Iga Swiatek and Ons Jabeur will clash against each other in the final of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 1:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.26
Ons Jabeur -> 4.2
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Ons Jabeur
This will be the 4th time that Iga Swiatek and Ons Jabeur play each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Jabeur (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Jabeur won 6-3 6-3 in the 2nd round in Cincinnati back in 2021.
Iga Swiatek
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24-3 | 22-3 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 68-11 | 42-8 | 19-2 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 67-9 | 42-6 | 18-1 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-15 | 18-10 | 12-2 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-5 | 6-4 | 7-1 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 Swiatek reached the final after beating Elena Gabriela Ruse 6-3 6-0, Victoria Azarenka 6-4 6-1, Bianca Vanessa Andreescu 7-62 6-0 and Aryna Sabalenka 6-2 6-1.
In the semifinal, The Pole had a good straight sets win against Sabalenka (6-2 6-1). During the match, Swiatek scored 63 points vs Sabalenka’s 36. Iga was pretty aggressive to blast 19 winners.
Regarding the service games, Swiatek wasn’t able to score even 1 ace throughout the match and she committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Iga Swiatek was extremely efficient on serve to win 73% (19/26) of her 1st serve and 56% (10/18) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Swiatek broke Sabalenka 6 times after converting 40% of her break points (6/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Pole hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to conquer 60% of the points she played.
Swiatek has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 79% of her matches (186-50). 8-0 on clay in 2022. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Swiatek has an aggregate82-13 match record in the last 7 years on clay.
Her best result of the year was conquering the title in in Doha where she defeated Anett Kontaveit in the final 6-2 6-0 and in in Indian Wells where she overcame Maria Sakkari in the final 6-4 6-1 and in in Miami where she overcame Naomi Osaka in the final 6-4 6-0 and in in Stuttgart where she defeated Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-2 6-2.
The Pole has an overall 36-3 win-loss record in 2022, 8-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Ons Jabeur
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-17 | 18-11 | 11-3 | 0-0 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-17 | 19-12 | 17-4 | 0-0 | 11-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 25-12 | 13-4 | 0-1 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 23-11 | 18-8 | 3-2 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7 (career-high), the Tunisian reached the final after beating Sorana Cirstea 6-0 7-61, Ajla Tomljanovic 7-5 6-2, Yulia Putintseva 6-3 6-2, Maria Sakkari 1-6 7-5 6-1 and Daria Kasatkina 6-4 1-6 7-5.
In the semifinal, The Tunisian defeated Kasatkina (6-4 1-6 7-5). During the match Jabeur and Kasatkina scored the same amount of points (95). However, the world no. 1 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The Tunisian was very aggressive to blast 27 winners.
About the serving games, Jabeur bagged 5 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Ons Jabeur lost the serve 6 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Jabeur put 60% of her first serves in, winning 55% (27/49) of the points behind her 1st serve and 52% (17/33) on the 2nd serve. Jabeur broke Kasatkina 6 times after converting 40% of her break points (6/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ons has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in in Madrid where she defeated Jessica Pegula in the final 7-5 0-6 6-2.
Jabeur has a compiled 25-7 win-loss record in 2022, 17-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2020. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Swiatek | Jabeur |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 12 |
| Tot Games | 66 | 111 |
| Pts | 272-181 | 396-330 |
| Total Points | 453 | 726 |
| Winners | 94 | 125 |
| %Winners | 35% | 32% |
Swiatek played 4 matches while Jabeur competed in 5 matches. At the moment, Ons Jabeur dropped 2 sets while Iga Swiatek hasn’t dropped a set so far. Swiatek has played 4 set(s) less than Jabeur (8 vs 12). Therefore, Swiatek played 45 games less than Jabeur. Swiatek scored 94 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Ons scored 125 winners (32%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Swiatek | Jabeur |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 15 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 3 |
| 1st in | 151/248 | 187/337 |
| %1st in | 61% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 94/151 | 125/187 |
| %1st pts | 62% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 51/97 | 80/150 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 53% |
Swiatek managed to score 4 aces (1 per match). Jabeur struck 15 aces (3 per match). Swiatek won 62% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Jabeur won 67% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Swiatek | Jabeur |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 26 | 26 |
| Converted | 26/43 | 26/56 |
| % Converted | 60% | 46% |
| Conceded | 26 | 27 |
| Saved | 16 | 12 |
| % Saved | 62% | 44% |
| Times Broken | 10 | 15 |
Swiatek broke her opponents 26 times with a 60% conversion rate. Iga lost her serve 10 times and she saved 62% of the break points that she conceded. The Tunisian broke her opponents 26 times with a 46% conversion rate. Jabeur conceded her serve 15 times and she saved 44% of the break points that she conceded.
| Swiatek | ||||||
| R2 Gabriela Ruse |
R3 Azarenka |
1/4 Andreescu |
1/2 Sabalenka |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-0 | 6-4 6-1 | 7-62 6-0 | 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 17 | 19 | 15 | 66 | |
| pts | 55-30 | 83-62 | 71-53 | 63-36 | 272-181 | |
| Total points | 85 | 145 | 124 | 99 | 453 | |
| Winners | 17 | 31 | 27 | 19 | 94 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 37% | 38% | 30% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 23/37 | 60/98 | 42/69 | 26/44 | 151/248 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 61% | 61% | 59% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 17/23 | 31/60 | 27/42 | 19/26 | 94/151 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 52% | 64% | 73% | 62% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/14 | 21/38 | 14/27 | 10/18 | 51/97 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 55% | 52% | 56% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 26 | |
| Converted | 7/12 | 7/10 | 6/6 | 6/15 | 26/43 | |
| Converted % | 58% | 70% | 100% | 40% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 26 | |
| Saved | 0/2 | 10/14 | 2/5 | 4/5 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 71% | 40% | 80% | 48% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10 | |
| Jabeur | |||||||
| R1 Cirstea |
R2 Tomljanovic |
R3 Putintseva |
1/4 Sakkari |
1/2 Kasatkina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 7-61 | 7-5 6-2 | 6-3 6-2 | 1-6 7-5 6-1 | 6-4 1-6 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 20 | 17 | 26 | 29 | 111 | |
| pts | 70-45 | 82-61 | 57-41 | 92-88 | 95-95 | 396-330 | |
| Total points | 115 | 143 | 98 | 180 | 190 | 726 | |
| Winners | 20 | 29 | 15 | 34 | 27 | 125 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 35% | 26% | 37% | 28% | 32% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 26/51 | 42/67 | 21/48 | 49/89 | 49/82 | 187/337 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 63% | 44% | 55% | 60% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 20/26 | 29/42 | 15/21 | 34/49 | 27/49 | 125/187 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 69% | 71% | 69% | 55% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/25 | 14/25 | 20/27 | 15/40 | 17/33 | 80/150 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 56% | 74% | 38% | 52% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 26 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/14 | 4/7 | 6/12 | 6/15 | 26/56 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 36% | 57% | 50% | 40% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 27 | |
| Saved | 0/2 | 4/6 | 1/1 | 4/9 | 3/9 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 67% | 100% | 44% | 33% | 61% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 15 | |
Head 2 Head
WWLWWWWWWW
LLLLLWLW Tennis Scores in Rome
- Philipp KohlschreiberKohlschreiber – Joao SousaSousa (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Ons JabeurJabeur (1-2) – H2H and prediction
