Elias Ymer and Pavel Kotov will square off in the quarter of the Bordeaux Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 13:00 pm on COURT 11. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elias Ymer who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Elias Ymer is the pick to win this match.
Elias Ymer -> 1.7
Pavel Kotov -> 2.15
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Prediction and head to head Elias Ymer vs. Pavel Kotov
This will be the 2nd time that Elias Ymer and Pavel Kotov clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Ymer (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Ymer won 6-2 6-3 in the qualifications in Moscow back in 2021.
Elias Ymer
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11-18 | 1-7 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 42-41 | 10-13 | 24-17 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-32 | 12-11 | 20-15 | 5-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-29 | 9-9 | 20-11 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 10-12 | 1-4 | 8-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 139, the Swede got to the quarter after beating Gastao Elias 6-4 3-6 7-5 and Christopher Eubanks 6-2 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Ymer had a good straight sets win against Eubanks (6-2 6-4). During the match, Ymer scored 58 points vs Eubanks’s 40. The Swede was very aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about the service games, Ymer fired 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Elias Ymer was very effective on serve to win 79% (31/39) of his 1st serve and 75% (6/8) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Swede broke Eubanks 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Elias has lost 1 set in this competition to conquer 53% of the points he played.
Ymer has a winning match record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (313-236). 6-3 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Ymer has a composed 181-110 match record in the last years on clay.
The Swede’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Pune.
Ymer has an overall 18-10 win-loss record in 2022, 6-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Bordeaux Challenger
Pavel Kotov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 14-13 | 4-6 | 10-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-32 | 13-14 | 20-12 | 9-2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-20 | 5-3 | 20-9 | 12-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-25 | 5-5 | 7-11 | 17-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 12-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 12-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 156 (career-high), the Russian got to the quarter after defeating Thiago Moura Monteiro 6-71 6-3 7-66 and Taro Daniel 7-5 3-6 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Kotov defeated Daniel (7-5 3-6 6-3). During the match Kotov scored 96 points vs Daniel’s 90. Kotov was extremely aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about serving, Kotov made 4 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Pavel Kotov was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 84% (38/45) of his 1st serve and 52% (25/48) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Russian broke Daniel 3 times after converting 25% of his break points (3/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
Pavel’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in the Forli 3 Challenger.
The Russian has a composed 18-8 win-loss record in 2022, 9-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ymer | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 49 | 65 |
| Pts | 162-146 | 203-186 |
| Total Points | 308 | 389 |
| Winners | 78 | 87 |
| %Winners | 48% | 43% |
Both Ymer and Kotov played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Elias Ymer surrendered 1 set, while Pavel Kotov surrendered 2 sets. Ymer has played 1 set(s) less than Kotov (5 vs 6). Therefore, Ymer played 16 games less than Kotov. The Swede scored 78 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Pavel blasted 87 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ymer | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 1.5 | 4.5 |
| 1st in | 107/159 | 101/186 |
| %1st in | 67% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 78/107 | 87/101 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 86% |
| 2nd pts | 26/52 | 45/85 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 53% |
Ymer bagged 3 aces (1.5 per match). Kotov recorded 9 aces (4.5 per match). Ymer won 73% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Kotov won 86% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ymer | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 6 |
| Converted | 7/19 | 6/23 |
| % Converted | 37% | 26% |
| Conceded | 16 | 14 |
| Saved | 13 | 10 |
| % Saved | 81% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 4 |
Ymer broke his opponents 7 times with a 37% conversion rate. Elias surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 81% of the break points that he conceded. Kotov broke his opponents 6 times with a 26% conversion rate. Kotov conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ymer | ||||
| R1 Elias |
R2 Eubanks |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 3-6 7-5 | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 18 | 49 | |
| pts | 104-106 | 58-40 | 162-146 | |
| Total points | 210 | 98 | 308 | |
| Winners | 47 | 31 | 78 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 53% | 48% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 68/112 | 39/47 | 107/159 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 83% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 47/68 | 31/39 | 78/107 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 79% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/44 | 6/8 | 26/52 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 75% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 3/7 | 7/19 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 43% | 37% | |
| Conceded | 15 | 1 | 16 | |
| Saved | 12/15 | 1/1 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 100% | 90% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| Kotov | ||||
| R1 Moura Monteiro |
R2 Daniel |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-71 6-3 7-66 | 7-5 3-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 35 | 30 | 65 | |
| pts | 107-96 | 96-90 | 203-186 | |
| Total points | 203 | 186 | 389 | |
| Winners | 49 | 38 | 87 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 40% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 56/93 | 45/93 | 101/186 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 48% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 49/56 | 38/45 | 87/101 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 84% | 86% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/37 | 25/48 | 45/85 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 52% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Converted | 3/11 | 3/12 | 6/23 | |
| Converted % | 27% | 25% | 26% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 12 | 14 | |
| Saved | 0/2 | 10/12 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 83% | 42% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
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