Cameron Norrie and Marin Cilic will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 7:00 pm on GRAND STAND ARENA. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Cameron Norrie who should win in 3 sets.
Cameron Norrie -> 1.76
Marin Cilic -> 2.11
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Cameron Norrie vs. Marin Cilic
This will be the 2nd time that Cameron Norrie and Marin Cilic square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Norrie (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Norrie won 7-6(5) 7-5 in the semifinal in Estoril back in 2021.
Highlights Cameron Norrie vs Marin Cilic – Estoril 01-May-2021
Cameron Norrie
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 39-29 | 11-15 | 14-7 | 10-4 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 24-21 | 7-4 | 8-8 | 6-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-25 | 14-12 | 18-7 | 1-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 49-26 | 26-11 | 11-5 | 6-7 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-25 | 25-11 | 16-5 | 9-7 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 11, Norrie got to the 2nd round after beating Luca Nardi 6-4 6-4.
In the 1st round, The Brit had a good straight sets win against Nardi (6-4 6-4). During the match, Norrie scored 65 points vs Nardi’s 54. Norrie was extremely aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Regarding the service games, Norrie recorded 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Cameron Norrie was pretty effective on serve to win 87% (26/30) of his 1st serve and 64% (16/25) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Cameron broke Nardi twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).
Norrie has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (283-165). 5-3 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Norrie has an overall 45-30 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in in Delray Beach where he overcame Reilly Opelka in the final 7-6(1) 7-6(4).
The Brit has a composed 20-11 win-loss record in 2022, 5-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Marin Cilic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 29-20 | 3-6 | 11-9 | 6-3 | 9-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 9-11 | 8-6 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 1-1 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-21 | 16-10 | 9-5 | 4-5 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 6-9 | 5-5 | 13-7 | 9-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 23, Marin got to the 2nd round after defeating Matteo Arnaldi 6-1 6-4.
In the 1st round, Marin had a good straight sets win against Arnaldi (6-1 6-4). During the match Cilic scored 62 points vs Arnaldi’s 42. Marin was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.
About the serving games, Cilic scored 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Marin Cilic was very effective on serve to win 86% (24/28) of his 1st serve and 65% (13/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Croatian broke Arnaldi 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
The Croatian’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Adelaide.
The Croatian has an aggregate 12-10 win-loss record in 2022, 3-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2018. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Norrie | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 17 |
| Pts | 65-54 | 62-42 |
| Total Points | 119 | 104 |
| Winners | 26 | 24 |
| %Winners | 40% | 39% |
Both Norrie and Cilic played 1 match. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Norrie and Cilic have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Norrie played 3 games more than Cilic. Norrie scored 26 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Marin scored 24 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Norrie | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 5 |
| 1st in | 30/55 | 28/48 |
| %1st in | 55% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 26/30 | 24/28 |
| %1st pts | 87% | 86% |
| 2nd pts | 16/25 | 13/20 |
| %2nd pts | 64% | 65% |
Norrie bagged 3 aces . Cilic managed to score 5 aces . Norrie won 87% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Cilic won 86% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 65% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Norrie | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 3 |
| Converted | 2/7 | 3/7 |
| % Converted | 29% | 43% |
| Conceded | 4 | 1 |
| Saved | 4 | 1 |
| % Saved | 100% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
Norrie broke his opponent twice with a 29% conversion rate. Cameron pretty solid on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 4 break points. Cilic broke his opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. Cilic was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 1 break points.
| Norrie | |||
| R1 Nardi | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 65-54 | 65-54 | |
| Total points | 119 | 119 | |
| Winners | 26 | 26 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 30/55 | 30/55 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 26/30 | 26/30 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 87% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/25 | 16/25 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/7 | 2/7 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Cilic | |||
| R1 Arnaldi | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 62-42 | 62-42 | |
| Total points | 104 | 104 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 28/48 | 28/48 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 24/28 | 24/28 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 86% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/20 | 13/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 65% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/7 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Tennis Scores in Rome
- Cristian GarinGarin – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (4-6 7-62 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili (6-4 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Filip KrajinovicKrajinovic – Andrey RublevRublev (6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Casper RuudRuud – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-74 6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Aslan KaratsevKaratsev (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Rafael NadalNadal – John IsnerIsner (7-1) – H2H and prediction
- Fabio FogniniFognini – Jannik SinnerSinner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marin CilicCilic – Cameron NorrieNorrie (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- David GoffinGoffin – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (1-4) – H2H and prediction
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (3-4) – H2H and prediction
- Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman – Marcos GironGiron (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Laslo DjereDjere – Stan WawrinkaWawrinka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Tommy PaulPaul (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-0) – H2H and prediction