Alex De Minaur and Alex Molcan will face off in the semifinal of the Open Parc for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 2:30 pm on COURT CENTRAL. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alex De Minaur is the pick to win this match.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.63
Alex Molcan -> 2.39
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Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Alex Molcan
There is no head to head record between Alex De Minaur and Alex Molcan since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Alex De Minaur
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 56-24 | 30-11 | 10-5 | 13-6 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 47-21 | 19-6 | 10-5 | 11-9 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-26 | 26-12 | 4-5 | 10-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-25 | 19-10 | 9-6 | 12-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-25 | 10-10 | 4-5 | 3-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 21, De Minaur got to the semifinal after defeating Ugo Humbert 1-6 6-3 6-2 and Yosuke Watanuki 6-4 0-0 ret..
In the quarter, The Australian defeated Watanuki (6-4 0-0 ret.). During the match, De Minaur scored 29 points vs Watanuki’s 22. Alex was pretty aggressive to blast 10 winners.
Talking about the service games, De Minaur scored just 1 ace during the match and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults. Alex De Minaur was pretty effective on serve to win 91% (10/11) of his 1st serve and 71% (10/14) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. De Minaur was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Watanuki once.
De Minaur has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 63% of his matches (246-146). 9-4 on clay in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, De Minaur has a compiled51-39 match record in the last 8 years on clay.
The Australian’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Barcelona.
The Australian has a composed 21-10 win-loss record in 2022, 9-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Lyon
Alex Molcan
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 47-15 | 7-3 | 38-10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 13-17 | 3-5 | 10-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 26-27 | 10-8 | 13-13 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-24 | 7-8 | 18-9 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 65-24 | 8-3 | 42-14 | 13-6 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 47, the Slovakian reached the semifinal after beating Jo-Wilfried Tsonga 6-4 6-4, Karen Khachanov 6-2 7-64 and Federico Coria 6-3 6-2.
In the quarter, Alex had a good straight sets win against Coria (6-3 6-2). During the match Molcan scored 69 points vs Coria’s 55. Molcan was extremely aggressive to blast 15 winners.
About the serving games, Molcan managed to score 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Alex Molcan lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Molcan put 52% of his first serves in, winning 47% (15/32) of the points behind his 1st serve and 70% (21/30) on the 2nd serve. Alex broke Coria 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alex hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Molcan’s best result of the season was reaching the final in Marrakech.
Molcan has an aggregate 17-11 win-loss record in 2022, 11-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | De Minaur | Molcan |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 34 | 58 |
| Pts | 121-109 | 205-167 |
| Total Points | 230 | 372 |
| Winners | 43 | 67 |
| %Winners | 36% | 33% |
De Minaur played 2 matches while Molcan competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Alex De Minaur lost 1 set while Alex Molcan hasn’t dropped a set so far. Talking about their workload, De Minaur and Molcan have played the same amount of sets 6. However, De Minaur played 24 games less than Molcan. De Minaur scored 43 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Alex struck 67 winners (33%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | De Minaur | Molcan |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 0.5 | 3.3 |
| 1st in | 61/119 | 103/182 |
| %1st in | 51% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 43/61 | 67/103 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 65% |
| 2nd pts | 33/58 | 54/79 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 68% |
De Minaur scored 1 ace (0.5 per match). Molcan also bagged 10 aces (3.3 per match). De Minaur won 70% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Molcan won 65% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 68% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | De Minaur | Molcan |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 10 |
| Converted | 4/14 | 10/22 |
| % Converted | 29% | 45% |
| Conceded | 14 | 13 |
| Saved | 12 | 10 |
| % Saved | 86% | 77% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 |
Alex broke his opponents 4 times with a 29% conversion rate. De Minaur surrendered his serve twice and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded. Molcan broke his opponents 10 times with a 45% conversion rate. The Slovakian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded.
| De Minaur | ||||
| R2 Humbert |
1/4 Watanuki |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1-6 6-3 6-2 | 6-4 0-0 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 10 | 34 | |
| pts | 92-87 | 29-22 | 121-109 | |
| Total points | 179 | 51 | 230 | |
| Winners | 33 | 10 | 43 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 34% | 36% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 50/94 | 11/25 | 61/119 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 44% | 51% | |
| 1st pts | 33/50 | 10/11 | 43/61 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 91% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/44 | 10/14 | 33/58 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 71% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Converted | 3/13 | 1/1 | 4/14 | |
| Converted % | 23% | 100% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 14 | 0 | 14 | |
| Saved | 12/14 | 0/0 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 86% | – | 43% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Molcan | |||||
| R1 Tsonga |
R2 Khachanov |
1/4 Coria |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-2 7-64 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 21 | 17 | 58 | |
| pts | 69-57 | 67-55 | 69-55 | 205-167 | |
| Total points | 126 | 122 | 124 | 372 | |
| Winners | 26 | 26 | 15 | 67 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 39% | 22% | 33% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 36/58 | 35/62 | 32/62 | 103/182 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 56% | 52% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 26/36 | 26/35 | 15/32 | 67/103 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 74% | 47% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/22 | 16/27 | 21/30 | 54/79 | |
| % 2nd pts | 77% | 59% | 70% | 68% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | |
| Converted | 2/8 | 3/5 | 5/9 | 10/22 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 60% | 56% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 3/4 | 3/5 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 75% | 60% | 118% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLLWWLWW
LWLLWLWWWW Tennis Scores in Lyon
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki (6-4 0-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Alex MolcanMolcan – Federico CoriaCoria (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Manuel GuinardGuinard (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Sebastian BaezBaez (6-4 4-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Aleksandr Nedovyesov/Aisam QureshiNedovyesov/Aisam Qureshi – Sander Gille/Joran VliegenGille/Joran Vliegen (6-3 7-64) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Alex MolcanMolcan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
