Novak Djokovic and Stan Wawrinka will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 28th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 6:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Novak Djokovic who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Novak Djokovic is the pick to win this match.
Novak Djokovic -> 1.108
Stan Wawrinka -> 7.8
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Prediction and head to head Novak Djokovic vs. Stan Wawrinka
This will be the 28th time that Novak Djokovic and Stan Wawrinka face off. The head to head is 21-6 for Djokovic (see full H2H stats), 5-2 on clay.
The last time that they played, Wawrinka won 6-4 7-5 2-1 ret. in the 4th round in at the U.S. Open back in 2019.
Novak Djokovic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 39-11 | 21-7 | 9-3 | 4-0 | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-9 | 15-5 | 16-3 | 1-0 | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-7 | 27-1 | 12-3 | 11-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-7 | 2-1 | 14-4 | 19-2 | 7-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 55-7 | 19-3 | 18-3 | 11-1 | 7-0 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 Djokovic reached the 3rd round after defeating Aslan Karatsev 6-3 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The Serbian had a good straight sets win against Karatsev (6-3 6-2). During the match, Djokovic scored 67 points vs Karatsev’s 47. The Serbian was quite aggressive to blast 19 winners.
Talking about the service games, Djokovic scored just 1 ace throughout the match and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Novak Djokovic was extremely efficient on serve to win 76% (19/25) of his 1st serve and 65% (17/26) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Serbian broke Karatsev 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).
Djokovic has an impressive match record in the last 10 years having won 87% of his matches (528-80). 6-3 on clay in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Djokovic has a compiled 134-27 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
The Serbian’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Belgrade.
Djokovic has an aggregate 8-4 win-loss record in 2022, 6-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Stan Wawrinka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-23 | 7-4 | 11-12 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 12-20 | 1-5 | 5-10 | 5-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 29-24 | 8-6 | 11-8 | 8-9 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 10-15 | 0-3 | 2-5 | 7-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 3-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 361, the Swiss reached the 3rd round after beating Reilly Opelka 3-6 7-5 6-2 and Laslo Djere 7-68 3-6 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Wawrinka defeated Djere (7-68 3-6 6-4). During the match Wawrinka scored 109 points vs Djere’s 106. The Swiss was very aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Talking about serving, Wawrinka recorded 7 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Stan Wawrinka was extremely effective on serve to win 80% (39/49) of his 1st serve and 58% (23/40) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Wawrinka broke Djere twice after converting 18% of his break points (2/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Wawrinka has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points he played.
The Swiss has an aggregate 2-2 win-loss record in 2022, 2-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2008. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Djokovic | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 61 |
| Pts | 67-47 | 206-198 |
| Total Points | 114 | 404 |
| Winners | 19 | 75 |
| %Winners | 28% | 36% |
Djokovic played 1 match while Wawrinka competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Stan Wawrinka lost 2 sets while Novak Djokovic hasn’t dropped a set so far. Djokovic has played 4 set(s) less than Wawrinka (2 vs 6). Therefore, Djokovic played 44 games less than Wawrinka. Djokovic scored 19 winners (28% of the total points). On the other side, Wawrinka struck 75 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Djokovic | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 15 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 7.5 |
| 1st in | 25/51 | 101/187 |
| %1st in | 49% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 19/25 | 75/101 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 17/26 | 50/86 |
| %2nd pts | 65% | 58% |
Djokovic fired 1 ace . Wawrinka also made 15 aces (7.5 per match). Djokovic won 76% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Wawrinka won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Djokovic | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 6 |
| Converted | 4/10 | 6/23 |
| % Converted | 40% | 26% |
| Conceded | 2 | 13 |
| Saved | 1 | 9 |
| % Saved | 50% | 69% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 |
The Serbian broke his opponent 4 times with a 40% conversion rate. Djokovic surrendered his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The Swiss broke his opponents 6 times with a 26% conversion rate. Wawrinka conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded.
| Djokovic | |||
| R2 Karatsev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 67-47 | 67-47 | |
| Total points | 114 | 114 | |
| Winners | 19 | 19 | |
| %Winners | 28% | 28% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 25/51 | 25/51 | |
| % 1st in | 49% | 49% | |
| 1st pts | 19/25 | 19/25 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/26 | 17/26 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 65% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 4/10 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Wawrinka | ||||
| R1 Opelka |
R2 Djere |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 7-5 6-2 | 7-68 3-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 32 | 61 | |
| pts | 97-92 | 109-106 | 206-198 | |
| Total points | 189 | 215 | 404 | |
| Winners | 36 | 39 | 75 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 8 | 7 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 52/98 | 49/89 | 101/187 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 55% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 36/52 | 39/49 | 75/101 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 80% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 27/46 | 23/40 | 50/86 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 2/11 | 6/23 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 18% | 26% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 3 | 13 | |
| Saved | 8/10 | 1/3 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 33% | 113% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWLWWWWL
LWLWLWLWWW Tennis Scores in Rome
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Sebastian BaezBaez (7-66 6-3) – See score progression
- Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – David GoffinGoffin (6-0 7-61) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Fabio FogniniFognini (6-2 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Tommy PaulPaul (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – Laslo DjereDjere (7-68 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (6-4 2-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Rafael NadalNadal – John IsnerIsner (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Marin CilicCilic – Cameron NorrieNorrie (5-7 6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Marcos GironGiron – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (6-1 7-64) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (6-3 5-7 7-64) – See score progression
- Filip KrajinovicKrajinovic – Andrey RublevRublev (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-74 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Cristian GarinGarin – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Aslan KaratsevKaratsev (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (4-6 7-62 6-2) – See score progression
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili (6-4 7-65) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Fabio FogniniFognini (6-2 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Marin CilicCilic – Cameron NorrieNorrie (5-7 6-2 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Rafael NadalNadal – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Stan WawrinkaWawrinka (21-6) – H2H and prediction
- Filip KrajinovicKrajinovic – Jannik SinnerSinner (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Marcos GironGiron – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Christian GarinGarin – Marin CilicCilic (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-4) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Alexander ZverevZverev (1-5) – H2H and prediction
- Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Casper RuudRuud (0-0) – H2H and prediction
