Matteo Arnaldi and Hernan Casanova will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Francavilla Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 2:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Arnaldi who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Matteo Arnaldi is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Arnaldi -> 1.32
Hernan Casanova -> 3.38
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Prediction and head to head Matteo Arnaldi vs. Hernan Casanova
There is no head to head record between Matteo Arnaldi and Hernan Casanova since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Matteo Arnaldi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20-16 | 10-8 | 9-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-26 | 21-15 | 23-7 | 4-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-35 | 9-3 | 37-20 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-24 | 2-1 | 51-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-9 | 16-4 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 280, Arnaldi reached the semifinal after beating Francesco Forti 6-1 6-3, Pawel Cias 6-1 6-2 and Dan Added 6-1 6-0.
In the quarter, Arnaldi had a good straight sets win against Added (6-1 6-0). During the match, Arnaldi scored 53 points vs Added’s 22. Matteo was pretty aggressive to blast 20 winners.
Talking about the service games, Arnaldi recorded 2 aces and he was very steady in conceding no double faults. Matteo Arnaldi was pretty efficient on serve to win 74% (20/27) of his 1st serve and 90% (9/10) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Matteo broke Added 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Matteo hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to conquer 66% of the points he played.
Arnaldi has a solid record in the last 5 years having won 63% of his matches (105-61). 18-9 on clay in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Arnaldi has a composed73-37 win-loss record in the last 5 years on clay.
Matteo’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Split Challenger.
Matteo has an aggregate 19-14 win-loss record in 2022, 18-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Francavilla Challenger
The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.
Hernan Casanova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25-18 | 0-0 | 25-17 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 29-27 | 0-2 | 29-25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 43-22 | 0-0 | 43-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-32 | 3-3 | 42-28 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 307, Hernan reached the semifinal after beating Giovanni Fonio 7-61 6-1, Joao Domingues 6-4 6-4 and Mate Valkusz 7-64 5-3 ret..
In the quarter, The Argentine had a good straight sets win against Valkusz (7-64 5-3 ret.). During the match Casanova scored 84 points vs Valkusz’s 76. Casanova was pretty aggressive to blast 31 winners.
About the serving games, Casanova couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 3 double faults. Hernan Casanova lost the serve 5 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Casanova put 75% of his first serves in, winning 58% (31/53) of the points behind his 1st serve and 39% (7/18) on the 2nd serve. Hernan broke Valkusz 6 times after converting 40% of his break points (6/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Hernan hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
Casanova has a compiled 14-9 win-loss record in 2022, 14-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Arnaldi | Casanova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 44 | 61 |
| Pts | 170-89 | 237-193 |
| Total Points | 259 | 430 |
| Winners | 61 | 103 |
| %Winners | 36% | 43% |
Both Arnaldi and Casanova played 3 matches. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Arnaldi has played 1 set(s) less than Casanova (6 vs 7). Therefore, Arnaldi played 17 games less than Casanova. The Italian scored 61 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Casanova scored 103 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Arnaldi | Casanova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 1.7 | 0 |
| 1st in | 87/128 | 173/209 |
| %1st in | 68% | 83% |
| 1st pts | 61/87 | 103/173 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 60% |
| 2nd pts | 28/41 | 21/36 |
| %2nd pts | 68% | 58% |
Arnaldi scored 5 aces (1.7 per match). Casanova didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Arnaldi won 70% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 68% of the points. On the other side, Casanova won 60% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Arnaldi | Casanova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 17 | 15 |
| Converted | 17/25 | 15/35 |
| % Converted | 68% | 43% |
| Conceded | 9 | 20 |
| Saved | 6 | 10 |
| % Saved | 67% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 10 |
The Italian broke his opponents 17 times with a 68% conversion rate. Arnaldi lost his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Casanova broke his opponents 15 times with a 43% conversion rate. The Argentine conceded his serve 10 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Arnaldi | |||||
| R1 Forti |
R2 Cias |
1/4 Added |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-3 | 6-1 6-2 | 6-1 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 15 | 13 | 44 | |
| pts | 55-31 | 62-36 | 53-22 | 170-89 | |
| Total points | 86 | 98 | 75 | 259 | |
| Winners | 20 | 21 | 20 | 61 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 34% | 38% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 24/40 | 36/51 | 27/37 | 87/128 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 71% | 73% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 20/24 | 21/36 | 20/27 | 61/87 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 58% | 74% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/16 | 9/15 | 9/10 | 28/41 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 60% | 90% | 68% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 7/9 | 5/8 | 17/25 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 78% | 63% | 68% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 7 | 0 | 9 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 5/7 | 0/0 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 71% | – | 40% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| Casanova | |||||
| R1 Fonio |
R2 Domingues |
1/4 Valkusz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-61 6-1 | 6-4 6-4 | 7-64 5-3 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | 21 | 61 | |
| pts | 83-59 | 70-58 | 84-76 | 237-193 | |
| Total points | 142 | 128 | 160 | 430 | |
| Winners | 39 | 33 | 31 | 103 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 47% | 37% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 62/71 | 58/67 | 53/71 | 173/209 | |
| % 1st in | 87% | 87% | 75% | 83% | |
| 1st pts | 39/62 | 33/58 | 31/53 | 103/173 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 57% | 58% | 60% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/9 | 8/9 | 7/18 | 21/36 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 89% | 39% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 6 | 15 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 4/9 | 6/15 | 15/35 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 44% | 40% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 8 | 8 | 20 | |
| Saved | 1/4 | 6/8 | 3/8 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 25% | 75% | 38% | 46% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLWWWLWL
LLWLWWWLLW Tennis Scores in Francavilla Challenger
- Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Dan AddedAdded (6-1 6-0) – See score progression
- Francesco MaestrelliMaestrelli – Mathias BourgueBourgue (3-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Alexis GalarneauGalarneau – Alex RybakovRybakov (2-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Hernan CasanovaCasanova – Mate ValkuszValkusz (7-64 5-3 ret.) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Francesco MaestrelliMaestrelli – Alexis GalarneauGalarneau (0-0) – H2H and prediction
