
Pablo Carreno-Busta and Karen Khachanov will face off in the 2nd round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 8th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 2:30 pm on GRAND STAND ARENA. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Pablo Carreno-Busta who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Pablo Carreno-Busta is the pick to win this match.
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 1.55
Karen Khachanov -> 2.52
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Prediction and head to head Pablo Carreno-Busta vs. Karen Khachanov
This will be the 8th time that Pablo Carreno-Busta and Karen Khachanov play each other. The head to head is 4-3 for Khachanov (see full H2H stats), but Carreno-Busta has a winning record of 2-0 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Khachanov won 6-0 6-4 in the 3rd round in Indian wells back in 2021.
Pablo Carreno-Busta
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41-28 | 25-10 | 14-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 10-12 | 7-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-25 | 19-8 | 11-9 | 5-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-18 | 14-8 | 17-4 | 5-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 18, Pablo got to the 2nd round after defeating Federico Delbonis 6-3 6-2.
In the 1st round, Carreno-Busta had a good straight sets win against Delbonis (6-3 6-2). During the match, Carreno-Busta scored 66 points vs Delbonis’s 46. Carreno-Busta was very aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about the service games, Carreno-Busta scored just 1 ace throughout the encounter and he committed only 1 double fault. Pablo Carreno-Busta lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Carreno-Busta put 65% of his first serves in, winning 70% (26/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 60% (12/20) on the 2nd serve. Pablo broke Delbonis 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Carreno-Busta has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (385-212). 7-4 on clay in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Carreno-Busta has an aggregate 217-98 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Carreno-Busta’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Barcelona.
The Spaniard has an overall 16-9 win-loss record in 2022, 7-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Karen Khachanov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 32-24 | 13-11 | 9-6 | 2-4 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-22 | 14-12 | 8-4 | 14-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-18 | 18-10 | 10-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-25 | 17-11 | 9-7 | 6-5 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-24 | 17-9 | 5-6 | 8-6 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 24, Khachanov reached the 2nd round after beating Giulio Zeppieri 6-3 6-4.
In the 1st round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Zeppieri (6-3 6-4). During the match Khachanov scored 72 points vs Zeppieri’s 53. Khachanov was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about serving, Khachanov recorded 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Karen Khachanov was extremely effective on serve to win 86% (30/35) of his 1st serve and 64% (16/25) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Karen broke Zeppieri twice after converting 25% of his break points (2/8).
The Russian’s best result of the season was reaching the final in Adelaide.
Karen has an aggregate 13-11 win-loss record in 2022, 2-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2019. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Carreno-Busta | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 19 |
| Pts | 66-46 | 72-53 |
| Total Points | 112 | 125 |
| Winners | 26 | 30 |
| %Winners | 39% | 42% |
Both Carreno-Busta and Khachanov played 1 match. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Carreno-Busta and Khachanov have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Carreno-Busta played 2 games less than Khachanov. Pablo scored 26 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Karen recorded 30 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Carreno-Busta | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 5 |
| 1st in | 37/57 | 35/60 |
| %1st in | 65% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 26/37 | 30/35 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 86% |
| 2nd pts | 12/20 | 16/25 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 64% |
Carreno-Busta bagged 1 ace . Khachanov also scored 5 aces . Carreno-Busta won 70% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Khachanov won 86% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Carreno-Busta | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 2 |
| Converted | 4/8 | 2/8 |
| % Converted | 50% | 25% |
| Conceded | 3 | 2 |
| Saved | 2 | 2 |
| % Saved | 67% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 |
Pablo broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Spaniard surrendered his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Karen broke his opponent twice with a 25% conversion rate. The Russian was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points.
| Carreno-Busta | |||
| R1 Delbonis |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 66-46 | 66-46 | |
| Total points | 112 | 112 | |
| Winners | 26 | 26 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 37/57 | 37/57 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 26/37 | 26/37 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/20 | 12/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/8 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Khachanov | |||
| R1 Zeppieri |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 72-53 | 72-53 | |
| Total points | 125 | 125 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 35/60 | 35/60 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 30/35 | 30/35 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 86% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/25 | 16/25 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/8 | 2/8 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 25% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLWWWWLW
LWWLLLLLWL Tennis Scores in Rome
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili (6-4 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Casper RuudRuud – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-74 6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Filip KrajinovicKrajinovic – Andrey RublevRublev (6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (4-6 7-62 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Cristian GarinGarin – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Aslan KaratsevKaratsev (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
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- Marin CilicCilic – Cameron NorrieNorrie (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- David GoffinGoffin – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (1-4) – H2H and prediction
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (3-4) – H2H and prediction
- Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman – Marcos GironGiron (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Laslo DjereDjere – Stan WawrinkaWawrinka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Tommy PaulPaul (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-0) – H2H and prediction








