Kaichi Uchida and Sergey Fomin will play each other in the quarter of the Shymkent 2 Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 10:00 am on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Kaichi Uchida who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Kaichi Uchida is the pick to win this match.
Kaichi Uchida -> 1.56
Sergey Fomin -> 2.43
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Prediction and head to head Kaichi Uchida vs. Sergey Fomin
There is no head to head record between Kaichi Uchida and Sergey Fomin since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Kaichi Uchida
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 42-30 | 18-22 | 16-6 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 17-33 | 4-18 | 3-10 | 9-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-34 | 24-23 | 8-5 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-26 | 27-13 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-11 | 10-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 285, the Japanese got to the quarter after beating Eric Vanshelboim 7-5 7-63 and Denis Yevseyev 7-65 3-6 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Uchida defeated Yevseyev (7-65 3-6 6-4). During the match, Uchida scored 108 points vs Yevseyev’s 105. The Japanese was exceptionally aggressive to blast 46 winners.
Talking about the service games, Uchida scored just 1 ace and he committed only 6 double faults. Kaichi Uchida lost the serve 3 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Uchida put 64% of his first serves in, winning 66% (46/70) of the points behind his 1st serve and 55% (22/40) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Yevseyev 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Kaichi has surrendered 1 set in this competition to conquer 52% of the points he played.
Uchida has a good win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 52% of his matches (307-285). 3-4 on clay in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Uchida has a compiled 103-80 record in the last years on clay.
Uchida’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in M25 Loule.
The Japanese has an overall 9-13 win-loss record in 2022, 3-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Shymkent 2 Challenger
Sergey Fomin
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 32-22 | 15-11 | 13-8 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 35-32 | 13-15 | 22-14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-25 | 24-15 | 9-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 16-24 | 0-2 | 11-14 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 838, the Uzbek got to the quarter after defeating Sanjar Fayziev 6-3 6-3, Yan Bondarevskiy 6-3 7-67, Alibek Kachmazov 6-1 7-63 and Sebastian Fanselow 6-3 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Sergey had a good straight sets win against Fanselow (6-3 6-3). During the match Fomin scored 64 points vs Fanselow’s 54. Sergey was exceptionally aggressive to blast 25 winners.
About the serving games, Fomin bagged 2 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Sergey Fomin lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Fomin put 58% of his first serves in, winning 76% (25/33) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (11/24) on the 2nd serve. The Uzbek broke Fanselow 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sergey started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to win 55% of the points he played.
Sergey’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in M15 Sharm ElSheikh.
The Uzbek has an overall 14-12 win-loss record in 2022, 6-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Uchida | Fomin |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 57 | 78 |
| Pts | 198-183 | 289-240 |
| Total Points | 381 | 529 |
| Winners | 86 | 109 |
| %Winners | 43% | 38% |
Uchida played 2 matches while Fomin competed in 4 matches. Fomin started his run from the qualifications while Uchida had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Kaichi Uchida conceded 1 set while Sergey Fomin hasn’t lost a set so far. Uchida has played 3 set(s) less than Fomin (5 vs 8). Therefore, Uchida played 21 games less than Fomin. Kaichi scored 86 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Sergey blasted 109 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Uchida | Fomin |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 2 |
| 1st in | 120/190 | 141/251 |
| %1st in | 63% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 86/120 | 109/141 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 38/70 | 61/110 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 55% |
Uchida managed to score 2 aces (1 per match). Fomin fired 8 aces (2 per match). Uchida won 72% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Fomin won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Uchida | Fomin |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 13 |
| Converted | 5/17 | 13/30 |
| % Converted | 29% | 43% |
| Conceded | 19 | 13 |
| Saved | 15 | 9 |
| % Saved | 79% | 69% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 |
Kaichi broke his opponents 5 times with a 29% conversion rate. Kaichi dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 79% of the break points that he conceded. Fomin broke his opponents 13 times with a 43% conversion rate. Sergey conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded.
| Uchida | ||||
| R1 Vanshelboim |
R2 Yevseyev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 7-63 | 7-65 3-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 32 | 57 | |
| pts | 90-78 | 108-105 | 198-183 | |
| Total points | 168 | 213 | 381 | |
| Winners | 40 | 46 | 86 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 6 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 50/80 | 70/110 | 120/190 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 64% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 40/50 | 46/70 | 86/120 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 66% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/30 | 22/40 | 38/70 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 55% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Converted | 2/7 | 3/10 | 5/17 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 30% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 11 | 19 | |
| Saved | 7/8 | 8/11 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 88% | 73% | 81% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Fomin | ||||||
| Q1 Fayziev |
Q3 Bondarevskiy |
R1 Kachmazov |
R2 Fanselow |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | 6-3 7-67 | 6-1 7-63 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 22 | 20 | 18 | 78 | |
| pts | 67-51 | 84-70 | 74-65 | 64-54 | 289-240 | |
| Total points | 118 | 154 | 139 | 118 | 529 | |
| Winners | 23 | 32 | 29 | 25 | 109 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 38% | 39% | 39% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 29/51 | 36/70 | 43/73 | 33/57 | 141/251 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 51% | 59% | 58% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 23/29 | 32/36 | 29/43 | 25/33 | 109/141 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 89% | 67% | 76% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/22 | 17/34 | 21/30 | 11/24 | 61/110 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 50% | 70% | 46% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 3/8 | 2/6 | 4/7 | 13/30 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 38% | 33% | 57% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 1/3 | 4/4 | 2/3 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 33% | 100% | 67% | 134% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWWLLWW
LWLWLWWLLL
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Robin HaaseHaase – Nicholas David IonelDavid Ionel (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Kaichi UchidaUchida – Sergey FominFomin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Evan ZhuZhu – Illya MarchenkoMarchenko (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emilio NavaNava – Evgeny KarlovskiyKarlovskiy (0-0) – H2H and prediction
