Ons Jabeur and Daria Kasatkina will play each other in the semifinal of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 5:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ons Jabeur who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Ons Jabeur is the pick to win this match.
Ons Jabeur -> 1.34
Daria Kasatkina -> 3.52
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Prediction and head to head Ons Jabeur vs. Daria Kasatkina
This will be the 6th time that Ons Jabeur and Daria Kasatkina clash against each other. The head to head is 3-2 for Jabeur (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Jabeur won 6-3 6-3 in the 2nd round in Stuttgart back in April 2022.
Ons Jabeur
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3-1 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 16-14 | 2-6 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-17 | 18-11 | 11-3 | 0-0 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-17 | 19-12 | 17-4 | 0-0 | 11-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 25-12 | 13-4 | 0-1 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7 (career-high), Jabeur reached the semifinal after beating Sorana Cirstea 6-0 7-61, Ajla Tomljanovic 7-5 6-2, Yulia Putintseva 6-3 6-2 and Maria Sakkari 1-6 7-5 6-1.
In the quarter against Sakkari, The Tunisian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 7-5 6-1). During the match, Jabeur scored 92 points vs Sakkari’s 88. Ons was exceptionally aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Regarding the service games, Jabeur fired 4 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Ons Jabeur lost the serve 5 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Jabeur put 55% of her first serves in, winning 69% (34/49) of the points behind her 1st serve and 38% (15/40) on the 2nd serve. The Tunisian broke Sakkari 6 times after converting 50% of her break points (6/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jabeur has dropped 1 set in this competition to win 56% of the points she played.
Jabeur has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of her matches (315-179). 16-2 on clay in 2022. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Jabeur has an aggregate 96-45 match record in the last years on clay.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in in Madrid where she defeated Jessica Pegula in the final 7-5 0-6 6-2.
Ons has a compiled 24-7 win-loss record in 2022, 16-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Daria Kasatkina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 40-23 | 24-16 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-25 | 19-15 | 12-6 | 2-1 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-22 | 24-14 | 12-5 | 1-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-19 | 19-10 | 5-5 | 7-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 23, Kasatkina got to the semifinal after beating Tamara Zidansek 6-4 6-3, Leylah Annie Fernandez 4-6 6-3 7-62, Paula Badosa Gibert 6-4 6-4 and Jil Teichmann 6-4 3-2 ret..
In the quarter, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Belen Teichmann (6-4 3-2 ret.). During the match Kasatkina scored 60 points vs Belen Teichmann’s 46. Darya was extremely aggressive to blast 25 winners.
About the serving games, Kasatkina wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 4 double faults. Daria Kasatkina lost the serve 3 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Kasatkina put 76% of her first serves in, winning 68% (25/37) of the points behind her 1st serve and 17% (2/12) on the 2nd serve. Kasatkina broke Belen Teichmann 5 times after converting 45% of her break points (5/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
The Russian’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Melbourne and Sydney.
The Russian has an overall 18-9 win-loss record in 2022, 7-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2016, 2018, 2019 and 2020. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Jabeur | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 82 | 86 |
| Pts | 301-235 | 331-286 |
| Total Points | 536 | 617 |
| Winners | 98 | 129 |
| %Winners | 33% | 39% |
Both Jabeur and Kasatkina played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Ons Jabeur conceded 1 set, while Daria Kasatkina surrendered 1 set. Jabeur has played 1 set(s) less than Kasatkina (9 vs 10). Therefore, Jabeur played 4 games less than Kasatkina. Ons scored 98 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, Kasatkina bagged 129 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Jabeur | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 2.5 | 0.3 |
| 1st in | 138/255 | 201/289 |
| %1st in | 54% | 70% |
| 1st pts | 98/138 | 129/201 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 64% |
| 2nd pts | 63/117 | 33/88 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 38% |
Jabeur bagged 10 aces (2.5 per match). Kasatkina fired 1 ace (0.3 per match). Jabeur won 71% points behind her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Kasatkina won 64% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 38% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Jabeur | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 20 | 24 |
| Converted | 20/41 | 24/51 |
| % Converted | 49% | 47% |
| Conceded | 18 | 41 |
| Saved | 9 | 25 |
| % Saved | 50% | 61% |
| Times Broken | 9 | 16 |
Jabeur broke her opponents 20 times with a 49% conversion rate. Jabeur surrendered her serve 9 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Darya broke her opponents 24 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Russian conceded her serve 16 times and she saved 61% of the break points that she conceded.
| Jabeur | ||||||
| R1 Cirstea |
R2 Tomljanovic |
R3 Putintseva |
1/4 Sakkari |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 7-61 | 7-5 6-2 | 6-3 6-2 | 1-6 7-5 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 20 | 17 | 26 | 82 | |
| pts | 70-45 | 82-61 | 57-41 | 92-88 | 301-235 | |
| Total points | 115 | 143 | 98 | 180 | 536 | |
| Winners | 20 | 29 | 15 | 34 | 98 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 35% | 26% | 37% | 33% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 26/51 | 42/67 | 21/48 | 49/89 | 138/255 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 63% | 44% | 55% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 20/26 | 29/42 | 15/21 | 34/49 | 98/138 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 69% | 71% | 69% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/25 | 14/25 | 20/27 | 15/40 | 63/117 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 56% | 74% | 38% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/14 | 4/7 | 6/12 | 20/41 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 36% | 57% | 50% | 49% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 18 | |
| Saved | 0/2 | 4/6 | 1/1 | 4/9 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 67% | 100% | 44% | 53% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | |
| Kasatkina | ||||||
| R1 Zidansek |
R2 Annie |
R3 Badosa |
1/4 Belen Teichmann |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 4-6 6-3 7-62 | 6-4 6-4 | 6-4 3-2 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 32 | 20 | 15 | 86 | |
| pts | 73-59 | 118-111 | 80-70 | 60-46 | 331-286 | |
| Total points | 132 | 229 | 150 | 106 | 617 | |
| Winners | 27 | 50 | 27 | 25 | 129 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 42% | 34% | 42% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | |
| 1st in | 43/72 | 76/106 | 45/62 | 37/49 | 201/289 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 72% | 73% | 76% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 27/43 | 50/76 | 27/45 | 25/37 | 129/201 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 66% | 60% | 68% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/29 | 14/30 | 6/17 | 2/12 | 33/88 | |
| % 2nd pts | 38% | 47% | 35% | 17% | 38% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 7 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 24 | |
| Converted | 7/9 | 5/14 | 7/17 | 5/11 | 24/51 | |
| Converted % | 78% | 36% | 41% | 45% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 41 | |
| Saved | 8/12 | 6/10 | 6/11 | 5/8 | 25 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 60% | 55% | 63% | 61% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 16 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWW
LW Tennis Scores in Rome
- Joao SousaSousa – Sebastian OfnerOfner (7-64 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Philipp KohlschreiberKohlschreiber – Fabio FogniniFognini (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (3-2) – H2H and prediction
