H2H, PREDICTION Jessica Pegula vs Anhelina Kalinina | Rome odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. Rome. Pegula and Kalinina will face off in the 2nd round of the Internazionali BNL d'Italia. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match

By
Mark Hall
-
Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Anhelina Kalinina

Jessica Pegula and Anhelina Kalinina will play each other in the 2nd round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 4:00 pm on COURT 2. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Jessica Pegula is the pick to win this match.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.51
Anhelina Kalinina -> 2.63

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Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Anhelina Kalinina

This will be the 5th time that Jessica Pegula and Anhelina Kalinina fight against each other. The head to head is 2-2 (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay.

The last time that they fought against each other, Pegula won 6-0 0-0 ret. in the 4th round in Miami back in March 2022.

Jessica Pegula

Jessica Pegula
Jessica Pegula

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
6
High
3
LWLWLWWWWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 53-23 35-12 11-5 3-4 4-2 0-0
2024 39-16 29-9 4-2 0-2 6-3 0-0
2023 59-18 45-12 8-4 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 42-21 28-15 11-4 1-1 2-1 0-0
2021 39-19 29-12 6-4 0-0 4-3 0-0
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Ranked no. 11 (career-high), Jessica reached the 2nd round after defeating Liudmila Samsonova 4-6 6-3 6-4.

In the 1st round against Samsonova, Jessica recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-4). During the match, Pegula scored 99 points vs Samsonova’s 88. Jessica was very aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Regarding the service games, Pegula made 6 aces and she committed only 9 double faults. Jessica Pegula lost the serve twice and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Pegula put 49% of her first serves in, winning 70% (30/43) of the points behind her 1st serve and 66% (29/44) on the 2nd serve. Jessica broke Samsonova 3 times after converting 50% of her break points (3/6).

Pegula has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 61% of her matches (242-155). 7-2 on clay in 2022. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Pegula has a compiled 71-51 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

Jessica’s best result of the season was reaching the final in Madrid.

Pegula has an aggregate 19-10 win-loss record in 2022, 7-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Pegula
Rome
Pegula's Record

Anhelina Kalinina

Anhelina Kalinina
Anhelina Kalinina

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
155
High
25
WWLLWLWLLL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 11-13 5-7 2-4 4-2 0-0 0-0
2024 22-24 8-14 10-7 0-0 4-3 0-0
2023 29-25 18-16 5-4 3-1 3-4 0-0
2022 34-22 8-10 8-5 13-3 5-4 0-0
2021 47-15 5-6 31-4 9-3 2-2 0-0
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Ranked no. 36 (career-high), Kalinina got to the 2nd round after defeating Madison Keys 6-4 6-4.

In the 1st round, Anhelina had a good straight sets win against Keys (6-4 6-4). During the match Kalinina scored 70 points vs Keys’s 59. The Ukrainian was extremely aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Talking about serving, Kalinina couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Anhelina Kalinina lost the serve twice and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Kalinina put 73% of her first serves in, winning 66% (31/47) of the points behind her 1st serve and 59% (10/17) on the 2nd serve. The Ukrainian broke Keys 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).

Kalinina has an overall 12-8 win-loss record in 2022, 7-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Anhelina has never competed in this tournament before.

Kalinina
Rome
Kalinina's Record
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H2H Performance in the tournament

J.Pegula
A.Kalinina
2h:16
2h:16
Time on court​
1h:33
1h:33
!
2h:16
2h:16
Last match​
1h:33
1h:33
1
1
Match played
1
1
29
29
Games Played​
20
20
3
3
Set played​​
2
2
99
99
Total points​
70
70
99
99
Avg point​
70
70
30
30
Winners
31
31
30
30
Avg Winners​
31
31
30%
30%
Ratio winners
44%
44%
-- Serve --
6
6
Aces
0
0
6
6
Avg Aces
0
0
9
9
Double Faults
1
1
!
9
9
Avg Double Faults
1
1
30/43
30/43
1st won total​
31/47
31/47
70%
70%
1st won %
66%
66%
29/44
29/44
2nd won total​
10/17
10/17
!
66%
66%
2nd won %
59%
59%
-- Break Points --
3/6
3/6
BP won
4/8
4/8
3/6
3/6
Avg BP won
4/8
4/8
50%
50%
Won
50%
50%
6
6
Conceded
7
7
6
6
Avg Conceded
7
7
2
2
Broken
2
2
2
2
Avg Broken
2
2
4
4
Saved
5
5
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Matches, sets, games and points

Points Pegula Kalinina
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 2
Tot Games 29 20
Pts 99-88 70-59
Total Points 187 129
Winners 30 31
%Winners 30% 44%

Both Pegula and Kalinina played 1 match. At the moment, Jessica Pegula lost 1 set while Anhelina Kalinina hasn’t dropped a set so far. Pegula has played 1 set more than Kalinina (3 vs 2). Therefore, Pegula played 9 games more than Kalinina. Pegula scored 30 winners (30% of the total points). On the other side, Kalinina scored 31 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve Pegula Kalinina
Aces 6 0
Avg per match 6 0
1st in 43/87 47/64
%1st in 49% 73%
1st pts 30/43 31/47
%1st pts 70% 66%
2nd pts 29/44 10/17
%2nd pts 66% 59%

Pegula fired 6 aces . Kalinina didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Pegula won 70% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 66% of the points. On the other side, Kalinina won 66% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 59% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Pegula Kalinina
Won 3 4
Converted 3/6 4/8
% Converted 50% 50%
Conceded 6 7
Saved 4 5
% Saved 67% 71%
Times Broken 2 2

Jessica broke her opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. The American dropped her serve twice and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. The Ukrainian broke her opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. Anhelina conceded her serve twice and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded.

Pegula
R1
Samsonova		 Total
Score 4-6 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 29 29
pts 99-88 99-88
Total points 187 187
Winners 30 30
%Winners 30% 30%
SERVE
Aces 6 6
Double Faults 9 9
1st in 43/87 43/87
% 1st in 49% 49%
1st pts 30/43 30/43
% 1st pts 70% 70%
2nd pts 29/44 29/44
% 2nd pts 66% 66%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/6 3/6
Converted % 50% 50%
Conceded 6 6
Saved 4/6 4
Saved % 67% 67%
Times Broken 2 2
Kalinina
R1
Keys		 Total
Score 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 20 20
pts 70-59 70-59
Total points 129 129
Winners 31 31
%Winners 44% 44%
SERVE
Aces 0 0
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 47/64 47/64
% 1st in 73% 73%
1st pts 31/47 31/47
% 1st pts 66% 66%
2nd pts 10/17 10/17
% 2nd pts 59% 59%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/8 4/8
Converted % 50% 50%
Conceded 7 7
Saved 5/7 5
Saved % 71% 71%
Times Broken 2 2

Head 2 Head

Jessica Pegula
  • 0Slam
  • 10Main
  • 0ITF
  • 0Minor
Anhelina Kalinina
  • 0Slam
  • 0Main
  • 16ITF
  • 0Minor

Jessica
Pegula

3:2

Anhelina
Kalinina

Rank

6

High

3

2Hard0

1Clay2

Rank

155

High

25

Win Loss
Pegula
LWLWLWWWWL
Kalinina
WWLLWLWLLL
2025 2024 2023
53 - 23
11 - 13
35-12
Hard
5-7
3-4
I Hard
4-2
11-5
Clay
2-4
4-2
Grass
0-0

Tennis Scores in Rome

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Upcoming matches in the draw

Pegula Jessica Pegula
More Stats
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Kalinina Anhelina Kalinina