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Alexander Zverev and Alex De Minaur will face off in the 3rd round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 11:00 am on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Zverev who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alexander Zverev is the pick to win this match.
Alexander Zverev -> 1.33
Alex De Minaur -> 3.58
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Prediction and head to head Alexander Zverev vs. Alex De Minaur
This will be the 7th time that Alexander Zverev and Alex De Minaur clash against each other. The head to head is 5-1 for Zverev (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they played, Zverev won 6-2 3-6 6-2 in the 2nd round in Vienna back in 2021.
Highlights Alexander Zverev vs Alex De Minaur – Vienna 28-October-2021
Alexander Zverev
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 11-3 | 8-1 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 71-21 | 31-10 | 23-6 | 11-3 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
2023 | 55-27 | 22-13 | 20-7 | 8-5 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
2022 | 29-10 | 9-4 | 17-5 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2021 | 59-15 | 28-6 | 14-4 | 13-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3 (career-high), Alexander got to the 3rd round after defeating Sebastian Baez 7-66 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The German had a good straight sets win against Baez (7-66 6-3).During the match, Zverev scored less points (1) than Baez. In fact, the world no. 3 won 59 points vs Baez’s. That means that Zverev was more focused during the important points. The German was pretty aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Regarding the service games, Zverev blasted 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Alexander Zverev was quite efficient on serve to win 79% (38/48) of his 1st serve and 55% (11/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Alexander was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Baez once.
Zverev has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 67% of his matches (399-195). 10-3 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Zverev has an overall 138-64 match record in the last years on clay.
The German’s best result of the season was reaching the final in Montpellier and Madrid.
Zverev has an overall 22-8 win-loss record in 2022, 10-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Alex De Minaur
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 13-3 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 5-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 47-21 | 19-6 | 10-5 | 11-9 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
2023 | 46-26 | 26-12 | 4-5 | 10-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
2022 | 47-25 | 19-10 | 9-6 | 12-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
2021 | 25-25 | 10-10 | 4-5 | 3-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 22, Alex reached the 3rd round after defeating Dusan Lajovic 6-4 6-1 and Tommy Paul 7-5 6-4.
In the 2nd round, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Paul (7-5 6-4). During the match De Minaur scored 71 points vs Paul’s 58. The Australian was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.
About the serving games, De Minaur made 2 aces and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Alex De Minaur lost the serve 3 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, De Minaur put 59% of his first serves in, winning 65% (24/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 62% (16/26) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke Paul 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Australian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
De Minaur’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Barcelona.
Alex has an overall 19-9 win-loss record in 2022, 7-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2019, 2020 and 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Zverev | De Minaur |
---|---|---|
Match played | 1 | 2 |
Tot Set | 2 | 4 |
Tot Games | 22 | 39 |
Pts | 59-60 | 146-119 |
Total Points | 119 | 265 |
Winners | 38 | 61 |
%Winners | 64% | 42% |
Zverev played 1 match while De Minaur competed in 2 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Zverev has played 2 set(s) less than De Minaur (2 vs 4). Therefore, Zverev played 17 games less than De Minaur. Zverev scored 38 winners (64% of the total points). On the other side, The Australian scored 61 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Zverev | De Minaur |
---|---|---|
Aces | 8 | 3 |
Avg per match | 8 | 1.5 |
1st in | 48/68 | 85/142 |
%1st in | 71% | 60% |
1st pts | 38/48 | 61/85 |
%1st pts | 79% | 72% |
2nd pts | 11/20 | 28/57 |
%2nd pts | 55% | 49% |
Zverev managed to score 8 aces . De Minaur recorded 3 aces (1.5 per match). Zverev won 79% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, De Minaur won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Zverev | De Minaur |
---|---|---|
Won | 1 | 8 |
Converted | 1/1 | 8/21 |
% Converted | 100% | 38% |
Conceded | 0 | 12 |
Saved | 0 | 9 |
% Saved | 0% | 75% |
Times Broken | 0 | 3 |
The German broke his opponent once with a 100% conversion rate. The German pretty solid on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 0 break points. De Minaur broke his opponents 8 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Australian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
Zverev | |||
R2 Baez |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 7-66 6-3 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
pts | 59-60 | 59-60 | |
Total points | 119 | 119 | |
Winners | 38 | 38 | |
%Winners | 64% | 64% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 8 | 8 | |
Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
1st in | 48/68 | 48/68 | |
% 1st in | 71% | 71% | |
1st pts | 38/48 | 38/48 | |
% 1st pts | 79% | 79% | |
2nd pts | 11/20 | 11/20 | |
% 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 1 | 1 | |
Converted | 1/1 | 1/1 | |
Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
Saved % | – | 0% | |
Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
De Minaur | ||||
R1 Lajovic |
R2 Paul |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-4 6-1 | 7-5 6-4 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
Tot Games | 17 | 22 | 39 | |
pts | 75-61 | 71-58 | 146-119 | |
Total points | 136 | 129 | 265 | |
Winners | 37 | 24 | 61 | |
%Winners | 49% | 34% | 42% | |
SERVE | ||||
Aces | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
1st in | 48/79 | 37/63 | 85/142 | |
% 1st in | 61% | 59% | 60% | |
1st pts | 37/48 | 24/37 | 61/85 | |
% 1st pts | 77% | 65% | 72% | |
2nd pts | 12/31 | 16/26 | 28/57 | |
% 2nd pts | 39% | 62% | 49% | |
Breaks | ||||
Won | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
Converted | 3/9 | 5/12 | 8/21 | |
Converted % | 33% | 42% | 38% | |
Conceded | 7 | 5 | 12 | |
Saved | 7/7 | 2/5 | 9 | |
Saved % | 100% | 40% | 140% | |
Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Head 2 Head
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Tennis Scores in Rome
- Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – Laslo DjereDjere (7-68 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (6-3 5-7 7-64) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Tommy PaulPaul (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Marcos GironGiron – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (6-1 7-64) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Fabio FogniniFognini (6-2 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Sebastian BaezBaez (7-66 6-3) – See score progression
- Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – David GoffinGoffin (6-0 7-61) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (6-4 2-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Rafael NadalNadal – John IsnerIsner (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Marin CilicCilic – Cameron NorrieNorrie (5-7 6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Aslan KaratsevKaratsev (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (4-6 7-62 6-2) – See score progression
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili (6-4 7-65) – See score progression
- Filip KrajinovicKrajinovic – Andrey RublevRublev (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-74 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Cristian GarinGarin – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Fabio FogniniFognini (6-2 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Marin CilicCilic – Cameron NorrieNorrie (5-7 6-2 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Rafael NadalNadal – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Stan WawrinkaWawrinka (21-6) – H2H and prediction
- Filip KrajinovicKrajinovic – Jannik SinnerSinner (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Marcos GironGiron – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Christian GarinGarin – Marin CilicCilic (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-4) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Alexander ZverevZverev (1-5) – H2H and prediction
- Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Casper RuudRuud (0-0) – H2H and prediction