Casper Ruud and Denis Shapovalov will fight against each other in the quarter of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 3:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Casper Ruud who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Casper Ruud is the pick to win this match.
Casper Ruud -> 1.54
Denis Shapovalov -> 2.62

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Prediction and head to head Casper Ruud vs. Denis Shapovalov

This will be the 2nd time that Casper Ruud and Denis Shapovalov face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Ruud (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they played, Ruud won 7-6(6) 6-4 in the final in Geneva back in 2021.

Highlights Casper Ruud vs Denis Shapovalov – Geneva 22-May-2021

Casper Ruud

Casper Ruud

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
12
High
2
LLWWWWWWLL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 39-16 12-8 14-5 13-3 0-0 0-0
2024 51-25 21-9 24-7 5-8 1-1 0-0
2023 37-23 12-12 22-8 2-2 1-1 0-0
2022 51-22 18-8 25-7 7-5 1-2 0-0
2021 57-17 16-6 28-5 11-4 2-2 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 10, Casper got to the quarter after defeating Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-74 6-2 6-4 and Jenson Brooksby 6-3 6-4.

In the 3rd round, Ruud had a good straight sets win against Brooksby (6-3 6-4). During the match, Ruud scored 71 points vs Brooksby’s 57. The Norwegian was very aggressive to blast 36 winners.

Talking about the service games, Ruud managed to score 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Casper Ruud conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 3 break points. Furthermore, Ruud put 66% of his first serves in, winning 86% (36/42) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (10/22) on the 2nd serve. The Norwegian broke Brooksby twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Ruud has lost 1 set in this event to win 54% of the points he played.

Ruud has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 65% of his matches (284-156). 10-4 on clay in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Ruud has an aggregate175-84 record in the last 8 years on clay.

His best result of the year was conquering the title in in Buenos Aires where he overcame Diego Sebastian Schwartzman in the final 5-7 6-2 6-3.

Casper has a compiled 19-8 win-loss record in 2022, 10-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Rome
Ruud's Record

Denis Shapovalov

Denis Shapovalov

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
23
High
10
LLWWLWWLWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 26-22 14-11 2-5 9-3 1-3 0-0
2024 33-25 9-10 5-6 16-6 3-3 0-0
2023 13-13 6-6 3-3 0-1 4-3 0-0
2022 34-26 22-12 4-4 7-6 1-4 0-0
2021 30-23 11-11 7-6 4-3 8-3 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 16, Denis reached the quarter after beating Lorenzo Sonego 7-65 3-6 6-3, Nikoloz Basilashvili 6-4 7-65 and Rafael Nadal 1-6 7-5 6-2.

In the 3rd round against Nadal, The Canadian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 7-5 6-2). During the match Shapovalov scored 93 points vs Nadal’s 90. Denis was very aggressive to blast 40 winners.

About the serving games, Shapovalov managed to score 13 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Denis Shapovalov lost the serve 4 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Shapovalov put 68% of his first serves in, winning 63% (40/63) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (13/30) on the 2nd serve. Denis broke Nadal 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Shapovalov has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points he played.

The Canadian’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Dubai.

The Canadian has an aggregate 16-8 win-loss record in 2022, 4-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2020. See his history.

