Illya Marchenko and Ergi Kirkin will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Shymkent 1 Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 10:00 am on COURT 11. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ergi Kirkin who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Ergi Kirkin is the pick to win this match.
Ergi Kirkin -> 1.56
Illya Marchenko -> 2.43
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Prediction and head to head Illya Marchenko vs. Ergi Kirkin
There is no head to head record between Illya Marchenko and Ergi Kirkin since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Illya Marchenko
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 8-22 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 42-22 | 17-5 | 6-6 | 18-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-25 | 9-10 | 3-4 | 8-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-28 | 5-7 | 2-5 | 26-12 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 15-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 254, the Ukrainian got to the 2nd round after defeating Gabriel Decamps 6-3 6-1.
In the 1st round, The Ukrainian had a good straight sets win against Decamps (6-3 6-1). During the match, Marchenko scored 59 points vs Decamps’s 35. Illya was quite aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Regarding the service games, Marchenko bagged 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Illya Marchenko was extremely efficient on serve to win 86% (24/28) of his 1st serve and 63% (10/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Marchenko broke Decamps 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Marchenko has a winning win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (279-217). 1-1 on clay in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Marchenko has an aggregate 18-30 record in the last years on clay.
The Ukrainian has an aggregate 5-7 win-loss record in 2022, 1-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Shymkent 1 Challenger
Ergi Kirkin
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 49-29 | 18-5 | 29-19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-26 | 3-4 | 39-15 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-28 | 3-5 | 27-19 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-27 | 4-8 | 29-16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-8 | 14-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 329, Ergi reached the 2nd round after beating Robin Haase 5-7 6-4 7-62.
In the 1st round against Haase, Ergi recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-4 7-62). During the match Kirkin scored 116 points vs Haase’s 108. Ergi was quite aggressive to blast 44 winners.
About the serving games, Kirkin made 10 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Ergi Kirkin lost the serve 4 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Kirkin put 54% of his first serves in, winning 80% (44/55) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (21/47) on the 2nd serve. The Turk broke Haase 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).
The Turk’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in M25 Rovinj.
The Turk has a compiled 18-11 win-loss record in 2022, 18-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Marchenko | Kirkin |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 16 | 35 |
| Pts | 59-35 | 116-108 |
| Total Points | 94 | 224 |
| Winners | 24 | 44 |
| %Winners | 41% | 38% |
Both Marchenko and Kirkin played 1 match. At the moment, Ergi Kirkin conceded 1 set while Illya Marchenko hasn’t lost a set so far. Marchenko has played 1 set(s) less than Kirkin (2 vs 3). Therefore, Marchenko played 19 games less than Kirkin. The Ukrainian scored 24 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The Turk struck 44 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Marchenko | Kirkin |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 10 |
| 1st in | 28/44 | 55/102 |
| %1st in | 64% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 24/28 | 44/55 |
| %1st pts | 86% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 10/16 | 21/47 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 45% |
Marchenko blasted 5 aces . Kirkin managed to score 10 aces . Marchenko won 86% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Kirkin won 80% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 45% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Marchenko | Kirkin |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 4 |
| Converted | 4/6 | 4/12 |
| % Converted | 67% | 33% |
| Conceded | 2 | 8 |
| Saved | 2 | 4 |
| % Saved | 100% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 |
Illya broke his opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. The Ukrainian extremely effective on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 2 break points. Ergi broke his opponent 4 times with a 33% conversion rate. Ergi conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Marchenko | |||
| R1 Decamps |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 59-35 | 59-35 | |
| Total points | 94 | 94 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 28/44 | 28/44 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 24/28 | 24/28 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 86% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/16 | 10/16 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 4/6 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Kirkin | |||
| R1 Haase |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 6-4 7-62 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 35 | 35 | |
| pts | 116-108 | 116-108 | |
| Total points | 224 | 224 | |
| Winners | 44 | 44 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 10 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 55/102 | 55/102 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 44/55 | 44/55 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/47 | 21/47 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 45% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 4/12 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 4/8 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLLLLLLL
LWWWWWWWLL Tennis Scores in Shymkent 1 Challenger
- Alexandar LazarovLazarov – Yan BondarevskiyBondarevskiy (4-6 7-65 7-5) – See score progression
- Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Eric VanshelboimVanshelboim (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Evan ZhuZhu – Denis IstominIstomin (6-1 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Dragos Nicolae MadarasNicolae Madaras – Altug CelikbilekCelikbilek (6-3 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Ergi KirkinKirkin – Robin HaaseHaase (5-7 6-4 7-62) – See score progression
- Nicholas David IonelDavid Ionel – Grigoriy LomakinLomakin (6-0 6-2) – See score progression
- Sebastian FanselowFanselow – Filip Cristian JianuCristian Jianu (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Evgeny KarlovskiyKarlovskiy – Matteo DonatiDonati (6-3 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Antoine BellierBellier – Evgenii TiurnevTiurnev (6-3 6-76 7-66) – See score progression
- Denis YevseyevYevseyev – Mukund SasikumarSasikumar (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Ulises BlanchBlanch – Yshai OlielOliel (7-5 7-65) – See score progression
- Mikael TorpegaardTorpegaard – Kaichi UchidaUchida (6-3 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Illya MarchenkoMarchenko – Gabriel DecampsDecamps (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Nicolas Alvarez VaronaAlvarez Varona – Aleksandre MetreveliMetreveli (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Viktor DurasovicDurasovic – Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Emilio NavaNava – Tennys SandgrenSandgren (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Sebastian FanselowFanselow – Antoine BellierBellier (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Evgeny KarlovskiyKarlovskiy – Denis YevseyevYevseyev (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Viktor DurasovicDurasovic – Mikael TorpegaardTorpegaard (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ulises BlanchBlanch – Nicolas Alvarez VaronaAlvarez Varona (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ergi KirkinKirkin – Illya MarchenkoMarchenko (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emilio NavaNava – Evan ZhuZhu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nicholas David IonelDavid Ionel – Dragos Nicolae MadarasNicolae Madaras (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Alexandar LazarovLazarov (1-0) – H2H and prediction
