Alexander Zverev and Cristian Garin will face off in the quarter of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 11:00 am on GRAND STAND ARENA. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Zverev who should win in 2 sets.
Alexander Zverev -> 1.285
Cristian Garin -> 3.95
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Prediction and head to head Alexander Zverev vs. Cristian Garin
This will be the 2nd time that Alexander Zverev and Cristian Garin play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Garin (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Garin won 6-4 5-7 7-5 in the quarter in Munich back in 2019.
Alexander Zverev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 57-25 | 24-9 | 18-7 | 9-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 69-21 | 29-10 | 23-6 | 11-3 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-27 | 22-13 | 20-7 | 8-5 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-10 | 9-4 | 17-5 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 59-15 | 28-6 | 14-4 | 13-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3 (career-high), the German got to the quarter after beating Sebastian Baez 7-66 6-3 and Alex De Minaur 6-3 7-65.
In the 3rd round, Zverev had a good straight sets win against De Minaur (6-3 7-65). During the match, Zverev scored 77 points vs De Minaur’s 66. Zverev was exceptionally aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Regarding the service games, Zverev managed to score 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Alexander Zverev lost the serve 3 times and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Zverev put 67% of his first serves in, winning 76% (31/41) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (9/20) on the 2nd serve. Alexander broke De Minaur 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The German hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to win 52% of the points he played.
Zverev has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 67% of his matches (400-195). 11-3 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Zverev has an overall 139-64 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Zverev’s best result of the season was reaching the final in Montpellier and Madrid.
Alexander has a composed 23-8 win-loss record in 2022, 11-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Cristian Garin
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 49-22 | 6-6 | 39-13 | 1-1 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 21-24 | 3-6 | 13-14 | 1-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-25 | 22-12 | 18-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-23 | 4-5 | 9-11 | 1-4 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 21-18 | 2-6 | 15-9 | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 45, the Chilean reached the quarter after beating Francesco Passaro 6-3 6-2, Emil Ruusuvuori 6-4 6-4 and Marin Cilic 6-3 4-6 6-4.
In the 3rd round, The Chilean defeated Cilic (6-3 4-6 6-4). During the match Garin scored 108 points vs Cilic’s 105. The Chilean was very aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Talking about serving, Garin scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 6 double faults. Cristian Garin lost the serve 4 times and he saved 16 break points. Furthermore, Garin put 62% of his first serves in, winning 58% (42/72) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (23/44) on the 2nd serve. The Chilean broke Cilic 6 times after converting 40% of his break points (6/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Chilean has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Christian’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Houston.
The Chilean has an aggregate 10-11 win-loss record in 2022, 7-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Zverev | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 44 | 66 |
| Pts | 136-126 | 241-212 |
| Total Points | 262 | 453 |
| Winners | 69 | 88 |
| %Winners | 51% | 37% |
Zverev played 2 matches while Garin competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Cristian Garin surrendered 1 set while Alexander Zverev hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Zverev has played 3 set(s) less than Garin (4 vs 7). Therefore, Zverev played 22 games less than Garin. The German scored 69 winners (51% of the total points). On the other side, Garin scored 88 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Zverev | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 0.7 |
| 1st in | 89/129 | 141/229 |
| %1st in | 69% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 69/89 | 88/141 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 62% |
| 2nd pts | 20/40 | 44/88 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 50% |
Zverev blasted 12 aces (6 per match). Garin fired 2 aces (0.7 per match). Zverev won 78% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Garin won 62% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Zverev | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 17 |
| Converted | 5/10 | 17/42 |
| % Converted | 50% | 40% |
| Conceded | 4 | 32 |
| Saved | 1 | 23 |
| % Saved | 25% | 72% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 9 |
Zverev broke his opponents 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. The German lost his serve 3 times and he saved 25% of the break points that he conceded. The Chilean broke his opponents 17 times with a 40% conversion rate. The Chilean conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 72% of the break points that he conceded.
| Zverev | ||||
| R2 Baez | R3 De Minaur | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-66 6-3 | 6-3 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | 44 | |
| pts | 59-60 | 77-66 | 136-126 | |
| Total points | 119 | 143 | 262 | |
| Winners | 38 | 31 | 69 | |
| %Winners | 64% | 40% | 51% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 8 | 4 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 48/68 | 41/61 | 89/129 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 67% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 38/48 | 31/41 | 69/89 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 76% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/20 | 9/20 | 20/40 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 45% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| Converted | 1/1 | 4/9 | 5/10 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 44% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 1/4 | 1 | |
| Saved % | – | 25% | 13% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| Garin | |||||
| R1 Passaro | R2 Ruusuvuori | R3 Cilic | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 6-4 6-4 | 6-3 4-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 20 | 29 | 66 | |
| pts | 66-47 | 67-60 | 108-105 | 241-212 | |
| Total points | 113 | 127 | 213 | 453 | |
| Winners | 23 | 23 | 42 | 88 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 34% | 39% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 35/54 | 34/59 | 72/116 | 141/229 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 58% | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 23/35 | 23/34 | 42/72 | 88/141 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 68% | 58% | 62% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/19 | 13/25 | 23/44 | 44/88 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 52% | 52% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 7 | 4 | 6 | 17 | |
| Converted | 7/12 | 4/15 | 6/15 | 17/42 | |
| Converted % | 58% | 27% | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 3 | 20 | 32 | |
| Saved | 6/9 | 1/3 | 16/20 | 23 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 33% | 80% | 90% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | |
Tennis Scores in Rome
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Rafael NadalNadal (1-6 7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Cristian GarinGarin – Marin CilicCilic (6-3 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Filip KrajinovicKrajinovic (6-2 7-66) – See score progression
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Marcos GironGiron (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Stan WawrinkaWawrinka (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (4-6 6-0 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (6-3 7-65) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Rafael NadalNadal (1-6 7-5 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Christian GarinGarin – Alexander ZverevZverev (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Casper RuudRuud (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (1-3) – H2H and prediction