Ergi Kirkin and Sebastian Fanselow will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Shymkent 1 Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 10:30 am on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ergi Kirkin who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Ergi Kirkin is the pick to win this match.
Ergi Kirkin -> 1.53
Sebastian Fanselow -> 2.5
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Prediction and head to head Ergi Kirkin vs. Sebastian Fanselow
There is no head to head record between Ergi Kirkin and Sebastian Fanselow since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Ergi Kirkin
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 49-30 | 18-5 | 29-20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-26 | 3-4 | 39-15 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-28 | 3-5 | 27-19 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-27 | 4-8 | 29-16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-8 | 14-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 329, Ergi reached the semifinal after defeating Robin Haase 5-7 6-4 7-62, Illya Marchenko 5-7 6-1 6-3 and Evgeny Karlovskiy 6-3 4-6 6-3.
In the quarter, Ergi defeated Karlovskiy (6-3 4-6 6-3). During the match, Kirkin scored 90 points vs Karlovskiy’s 74. Ergi was extremely aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about the service games, Kirkin blasted 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Ergi Kirkin lost the serve 3 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Kirkin put 58% of his first serves in, winning 67% (33/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 58% (21/36) on the 2nd serve. Ergi broke Karlovskiy 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Turk has surrendered 3 set in this competition to conquer 53% of the points he played.
Kirkin has a solid win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 60% of his matches (142-93). 20-10 on clay in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Kirkin has a composed97-53 match record in the last 7 years on clay.
Kirkin’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in M25 Rovinj.
Kirkin has a compiled 20-11 win-loss record in 2022, 20-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Shymkent 1 Challenger
Sebastian Fanselow
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 29-34 | 7-9 | 14-18 | 8-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-31 | 24-9 | 20-15 | 12-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-31 | 5-11 | 17-13 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-28 | 17-13 | 13-11 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 34-15 | 34-13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 397, Fanselow got to the semifinal after beating Dostanbek Tashbulatov 7-64 4-6 6-4, Bogdan Ionut Apostol 6-3 2-1 ret., Filip Cristian Jianu 6-3 7-5, Antoine Bellier 3-6 6-1 6-2 and Dragos Nicolae Madaras 6-4 7-65.
In the quarter, Fanselow had a good straight sets win against Nicolae Madaras (6-4 7-65). During the match Fanselow scored 87 points vs Nicolae Madaras’s 74. Sebastian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about serving, Fanselow scored 4 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Sebastian Fanselow was pretty efficient on serve to win 71% (29/41) of his 1st serve and 53% (21/40) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. The German broke Nicolae Madaras 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The German started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
The German has a compiled 15-12 win-loss record in 2022, 6-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kirkin | Fanselow |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 13 |
| Tot Games | 91 | 113 |
| Pts | 311-271 | 407-345 |
| Total Points | 582 | 752 |
| Winners | 114 | 154 |
| %Winners | 37% | 38% |
Kirkin played 3 matches while Fanselow competed in 5 matches. Fanselow started his run from the qualifications while Kirkin had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Ergi Kirkin conceded 3 sets, while Sebastian Fanselow conceded 2 sets. Kirkin has played 4 set(s) less than Fanselow (9 vs 13). Therefore, Kirkin played 22 games less than Fanselow. The Turk scored 114 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, The German fired 154 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kirkin | Fanselow |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 18 | 17 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 3.4 |
| 1st in | 161/290 | 206/372 |
| %1st in | 56% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 114/161 | 154/206 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 67/129 | 89/166 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 54% |
Kirkin struck 18 aces (6 per match). Fanselow bagged 17 aces (3.4 per match). Kirkin won 71% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Fanselow won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kirkin | Fanselow |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 15 | 17 |
| Converted | 15/34 | 17/44 |
| % Converted | 44% | 39% |
| Conceded | 34 | 28 |
| Saved | 24 | 19 |
| % Saved | 71% | 68% |
| Times Broken | 10 | 9 |
The Turk broke his opponents 15 times with a 44% conversion rate. Ergi conceded his serve 10 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. Sebastian broke his opponents 17 times with a 39% conversion rate. Sebastian conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded.
| Kirkin | |||||
| R1 Haase |
R2 Marchenko |
1/4 Karlovskiy |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 6-4 7-62 | 5-7 6-1 6-3 | 6-3 4-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 35 | 28 | 28 | 91 | |
| pts | 116-108 | 105-89 | 90-74 | 311-271 | |
| Total points | 224 | 194 | 164 | 582 | |
| Winners | 44 | 37 | 33 | 114 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 35% | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 10 | 3 | 5 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | 1 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 55/102 | 57/103 | 49/85 | 161/290 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 55% | 58% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 44/55 | 37/57 | 33/49 | 114/161 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 65% | 67% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/47 | 25/46 | 21/36 | 67/129 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 54% | 58% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 5 | 15 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 6/14 | 5/8 | 15/34 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 43% | 63% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 17 | 9 | 34 | |
| Saved | 4/8 | 14/17 | 6/9 | 24 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 82% | 67% | 66% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| Fanselow | |||||||
| Q1 Tashbulatov |
Q3 Ionut Apostol |
R1 Cristian |
R2 Bellier |
1/4 Nicolae |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 4-6 6-4 | 6-3 2-1 ret. | 6-3 7-5 | 3-6 6-1 6-2 | 6-4 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 12 | 21 | 24 | 23 | 113 | |
| pts | 122-120 | 46-32 | 72-63 | 80-56 | 87-74 | 407-345 | |
| Total points | 242 | 78 | 135 | 136 | 161 | 752 | |
| Winners | 45 | 13 | 35 | 32 | 29 | 154 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 28% | 49% | 40% | 33% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 9 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 25 | |
| 1st in | 63/119 | 14/32 | 48/76 | 40/64 | 41/81 | 206/372 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 44% | 63% | 63% | 51% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 45/63 | 13/14 | 35/48 | 32/40 | 29/41 | 154/206 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 93% | 73% | 80% | 71% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 29/56 | 12/18 | 11/28 | 16/24 | 21/40 | 89/166 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 67% | 39% | 67% | 53% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17 | |
| Converted | 3/15 | 2/5 | 4/7 | 4/5 | 4/12 | 17/44 | |
| Converted % | 20% | 40% | 57% | 80% | 33% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 28 | |
| Saved | 8/11 | 0/0 | 6/8 | 1/2 | 4/7 | 19 | |
| Saved % | 73% | – | 75% | 50% | 57% | 85% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWWWWWL
LLWWLWWLLW Tennis Scores in Shymkent 1 Challenger
- Ergi KirkinKirkin – Evgeny KarlovskiyKarlovskiy (6-3 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Sebastian FanselowFanselow – Dragos Nicolae MadarasNicolae Madaras (6-4 7-65) – See score progression
- Emilio NavaNava – Viktor DurasovicDurasovic (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Ulises BlanchBlanch – Alexandar LazarovLazarov (4-2 ret.) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Ergi KirkinKirkin – Sebastian FanselowFanselow (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emilio NavaNava – Ulises BlanchBlanch (1-1) – H2H and prediction
