Paula Badosa Gibert and Daria Kasatkina will play each other in the 3rd round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 8:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Paula Badosa Gibert who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Paula Badosa Gibert is the pick to win this match.
Paula Badosa Gibert -> 1.51
Daria Kasatkina -> 2.71
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Prediction and head to head Paula Badosa Gibert vs. Daria Kasatkina
This will be the 2nd time that Paula Badosa Gibert and Daria Kasatkina clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Badosa (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.
The last time that they played, Badosa won 6-2 6-2 in the semifinal in Sydney back in January 2022.
Highlights Paula Badosa Gibert vs Daria Kasatkina – Sydney 14-January-2022
Paula Badosa Gibert
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 6-8 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 18-9 | 6-4 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-22 | 20-13 | 8-5 | 1-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-17 | 19-9 | 17-3 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-9 | 7-6 | 6-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3, the Spaniard got to the 3rd round after beating Aliaksandra Sasnovich 6-2 6-1.
In the 2nd round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Sasnovich (6-2 6-1). During the match, Badosa scored 69 points vs Sasnovich’s 47. Paula was very aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about the service games, Badosa bagged 5 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Paula Badosa Gibert lost the serve once and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Badosa put 67% of her first serves in, winning 74% (32/43) of the points behind her 1st serve and 33% (7/21) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Sasnovich 5 times after converting 38% of her break points (5/13).
Badosa has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 66% of her matches (302-159). 6-3 on clay in 2022. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Badosa has a compiled 143-75 record in the last years on clay.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in in Sydney where she beat Barbora Krejcikova in the final 6-3 4-6 7-6(4).
The Spaniard has an aggregate 22-9 win-loss record in 2022, 6-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Paula has never competed in this tournament before.
Daria Kasatkina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16-9 | 12-8 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-25 | 19-15 | 12-6 | 2-1 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-22 | 24-14 | 12-5 | 1-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-19 | 19-10 | 5-5 | 7-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-14 | 7-8 | 5-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 23, Kasatkina got to the 3rd round after beating Tamara Zidansek 6-4 6-3 and Leylah Annie Fernandez 4-6 6-3 7-62.
In the 2nd round against Annie Fernandez, The Russian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 7-62). During the match Kasatkina scored 118 points vs Annie Fernandez’s 111. Kasatkina was pretty aggressive to blast 50 winners.
Talking about serving, Kasatkina was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 5 double faults. Daria Kasatkina lost the serve 4 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Kasatkina put 72% of her first serves in, winning 66% (50/76) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (14/30) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Annie Fernandez 5 times after converting 36% of her break points (5/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Darya has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
Darya’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Melbourne and Sydney.
The Russian has a composed 16-9 win-loss record in 2022, 5-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2016, 2018, 2019 and 2020. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Badosa | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 15 | 51 |
| Pts | 69-47 | 191-170 |
| Total Points | 116 | 361 |
| Winners | 32 | 77 |
| %Winners | 46% | 40% |
Badosa played 1 match while Kasatkina competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Daria Kasatkina dropped 1 set while Paula Badosa Gibert hasn’t dropped a set so far. Badosa has played 3 set(s) less than Kasatkina (2 vs 5). Therefore, Badosa played 36 games less than Kasatkina. Badosa scored 32 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Darya struck 77 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Badosa | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 0.5 |
| 1st in | 43/64 | 119/178 |
| %1st in | 67% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 32/43 | 77/119 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 65% |
| 2nd pts | 7/21 | 25/59 |
| %2nd pts | 33% | 42% |
Badosa blasted 5 aces . Kasatkina made 1 ace (0.5 per match). Badosa won 74% points on her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 33% of the points. On the other side, Kasatkina won 65% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 42% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Badosa | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 12 |
| Converted | 5/13 | 12/23 |
| % Converted | 38% | 52% |
| Conceded | 7 | 22 |
| Saved | 6 | 14 |
| % Saved | 86% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 8 |
Badosa broke her opponent 5 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Spaniard dropped her serve once and she saved 86% of the break points that she conceded. Kasatkina broke her opponents 12 times with a 52% conversion rate. Kasatkina conceded her serve 8 times and she saved 64% of the break points that she conceded.
| Badosa | |||
| R2 Sasnovich |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 69-47 | 69-47 | |
| Total points | 116 | 116 | |
| Winners | 32 | 32 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 43/64 | 43/64 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 32/43 | 32/43 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/21 | 7/21 | |
| % 2nd pts | 33% | 33% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/13 | 5/13 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 86% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Kasatkina | ||||
| R1 Zidansek |
R2 Annie |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 4-6 6-3 7-62 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 32 | 51 | |
| pts | 73-59 | 118-111 | 191-170 | |
| Total points | 132 | 229 | 361 | |
| Winners | 27 | 50 | 77 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 42% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 43/72 | 76/106 | 119/178 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 72% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 27/43 | 50/76 | 77/119 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 66% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/29 | 14/30 | 25/59 | |
| % 2nd pts | 38% | 47% | 42% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 7 | 5 | 12 | |
| Converted | 7/9 | 5/14 | 12/23 | |
| Converted % | 78% | 36% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 10 | 22 | |
| Saved | 8/12 | 6/10 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 60% | 127% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLWLLWLW
LWWWWLWLWW Tennis Scores in Rome
- Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (4-6 6-3 7-62) – See score progression
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Belinda BencicBencic (7-65 6-1) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Lauren DavisDavis (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Shuai ZhangZhang (6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Jil TeichmannTeichmann – Karolina PliskovaPliskova (6-2 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Simona HalepHalep (7-61 6-3) – See score progression
- Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu – Nuria Parrizas-DiazParrizas-Diaz (6-3 7-64) – See score progression
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Garbine MuguruzaMuguruza (3-6 7-64 6-1) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Elena Gabriela RuseGabriela Ruse (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Madison BrengleBrengle (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (w/o) – See score progression
- Petra MarticMartic – Anett KontaveitKontaveit (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Gerald MelzerMelzer – Santiago GiraldoGiraldo (6-3 7-61) – See score progression
- Sebastian OfnerOfner – Pablo CuevasCuevas (6-3 2-6 7-63) – See score progression
- Joao SousaSousa – Paolo LorenziLorenzi (6-75 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Fabio FogniniFognini – Miljan ZekicZekic (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Philipp KohlschreiberKohlschreiber – Jiri VeselyVesely (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Dusan LajovicLajovic – Gilles SimonSimon (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Thomaz BellucciBellucci – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (6-4 7-63) – See score progression
- Renzo OlivoOlivo – Horacio ZeballosZeballos (7-64 6-2) – See score progression
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Simona HalepHalep (7-6(1) 6-3) – See score progression
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu – Petra MarticMartic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Jessica PegulaPegula (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Ons JabeurJabeur (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Maria SakkariSakkari (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Jil TeichmannTeichmann – Elena RybakinaRybakina (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (0-1) – H2H and prediction