Rome
Shapovalov's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

C.Ruud
D.Shapovalov
3h:56
3h:56
Time on court​
!
7h:27
7h:27
1h:36
1h:36
Last match​
!
2h:37
2h:37
2
2
Match played
!
3
3
50
50
Games Played​
81
81
5
5
Set played​​
8
8
173
173
Total points​
276
276
86.5
86.5
Avg point​
92
92
90
90
Winners
123
123
45
45
Avg Winners​
41
41
52%
52%
Ratio winners
45%
45%
-- Serve --
6
6
Aces
23
23
3
3
Avg Aces
7.7
7.7
3
3
Double Faults
14
14
1.5
1.5
Avg Double Faults
4.7
4.7
90/111
90/111
1st won total​
123/165
123/165
!
81%
81%
1st won %
!
75%
75%
23/47
23/47
2nd won total​
48/98
48/98
49%
49%
2nd won %
49%
49%
-- Break Points --
6/19
6/19
BP won
8/26
8/26
3/9.5
3/9.5
Avg BP won
2.7/8.7
2.7/8.7
32%
32%
Won
31%
31%
8
8
Conceded
17
17
4
4
Avg Conceded
5.7
5.7
1
1
Broken
6
6
!
0.5
0.5
Avg Broken
2
2
7
7
Saved
11
11
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Ruud Shapovalov
Match played 2 3
Tot Set 5 8
Tot Games 50 81
Pts 173-145 276-260
Total Points 318 536
Winners 90 123
%Winners 52% 45%

Ruud played 2 matches while Shapovalov competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Casper Ruud conceded 1 set, while Denis Shapovalov dropped 2 sets. Ruud has played 3 set(s) less than Shapovalov (5 vs 8). Therefore, Ruud played 31 games less than Shapovalov. Ruud scored 90 winners (52% of the total points). On the other side, The Canadian scored 123 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve Ruud Shapovalov
Aces 6 23
Avg per match 3 7.7
1st in 111/158 165/263
%1st in 70% 63%
1st pts 90/111 123/165
%1st pts 81% 75%
2nd pts 23/47 48/98
%2nd pts 49% 49%

Ruud scored 6 aces (3 per match). Shapovalov managed to score 23 aces (7.7 per match). Ruud won 81% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Shapovalov won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Ruud Shapovalov
Won 6 8
Converted 6/19 8/26
% Converted 32% 31%
Conceded 8 17
Saved 7 11
% Saved 88% 65%
Times Broken 1 6

Casper broke his opponents 6 times with a 32% conversion rate. The Norwegian conceded his serve once and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded. The Canadian broke his opponents 8 times with a 31% conversion rate. The Canadian conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded.

Ruud
R2
Van De Zandschulp		 R3
Brooksby		 Total
Score 6-74 6-2 6-4 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 31 19 50
pts 102-88 71-57 173-145
Total points 190 128 318
Winners 54 36 90
%Winners 53% 51% 52%
SERVE
Aces 1 5 6
Double Faults 1 2 3
1st in 69/94 42/64 111/158
% 1st in 73% 66% 70%
1st pts 54/69 36/42 90/111
% 1st pts 78% 86% 81%
2nd pts 13/25 10/22 23/47
% 2nd pts 52% 45% 49%
Breaks
Won 4 2 6
Converted 4/13 2/6 6/19
Converted % 31% 33% 32%
Conceded 5 3 8
Saved 4/5 3/3 7
Saved % 80% 100% 90%
Times Broken 1 0 1
Shapovalov
R1
Sonego		 R2
Basilashvili		 R3
Nadal		 Total
Score 7-65 3-6 6-3 6-4 7-65 1-6 7-5 6-2
Tot Set 3 2 3 8
Tot Games 31 23 27 81
pts 110-105 73-65 93-90 276-260
Total points 215 138 183 536
Winners 43 40 40 123
%Winners 39% 55% 43% 45%
SERVE
Aces 3 7 13 23
Double Faults 7 4 3 14
1st in 55/103 47/67 63/93 165/263
% 1st in 53% 70% 68% 63%
1st pts 43/55 40/47 40/63 123/165
% 1st pts 78% 85% 63% 75%
2nd pts 25/48 10/20 13/30 48/98
% 2nd pts 52% 50% 43% 49%
Breaks
Won 2 1 5 8
Converted 2/9 1/4 5/13 8/26
Converted % 22% 25% 38% 31%
Conceded 5 1 11 17
Saved 3/5 1/1 7/11 11
Saved % 60% 100% 64% 112%
Times Broken 2 0 4 6

Tennis Scores in Rome

Upcoming matches in the draw

Ruud
More Stats
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Shapovalov

Click for FULL STATS