Illya Marchenko and Evan Zhu will play each other in the quarter of the Shymkent 2 Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 11:30 am on COURT 11. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Illya Marchenko who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Illya Marchenko is the pick to win this match.
Illya Marchenko -> 1.86
Evan Zhu -> 1.94
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Prediction and head to head Illya Marchenko vs. Evan Zhu
There is no head to head record between Illya Marchenko and Evan Zhu since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Illya Marchenko
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 8-15 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 42-22 | 17-5 | 6-6 | 18-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-25 | 9-10 | 3-4 | 8-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-28 | 5-7 | 2-5 | 26-12 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 15-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 252, Illya reached the quarter after beating Saba Purtseladze 6-4 6-2 and Gabriel Decamps 6-1 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Illya had a good straight sets win against Decamps (6-1 6-1). During the match, Marchenko scored 52 points vs Decamps’s 25. Illya was very aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Regarding the service games, Marchenko blasted 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Illya Marchenko was quite efficient on serve to win 82% (23/28) of his 1st serve and 67% (6/9) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Ukrainian broke Decamps 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Marchenko hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to conquer 63% of the points he played.
Marchenko has a good win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (281-218). 3-2 on clay in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Marchenko has a compiled 20-31 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
The Ukrainian has an aggregate 7-8 win-loss record in 2022, 3-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Shymkent 2 Challenger
Evan Zhu
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 6-13 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-32 | 21-21 | 9-7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-31 | 14-13 | 25-12 | 5-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 13-20 | 9-15 | 4-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 11-6 | 5-3 | 6-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 463 (career-high), the American got to the quarter after beating Roman Konovalov 6-2 6-0, Matteo Donati 7-63 6-2, Antoine Bellier 6-3 6-4 and Beibit Zhukayev 6-2 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Zhukayev (6-2 6-3). During the match Zhu scored 74 points vs Zhukayev’s 58. Evan was pretty aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about serving, Zhu blasted 3 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Evan Zhu lost the serve once and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Zhu put 58% of his first serves in, winning 78% (36/46) of the points behind his 1st serve and 36% (12/33) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Zhukayev 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Evan started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to win 59% of the points he played.
Zhu’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M15 Naples and M15 Sunrise.
Evan has a composed 29-11 win-loss record in 2022, 23-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Marchenko | Zhu |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 32 | 71 |
| Pts | 110-64 | 269-185 |
| Total Points | 174 | 454 |
| Winners | 41 | 105 |
| %Winners | 37% | 39% |
Marchenko played 2 matches while Zhu competed in 4 matches. Zhu started his run from the qualifications while Marchenko had a direct access to the main draw. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Marchenko has played 4 set(s) less than Zhu (4 vs 8). Therefore, Marchenko played 39 games less than Zhu. The Ukrainian scored 41 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Evan struck 105 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Marchenko | Zhu |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 16 |
| Avg per match | 3.5 | 4 |
| 1st in | 52/85 | 135/232 |
| %1st in | 61% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 41/52 | 105/135 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 21/33 | 56/97 |
| %2nd pts | 64% | 58% |
Marchenko made 7 aces (3.5 per match). Zhu recorded 16 aces (4 per match). Marchenko won 79% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Zhu won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Marchenko | Zhu |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 15 |
| Converted | 10/15 | 15/27 |
| % Converted | 67% | 56% |
| Conceded | 6 | 13 |
| Saved | 4 | 10 |
| % Saved | 67% | 77% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 |
The Ukrainian broke his opponents 10 times with a 67% conversion rate. The Ukrainian lost his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Evan broke his opponents 15 times with a 56% conversion rate. Evan conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded.
| Marchenko | ||||
| R1 Purtseladze |
R2 Decamps |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 6-1 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 14 | 32 | |
| pts | 58-39 | 52-25 | 110-64 | |
| Total points | 97 | 77 | 174 | |
| Winners | 18 | 23 | 41 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 44% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 6 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 24/48 | 28/37 | 52/85 | |
| % 1st in | 50% | 76% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 18/24 | 23/28 | 41/52 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 82% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/24 | 6/9 | 21/33 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 67% | 64% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/7 | 10/15 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 71% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2/2 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 100% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Zhu | ||||||
| Q1 Konovalov |
Q3 Donati |
R1 Bellier |
R2 Zhukayev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-0 | 7-63 6-2 | 6-3 6-4 | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 21 | 19 | 17 | 71 | |
| pts | 54-22 | 69-51 | 72-54 | 74-58 | 269-185 | |
| Total points | 76 | 120 | 126 | 132 | 454 | |
| Winners | 15 | 23 | 31 | 36 | 105 | |
| %Winners | 28% | 33% | 43% | 49% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 21/37 | 31/61 | 37/55 | 46/79 | 135/232 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 51% | 67% | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 15/21 | 23/31 | 31/37 | 36/46 | 105/135 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 74% | 84% | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/16 | 18/30 | 12/18 | 12/33 | 56/97 | |
| % 2nd pts | 88% | 60% | 67% | 36% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 4/5 | 2/7 | 4/7 | 15/27 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 80% | 29% | 57% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1/3 | 2/2 | 6/7 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 33% | 100% | 86% | 160% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
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