Avg Winners​
26
26
49%
49%
Ratio winners
38%
38%
-- Serve --
10
10
Aces
17
17
3.3
3.3
Avg Aces
4.3
4.3
5
5
Double Faults
3
3
1.7
1.7
Avg Double Faults
0.8
0.8
97/117
97/117
1st won total​
104/138
104/138
!
83%
83%
1st won %
!
75%
75%
40/62
40/62
2nd won total​
49/81
49/81
!
65%
65%
2nd won %
60%
60%
-- Break Points --
7/13
7/13
BP won
17/38
17/38
2.3/4.3
2.3/4.3
Avg BP won
4.3/9.5
4.3/9.5
!
54%
54%
Won
45%
45%
4
4
Conceded
15
15
1.3
1.3
Avg Conceded
3.8
3.8
1
1
Broken
6
6
!
0.3
0.3
Avg Broken
1.5
1.5
3
3
Saved
9
9
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Ruud Sousa
Match played 3 4
Tot Set 6 8
Tot Games 64 76
Pts 200-153 272-196
Total Points 353 468
Winners 97 104
%Winners 49% 38%

Ruud played 3 matches while Sousa competed in 4 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Ruud has played 2 set(s) less than Sousa (6 vs 8). Therefore, Ruud played 12 games less than Sousa. Ruud scored 97 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, Sousa struck 104 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve Ruud Sousa
Aces 10 17
Avg per match 3.3 4.3
1st in 117/179 138/219
%1st in 65% 63%
1st pts 97/117 104/138
%1st pts 83% 75%
2nd pts 40/62 49/81
%2nd pts 65% 60%

Ruud made 10 aces (3.3 per match). Sousa bagged 17 aces (4.3 per match). Ruud won 83% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Sousa won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Ruud Sousa
Won 7 17
Converted 7/13 17/38
% Converted 54% 45%
Conceded 4 15
Saved 3 9
% Saved 75% 60%
Times Broken 1 6

The Norwegian broke his opponents 7 times with a 54% conversion rate. Casper surrendered his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Sousa broke his opponents 17 times with a 45% conversion rate. Sousa conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.

Ruud
R2
Paire		 1/4
Kokkinakis		 1/2
Opelka		 Total
Score 6-3 6-1 6-4 7-63 7-62 7-5
Tot Set 2 2 2 6
Tot Games 16 23 25 64
pts 56-33 69-60 75-60 200-153
Total points 89 129 135 353
Winners 18 38 41 97
%Winners 32% 55% 55% 49%
SERVE
Aces 5 1 4 10
Double Faults 0 3 2 5
1st in 29/48 42/67 46/64 117/179
% 1st in 60% 63% 72% 65%
1st pts 18/29 38/42 41/46 97/117
% 1st pts 62% 90% 89% 83%
2nd pts 14/19 13/25 13/18 40/62
% 2nd pts 74% 52% 72% 65%
Breaks
Won 5 1 1 7
Converted 5/10 1/2 1/1 7/13
Converted % 50% 50% 100% 54%
Conceded 2 2 0 4
Saved 1/2 2/2 0/0 3
Saved % 50% 100% – 50%
Times Broken 1 0 0 1
Sousa
R1
Andujar		 R2
Basilashvili		 1/4
Ivashka		 1/2
Gasquet		 Total
Score 6-1 6-4 6-4 6-3 7-5 7-5 6-2 6-2
Tot Set 2 2 2 2 8
Tot Games 17 19 24 16 76
pts 63-40 68-50 73-64 68-42 272-196
Total points 103 118 137 110 468
Winners 26 27 23 28 104
%Winners 41% 40% 32% 41% 38%
SERVE
Aces 5 8 0 4 17
Double Faults 1 0 0 2 3
1st in 34/49 38/58 32/60 34/52 138/219
% 1st in 69% 66% 53% 65% 63%
1st pts 26/34 27/38 23/32 28/34 104/138
% 1st pts 76% 71% 72% 82% 75%
2nd pts 10/15 14/20 15/28 10/18 49/81
% 2nd pts 67% 70% 54% 56% 60%
Breaks
Won 4 3 6 4 17
Converted 4/9 3/5 6/14 4/10 17/38
Converted % 44% 60% 43% 40% 45%
Conceded 3 2 6 4 15
Saved 2/3 1/2 2/6 4/4 9
Saved % 67% 50% 33% 100% 83%
Times Broken 1 1 4 0 6

Upcoming matches in the draw

Ruud
More Stats
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Sousa

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