Casper Ruud and Denis Shapovalov will fight against each other in the quarter of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 3:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Casper Ruud who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Casper Ruud is the pick to win this match.
Casper Ruud -> 1.54
Denis Shapovalov -> 2.62
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Prediction and head to head Casper Ruud vs. Denis Shapovalov
This will be the 2nd time that Casper Ruud and Denis Shapovalov face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Ruud (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played, Ruud won 7-6(6) 6-4 in the final in Geneva back in 2021.
Highlights Casper Ruud vs Denis Shapovalov – Geneva 22-May-2021
Casper Ruud
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 39-16 | 12-8 | 14-5 | 13-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 51-25 | 21-9 | 24-7 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-23 | 12-12 | 22-8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-22 | 18-8 | 25-7 | 7-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 57-17 | 16-6 | 28-5 | 11-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 10, Casper got to the quarter after defeating Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-74 6-2 6-4 and Jenson Brooksby 6-3 6-4.
In the 3rd round, Ruud had a good straight sets win against Brooksby (6-3 6-4). During the match, Ruud scored 71 points vs Brooksby’s 57. The Norwegian was very aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about the service games, Ruud managed to score 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Casper Ruud conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 3 break points. Furthermore, Ruud put 66% of his first serves in, winning 86% (36/42) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (10/22) on the 2nd serve. The Norwegian broke Brooksby twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ruud has lost 1 set in this event to win 54% of the points he played.
Ruud has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 65% of his matches (284-156). 10-4 on clay in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Ruud has an aggregate175-84 record in the last 8 years on clay.
His best result of the year was conquering the title in in Buenos Aires where he overcame Diego Sebastian Schwartzman in the final 5-7 6-2 6-3.
Casper has a compiled 19-8 win-loss record in 2022, 10-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Denis Shapovalov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26-22 | 14-11 | 2-5 | 9-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 33-25 | 9-10 | 5-6 | 16-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 13-13 | 6-6 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-26 | 22-12 | 4-4 | 7-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-23 | 11-11 | 7-6 | 4-3 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 16, Denis reached the quarter after beating Lorenzo Sonego 7-65 3-6 6-3, Nikoloz Basilashvili 6-4 7-65 and Rafael Nadal 1-6 7-5 6-2.
In the 3rd round against Nadal, The Canadian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 7-5 6-2). During the match Shapovalov scored 93 points vs Nadal’s 90. Denis was very aggressive to blast 40 winners.
About the serving games, Shapovalov managed to score 13 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Denis Shapovalov lost the serve 4 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Shapovalov put 68% of his first serves in, winning 63% (40/63) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (13/30) on the 2nd serve. Denis broke Nadal 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Shapovalov has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points he played.
The Canadian’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Dubai.
The Canadian has an aggregate 16-8 win-loss record in 2022, 4-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2020. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ruud | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 50 | 81 |
| Pts | 173-145 | 276-260 |
| Total Points | 318 | 536 |
| Winners | 90 | 123 |
| %Winners | 52% | 45% |
Ruud played 2 matches while Shapovalov competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Casper Ruud conceded 1 set, while Denis Shapovalov dropped 2 sets. Ruud has played 3 set(s) less than Shapovalov (5 vs 8). Therefore, Ruud played 31 games less than Shapovalov. Ruud scored 90 winners (52% of the total points). On the other side, The Canadian scored 123 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ruud | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 23 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 7.7 |
| 1st in | 111/158 | 165/263 |
| %1st in | 70% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 90/111 | 123/165 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 23/47 | 48/98 |
| %2nd pts | 49% | 49% |
Ruud scored 6 aces (3 per match). Shapovalov managed to score 23 aces (7.7 per match). Ruud won 81% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Shapovalov won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ruud | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 8 |
| Converted | 6/19 | 8/26 |
| % Converted | 32% | 31% |
| Conceded | 8 | 17 |
| Saved | 7 | 11 |
| % Saved | 88% | 65% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 6 |
Casper broke his opponents 6 times with a 32% conversion rate. The Norwegian conceded his serve once and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded. The Canadian broke his opponents 8 times with a 31% conversion rate. The Canadian conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ruud | ||||
| R2 Van De Zandschulp |
R3 Brooksby |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-74 6-2 6-4 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 19 | 50 | |
| pts | 102-88 | 71-57 | 173-145 | |
| Total points | 190 | 128 | 318 | |
| Winners | 54 | 36 | 90 | |
| %Winners | 53% | 51% | 52% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 5 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 69/94 | 42/64 | 111/158 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 66% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 54/69 | 36/42 | 90/111 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 86% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/25 | 10/22 | 23/47 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 45% | 49% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Converted | 4/13 | 2/6 | 6/19 | |
| Converted % | 31% | 33% | 32% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 3/3 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 100% | 90% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Shapovalov | |||||
| R1 Sonego |
R2 Basilashvili |
R3 Nadal |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 3-6 6-3 | 6-4 7-65 | 1-6 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 23 | 27 | 81 | |
| pts | 110-105 | 73-65 | 93-90 | 276-260 | |
| Total points | 215 | 138 | 183 | 536 | |
| Winners | 43 | 40 | 40 | 123 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 55% | 43% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 7 | 13 | 23 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 4 | 3 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 55/103 | 47/67 | 63/93 | 165/263 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 70% | 68% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 43/55 | 40/47 | 40/63 | 123/165 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 85% | 63% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 25/48 | 10/20 | 13/30 | 48/98 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 50% | 43% | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | |
| Converted | 2/9 | 1/4 | 5/13 | 8/26 | |
| Converted % | 22% | 25% | 38% | 31% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 1 | 11 | 17 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 1/1 | 7/11 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 100% | 64% | 112% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWWWWLL
LLWWLWWLWL Tennis Scores in Rome
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Marcos GironGiron (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Stan WawrinkaWawrinka (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (4-6 6-0 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (6-3 7-65) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Rafael NadalNadal (1-6 7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Cristian GarinGarin – Marin CilicCilic (6-3 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Filip KrajinovicKrajinovic (6-2 7-66) – See score progression
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Rafael NadalNadal (1-6 7-5 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Christian GarinGarin – Alexander ZverevZverev (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Casper RuudRuud (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (1-3) – H2H and prediction
