Matteo Arnaldi and Pawel Cias will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Francavilla Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 8:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Arnaldi who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Matteo Arnaldi is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Arnaldi -> 1.32
Pawel Cias -> 3.38
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Prediction and head to head Matteo Arnaldi vs. Pawel Cias
This will be the 2nd time that Matteo Arnaldi and Pawel Cias square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Arnaldi (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played, Arnaldi won 6-4 1-6 6-0 in the qualifications in the Barletta Challenger back in April 2022.
Matteo Arnaldi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20-16 | 10-8 | 9-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-26 | 21-15 | 23-7 | 4-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-35 | 9-3 | 37-20 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-24 | 2-1 | 51-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-9 | 16-4 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 280, Matteo reached the 2nd round after defeating Francesco Forti 6-1 6-3.
In the 1st round, Arnaldi had a good straight sets win against Forti (6-1 6-3). During the match, Arnaldi scored 55 points vs Forti’s 31. Arnaldi was exceptionally aggressive to blast 20 winners.
Regarding the service games, Arnaldi scored just 1 ace in the match and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Matteo Arnaldi was very effective on serve to win 83% (20/24) of his 1st serve and 63% (10/16) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Matteo broke Forti 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Arnaldi has a solid win-loss record in the last 5 years having won 63% of his matches (103-61). 16-9 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Arnaldi has a compiled71-37 match record in the last 5 years on clay.
Matteo’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in the Split Challenger.
Arnaldi has an aggregate 17-14 win-loss record in 2022, 16-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Francavilla Challenger
Arnaldi has never competed in this tournament before.
Pawel Cias
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|
Ranked no. 483, Pawel reached the 2nd round after beating Lorenzo Claverie 7-5 6-0 and Christopher Heyman 6-1 6-2.
In the 1st round, Cias had a good straight sets win against Heyman (6-1 6-2). During the match Cias scored 59 points vs Heyman’s 36. Cias was exceptionally aggressive to blast 11 winners.
Talking about serving, Cias scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Pawel Cias lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Cias put 46% of his first serves in, winning 65% (11/17) of the points behind his 1st serve and 60% (12/20) on the 2nd serve. Cias broke Heyman 7 times after converting 54% of his break points (7/13).
The Pole has a compiled 6-6 win-loss record in 2022, 6-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Arnaldi | Cias |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 16 | 33 |
| Pts | 55-31 | 123-75 |
| Total Points | 86 | 198 |
| Winners | 20 | 33 |
| %Winners | 36% | 27% |
Arnaldi played 1 match while Cias competed in 2 matches. Cias started his run from the qualifications while Arnaldi had a direct access to the main draw. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Arnaldi has played 2 set(s) less than Cias (2 vs 4). Therefore, Arnaldi played 17 games less than Cias. The Italian scored 20 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Pawel bagged 33 winners (27%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Arnaldi | Cias |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 24/40 | 42/82 |
| %1st in | 60% | 51% |
| 1st pts | 20/24 | 33/42 |
| %1st pts | 83% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 10/16 | 24/40 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 60% |
Arnaldi made 1 ace . Cias also recorded 5 aces (2.5 per match). Arnaldi won 83% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Cias won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Arnaldi | Cias |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 12 |
| Converted | 5/8 | 12/22 |
| % Converted | 63% | 55% |
| Conceded | 2 | 3 |
| Saved | 1 | 0 |
| % Saved | 50% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 |
The Italian broke his opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. Arnaldi dropped his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The Pole broke his opponents 12 times with a 55% conversion rate. Pawel conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.
| Arnaldi | |||
| R1 Forti |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 55-31 | 55-31 | |
| Total points | 86 | 86 | |
| Winners | 20 | 20 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 24/40 | 24/40 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 20/24 | 20/24 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/16 | 10/16 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/8 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Cias | ||||
| Q3 Claverie |
R1 Heyman |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-0 | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 15 | 33 | |
| pts | 64-39 | 59-36 | 123-75 | |
| Total points | 103 | 95 | 198 | |
| Winners | 22 | 11 | 33 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 19% | 27% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 25/45 | 17/37 | 42/82 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 46% | 51% | |
| 1st pts | 22/25 | 11/17 | 33/42 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 65% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/20 | 12/20 | 24/40 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 60% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 7 | 12 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 7/13 | 12/22 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 54% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0/2 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
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Tennis Scores in Francavilla Challenger
- Mate ValkuszValkusz – Matteo ViolaViola (6-3 2-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Hernan CasanovaCasanova – Joao DominguesDomingues (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alex RybakovRybakov – Daniel Dutra Da SilvaDutra Da Silva (6-74 6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexis GalarneauGalarneau – Riccardo BalzeraniBalzerani (6-3 4-0 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Pawel CiasCias – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Hernan CasanovaCasanova – Mate ValkuszValkusz (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alex RybakovRybakov – Alexis GalarneauGalarneau (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yibing WuWu – Mathias BourgueBourgue (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Dan AddedAdded – Filippo BaldiBaldi (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francesco MaestrelliMaestrelli – Billy HarrisHarris (0-0) – H2H and prediction
