Elias Ymer and Pavel Kotov will square off in the quarter of the Bordeaux Challenger

for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 13:00 pm on COURT 11. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elias Ymer who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Elias Ymer is the pick to win this match.
Elias Ymer -> 1.7
Pavel Kotov -> 2.15

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Prediction and head to head Elias Ymer vs. Pavel Kotov

This will be the 2nd time that Elias Ymer and Pavel Kotov clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Ymer (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.

The last time that they locked horns, Ymer won 6-2 6-3 in the qualifications in Moscow back in 2021.

Elias Ymer

Elias Ymer

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
326
High
105
LWLWLWWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 24-32 7-15 6-9 8-7 3-1 0-0
2023 42-41 10-13 24-17 7-10 1-1 0-0
2022 39-32 12-11 20-15 5-4 2-2 0-0
2021 35-29 9-9 20-11 6-8 0-1 0-0
2020 10-12 1-4 8-6 1-2 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 139, the Swede got to the quarter after beating Gastao Elias 6-4 3-6 7-5 and Christopher Eubanks 6-2 6-4.

In the 2nd round, Ymer had a good straight sets win against Eubanks (6-2 6-4). During the match, Ymer scored 58 points vs Eubanks’s 40. The Swede was very aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Talking about the service games, Ymer fired 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Elias Ymer was very effective on serve to win 79% (31/39) of his 1st serve and 75% (6/8) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Swede broke Eubanks 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Elias has lost 1 set in this competition to conquer 53% of the points he played.

Ymer has a winning match record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (313-236). 6-3 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Ymer has a composed 181-110 match record in the last years on clay.

The Swede’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Pune.

Ymer has an overall 18-10 win-loss record in 2022, 6-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Bordeaux Challenger

Bordeaux Challenger
Ymer's Record

Pavel Kotov

Pavel Kotov

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
86
High
50
LLLLLLWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 20-25 9-11 11-9 0-4 0-1 0-0
2023 45-32 13-14 20-12 9-2 3-4 0-0
2022 37-20 5-3 20-9 12-8 0-0 0-0
2021 29-25 5-5 7-11 17-9 0-0 0-0
2020 12-10 0-0 0-1 12-8 0-0 0-1

Ranked no. 156 (career-high), the Russian got to the quarter after defeating Thiago Moura Monteiro 6-71 6-3 7-66 and Taro Daniel 7-5 3-6 6-3.

In the 2nd round, Kotov defeated Daniel (7-5 3-6 6-3). During the match Kotov scored 96 points vs Daniel’s 90. Kotov was extremely aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Talking about serving, Kotov made 4 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Pavel Kotov was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 84% (38/45) of his 1st serve and 52% (25/48) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Russian broke Daniel 3 times after converting 25% of his break points (3/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Russian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

Pavel’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in the Forli 3 Challenger.

The Russian has a composed 18-8 win-loss record in 2022, 9-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Bordeaux Challenger
Kotov's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

E.Ymer
P.Kotov
3h:44
3h:44
Time on court​
5h:29
5h:29
1h:06
1h:06
Last match​
!
2h:46
2h:46
2
2
Match played
2
2
49
49
Games Played​
65
65
5
5
Set played​​
6
6
162
162
Total points​
203
203
81
81
Avg point​
101.5
101.5
78
78
Winners
87
87
39
39
Avg Winners​
43.5
43.5
48%
48%
Ratio winners
43%
43%
-- Serve --
3
3
Aces
9
9
1.5
1.5
Avg Aces
4.5
4.5
5
5
Double Faults
6
6
2.5
2.5
Avg Double Faults
3
3
78/107
78/107
1st won total​
87/101
87/101
!
73%
73%
1st won %
!
86%
86%
26/52
26/52
2nd won total​
45/85
45/85
50%
50%
2nd won %
53%
53%
-- Break Points --
7/19
7/19
BP won
6/23
6/23
3.5/9.5
3.5/9.5
Avg BP won
3/11.5
3/11.5
37%
37%
Won
!
26%
26%
16
16
Conceded
14
14
8
8
Avg Conceded
7
7
3
3
Broken
4
4
1.5
1.5
Avg Broken
2
2
13
13
Saved
10
10

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Ymer Kotov
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 5 6
Tot Games 49 65
Pts 162-146 203-186
Total Points 308 389
Winners 78 87
%Winners 48% 43%

Both Ymer and Kotov played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Elias Ymer surrendered 1 set, while Pavel Kotov surrendered 2 sets. Ymer has played 1 set(s) less than Kotov (5 vs 6). Therefore, Ymer played 16 games less than Kotov. The Swede scored 78 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Pavel blasted 87 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve Ymer Kotov
Aces 3 9
Avg per match 1.5 4.5
1st in 107/159 101/186
%1st in 67% 54%
1st pts 78/107 87/101
%1st pts 73% 86%
2nd pts 26/52 45/85
%2nd pts 50% 53%

Ymer bagged 3 aces (1.5 per match). Kotov recorded 9 aces (4.5 per match). Ymer won 73% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Kotov won 86% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Ymer Kotov
Won 7 6
Converted 7/19 6/23
% Converted 37% 26%
Conceded 16 14
Saved 13 10
% Saved 81% 71%
Times Broken 3 4

Ymer broke his opponents 7 times with a 37% conversion rate. Elias surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 81% of the break points that he conceded. Kotov broke his opponents 6 times with a 26% conversion rate. Kotov conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.

Ymer
R1
Elias
R2
Eubanks
Total
Score 6-4 3-6 7-5 6-2 6-4
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 31 18 49
pts 104-106 58-40 162-146
Total points 210 98 308
Winners 47 31 78
%Winners 45% 53% 48%
SERVE
Aces 0 3 3
Double Faults 4 1 5
1st in 68/112 39/47 107/159
% 1st in 61% 83% 67%
1st pts 47/68 31/39 78/107
% 1st pts 69% 79% 73%
2nd pts 20/44 6/8 26/52
% 2nd pts 45% 75% 50%
Breaks
Won 4 3 7
Converted 4/12 3/7 7/19
Converted % 33% 43% 37%
Conceded 15 1 16
Saved 12/15 1/1 13
Saved % 80% 100% 90%
Times Broken 3 0 3
Kotov
R1
Moura Monteiro
R2
Daniel
Total
Score 6-71 6-3 7-66 7-5 3-6 6-3
Tot Set 3 3 6
Tot Games 35 30 65
pts 107-96 96-90 203-186
Total points 203 186 389
Winners 49 38 87
%Winners 46% 40% 43%
SERVE
Aces 5 4 9
Double Faults 2 4 6
1st in 56/93 45/93 101/186
% 1st in 60% 48% 54%
1st pts 49/56 38/45 87/101
% 1st pts 88% 84% 86%
2nd pts 20/37 25/48 45/85
% 2nd pts 54% 52% 53%
Breaks
Won 3 3 6
Converted 3/11 3/12 6/23
Converted % 27% 25% 26%
Conceded 2 12 14
Saved 0/2 10/12 10
Saved % 0% 83% 42%
Times Broken 2 2 4

Upcoming matches in the draw