Elena Rybakina and Lauren Davis will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 11:00 am on COURT 3. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.129
Lauren Davis -> 6.4
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Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Lauren Davis
There is no head to head record between Elena Rybakina and Lauren Davis since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Elena Rybakina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 59-19 | 37-13 | 9-3 | 8-0 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 43-11 | 23-5 | 12-2 | 2-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-15 | 31-11 | 11-2 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-21 | 18-12 | 9-5 | 5-2 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 18-14 | 6-4 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 17, Elena reached the 2nd round after beating Elina Avanesyan 6-4 7-60.
In the 1st round, Rybakina had a good straight sets win against Avanesyan (6-4 7-60). During the match, Rybakina scored 82 points vs Avanesyan’s 68. The Kazakhstani was quite aggressive to blast 20 winners.
Regarding the service games, Rybakina managed to score 2 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Elena Rybakina lost the serve 5 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Rybakina put 41% of her first serves in, winning 69% (20/29) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (20/42) on the 2nd serve. The Kazakhstani broke Avanesyan 6 times after converting 60% of her break points (6/10).
Rybakina has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 68% of her matches (219-104). 6-3 on clay in 2022. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Rybakina has an aggregate61-30 match record in the last 8 years on clay.
Elena’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Adelaide.
The Kazakhstani has a compiled 17-8 win-loss record in 2022, 6-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Lauren Davis
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10-14 | 3-6 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 17-17 | 5-6 | 5-7 | 6-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 25-20 | 16-11 | 7-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 28-25 | 14-12 | 11-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 20-21 | 8-11 | 6-5 | 2-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 102, Davis got to the 2nd round after defeating Stefania Rubini 6-1 4-6 6-2, Elena Gabriela Ruse 5-1 ret. and Jelena Ostapenko 6-2 6-3.
In the 1st round, The American had a good straight sets win against Ostapenko (6-2 6-3). During the match Davis scored 61 points vs Ostapenko’s 40. Lauren was pretty aggressive to blast 18 winners.
Talking about serving, Davis managed to score 4 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Lauren Davis lost the serve twice and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Davis put 47% of her first serves in, winning 86% (18/21) of the points behind her 1st serve and 46% (11/24) on the 2nd serve. Davis broke Ostapenko 6 times after converting 55% of her break points (6/11).
Davis has a compiled 12-9 win-loss record in 2022, 4-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rybakina | Davis |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 23 | 48 |
| Pts | 82-68 | 172-124 |
| Total Points | 150 | 296 |
| Winners | 20 | 47 |
| %Winners | 24% | 27% |
Rybakina played 1 match while Davis competed in 3 matches. Davis started her run from the qualifications while Rybakina had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Lauren Davis dropped 1 set while Elena Rybakina hasn’t dropped a set so far. Rybakina has played 5 set(s) less than Davis (2 vs 7). Therefore, Rybakina played 25 games less than Davis. The Kazakhstani scored 20 winners (24% of the total points). On the other side, Davis scored 47 winners (27%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rybakina | Davis |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 2.7 |
| 1st in | 29/71 | 67/135 |
| %1st in | 41% | 50% |
| 1st pts | 20/29 | 47/67 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 20/42 | 33/68 |
| %2nd pts | 48% | 49% |
Rybakina blasted 2 aces . Davis managed to score 8 aces (2.7 per match). Rybakina won 69% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Davis won 70% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rybakina | Davis |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 17 |
| Converted | 6/10 | 17/26 |
| % Converted | 60% | 65% |
| Conceded | 11 | 12 |
| Saved | 6 | 5 |
| % Saved | 55% | 42% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 7 |
The Kazakhstani broke her opponent 6 times with a 60% conversion rate. Rybakina dropped her serve 5 times and she saved 55% of the break points that she conceded. Davis broke her opponents 17 times with a 65% conversion rate. Lauren conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 42% of the break points that she conceded.
| Rybakina | |||
| R1 Avanesyan |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-60 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 82-68 | 82-68 | |
| Total points | 150 | 150 | |
| Winners | 20 | 20 | |
| %Winners | 24% | 24% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 29/71 | 29/71 | |
| % 1st in | 41% | 41% | |
| 1st pts | 20/29 | 20/29 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/42 | 20/42 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/10 | 6/10 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 11 | |
| Saved | 6/11 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 55% | 55% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 | |
| Davis | |||||
| Q1 Rubini |
Q3 Gabriela Ruse |
R1 Ostapenko |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 4-6 6-2 | 5-1 ret. | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 6 | 17 | 48 | |
| pts | 82-66 | 29-18 | 61-40 | 172-124 | |
| Total points | 148 | 47 | 101 | 296 | |
| Winners | 21 | 8 | 18 | 47 | |
| %Winners | 26% | 28% | 30% | 27% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 1 | 3 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 34/70 | 12/20 | 21/45 | 67/135 | |
| % 1st in | 49% | 60% | 47% | 50% | |
| 1st pts | 21/34 | 8/12 | 18/21 | 47/67 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 67% | 86% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/36 | 3/8 | 11/24 | 33/68 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 38% | 46% | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 8 | 3 | 6 | 17 | |
| Converted | 8/10 | 3/5 | 6/11 | 17/26 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 60% | 55% | 65% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 2 | 5 | 12 | |
| Saved | 1/5 | 1/2 | 3/5 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 20% | 50% | 60% | 130% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
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