Marta Kostyuk and Madison Brengle will play each other in the 1st round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 11:00 am on COURT 3. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Marta Kostyuk who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Marta Kostyuk is the pick to win this match.
Marta Kostyuk -> 1.38
Madison Brengle -> 3.15

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Prediction and head to head Marta Kostyuk vs. Madison Brengle

This will be the 2nd time that Marta Kostyuk and Madison Brengle square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Kostyuk (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.

The last time that they squared off, Kostyuk won 4-6 7-5 6-3 in the 1st round in Birmingham back in 2021.

Highlights Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Brengle – Birmingham 15-June-2021

Marta Kostyuk

Marta Kostyuk

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
26
High
16
LLWWWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 28-20 19-13 7-4 2-0 0-3 0-0
2024 34-22 24-14 8-5 0-0 2-3 0-0
2023 26-22 22-16 2-4 0-0 2-2 0-0
2022 28-20 18-11 3-4 4-3 3-2 0-0
2021 25-17 8-9 10-4 3-1 4-3 0-0

Ranked no. 59, Kostyuk got to the 1st round after beating Federica Di Sarra 7-64 4-0 ret. and Cristina Bucsa 6-1 5-7 6-3.

In the qualifications, Marta defeated Bucsa (6-1 5-7 6-3). During the match, Kostyuk scored 101 points vs Bucsa’s 82. Marta was extremely aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Regarding the service games, Kostyuk recorded 5 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Marta Kostyuk lost the serve 5 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Kostyuk put 67% of her first serves in, winning 66% (37/56) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (12/27) on the 2nd serve. Kostyuk broke Bucsa 8 times after converting 57% of her break points (8/14).

Kostyuk has a solid win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 66% of her matches (143-74). 3-1 on clay in 2022. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Kostyuk has an aggregate62-25 match record in the last 7 years on clay.

The Ukrainian has a composed 13-8 win-loss record in 2022, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Rome
Kostyuk's Record

Madison Brengle

Madison Brengle

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
452
High
35
LWLWWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 26-15 16-9 10-6 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 26-26 16-15 4-3 3-3 3-5 0-0
2022 38-26 30-14 5-6 1-1 2-5 0-0
2021 36-25 18-13 8-7 7-1 3-4 0-0

Ranked no. 61, Madison got to the 1st round after beating Paula Ormaechea 6-1 6-1.

Brengle has a compiled 12-11 win-loss record in 2022, 3-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2015. See her history.

Rome
Brengle's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

M.Kostyuk
M.Brengle
3h:29
3h:29
Time on court​
2h:50
2h:50
1h:57
1h:57
Last match​
1h:51
1h:51
2
2
Match played
2
2
45
45
Games Played​
39
39
6
6
Set played​​
5
5
171
171
Total points​
143
143
85.5
85.5
Avg point​
71.5
71.5
54
54
Winners
65
65
27
27
Avg Winners​
32.5
32.5
32%
32%
Ratio winners
45%
45%
-- Serve --
7
7
Aces
0
0
3.5
3.5
Avg Aces
0
0
7
7
Double Faults
3
3
3.5
3.5
Avg Double Faults
1.5
1.5
54/90
54/90
1st won total​
65/101
65/101
60%
60%
1st won %
64%
64%
24/51
24/51
2nd won total​
15/30
15/30
47%
47%
2nd won %
50%
50%
-- Break Points --
15/26
15/26
BP won
9/12
9/12
7.5/13
7.5/13
Avg BP won
4.5/6
4.5/6
!
58%
58%
Won
!
75%
75%
16
16
Conceded
13
13
8
8
Avg Conceded
6.5
6.5
10
10
Broken
5
5
!
5
5
Avg Broken
2.5
2.5
6
6
Saved
8
8

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Kostyuk Brengle
Match played 2 1
Tot Set 6 2
Tot Games 45 14
Pts 171-141 56-27
Total Points 312 83
Winners 54 23
%Winners 32% 41%

Kostyuk played 2 matches while Brengle competed in 1 match. At the moment, Marta Kostyuk surrendered 1 set while Madison Brengle hasn’t conceded a set so far. Kostyuk has played 4 sets more than Brengle (6 vs 2). Therefore, Kostyuk played 31 games more than Brengle. The Ukrainian scored 54 winners (32% of the total points). On the other side, Madison managed to score 23 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve Kostyuk Brengle
Aces 7 0
Avg per match 3.5 0
1st in 90/141 30/39
%1st in 64% 77%
1st pts 54/90 23/30
%1st pts 60% 77%
2nd pts 24/51 7/9
%2nd pts 47% 78%

Kostyuk scored 7 aces (3.5 per match). Brengle didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Kostyuk won 60% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Brengle won 77% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 78% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Kostyuk Brengle
Won 15 5
Converted 15/26 5/6
% Converted 58% 83%
Conceded 16 0
Saved 6 0
% Saved 38% 0%
Times Broken 10 0

Kostyuk broke her opponents 15 times with a 58% conversion rate. The Ukrainian surrendered her serve 10 times and she saved 38% of the break points that she conceded. Brengle broke her opponent 5 times with a 83% conversion rate. The American was rock solid on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.

Kostyuk
Q1
Di Sarra
Q3
Bucsa
Total
Score 7-64 4-0 ret. 6-1 5-7 6-3
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 17 28 45
pts 70-59 101-82 171-141
Total points 129 183 312
Winners 17 37 54
%Winners 24% 37% 32%
SERVE
Aces 2 5 7
Double Faults 3 4 7
1st in 34/58 56/83 90/141
% 1st in 59% 67% 64%
1st pts 17/34 37/56 54/90
% 1st pts 50% 66% 60%
2nd pts 12/24 12/27 24/51
% 2nd pts 50% 44% 47%
Breaks
Won 7 8 15
Converted 7/12 8/14 15/26
Converted % 58% 57% 58%
Conceded 8 8 16
Saved 3/8 3/8 6
Saved % 38% 38% 38%
Times Broken 5 5 10
Brengle
Q1
Ormaechea
Q3
Avanesyan
Total
Score 6-1 6-1 2-6 6-3 6-2
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 14 25 39
pts 56-27 56-27
Total points 83 0 83
Winners 23 23
%Winners 41% 0% 41%
SERVE
Aces 0 0 0
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 30/39 / 30/39
% 1st in 77% 0% 77%
1st pts 23/30 / 23/30
% 1st pts 77% 0% 77%
2nd pts 7/9 / 7/9
% 2nd pts 78% 0% 78%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/6 / 5/6
Converted % 83% 0% 83%
Conceded 0 0
Saved 0/0 0/ 0
Saved % 0%
Times Broken 0 0

Tennis Scores in Rome

Upcoming matches in the draw