Denis Shapovalov and Nikoloz Basilashvili will square off in the 2nd round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 6:30 pm on COURT 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Denis Shapovalov who should win in 2 sets.
Denis Shapovalov -> 1.444
Nikoloz Basilashvili -> 2.86
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Prediction and head to head Denis Shapovalov vs. Nikoloz Basilashvili
This will be the 3rd time that Denis Shapovalov and Nikoloz Basilashvili fight against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Basilashvili (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Basilashvili won 6-2 6-2 in the 1st round in Shanghai back in 2018.
Denis Shapovalov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26-22 | 14-11 | 2-5 | 9-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 33-25 | 9-10 | 5-6 | 16-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 13-13 | 6-6 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-26 | 22-12 | 4-4 | 7-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-23 | 11-11 | 7-6 | 4-3 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 16, Shapovalov got to the 2nd round after beating Lorenzo Sonego 7-65 3-6 6-3.
In the 1st round, The Canadian defeated Sonego (7-65 3-6 6-3). During the match, Shapovalov scored 110 points vs Sonego’s 105. Denis was pretty aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Regarding the service games, Shapovalov blasted 3 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Overall, Denis Shapovalov was exceptionally effective on serve to win 78% (43/55) of his 1st serve and 52% (25/48) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Denis broke Sonego twice after converting 22% of his break points (2/9).
Shapovalov has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 62% of his matches (243-151). 2-1 on clay in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Shapovalov has a compiled65-33 match record in the last 8 years on clay.
Shapovalov’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Dubai.
The Canadian has a composed 14-8 win-loss record in 2022, 2-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Nikoloz Basilashvili
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41-29 | 18-13 | 9-10 | 9-3 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 51-32 | 11-8 | 27-15 | 13-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 4-19 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 16-31 | 3-11 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-27 | 18-11 | 8-8 | 3-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 25, the Georgean got to the 2nd round after defeating Daniel Evans 7-62 6-2.
In the 1st round, The Georgean had a good straight sets win against Evans (7-62 6-2). During the match Basilashvili scored 76 points vs Evans’s 60. The Georgean was pretty aggressive to blast 22 winners.
About the serving games, Basilashvili bagged 2 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Nikoloz Basilashvili lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Basilashvili put 48% of his first serves in, winning 63% (22/35) of the points behind his 1st serve and 63% (24/38) on the 2nd serve. The Georgean broke Evans 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).
Nikoloz’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Doha.
Nikoloz has a compiled 6-14 win-loss record in 2022, 3-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2019. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Shapovalov | Basilashvili |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 31 | 21 |
| Pts | 110-105 | 76-60 |
| Total Points | 215 | 136 |
| Winners | 43 | 22 |
| %Winners | 39% | 29% |
Both Shapovalov and Basilashvili played 1 match. At the moment, Denis Shapovalov lost 1 set while Nikoloz Basilashvili hasn’t lost a set so far. Shapovalov has played 1 set more than Basilashvili (3 vs 2). Therefore, Shapovalov played 10 games more than Basilashvili. The Canadian scored 43 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Georgean blasted 22 winners (29%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Shapovalov | Basilashvili |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 2 |
| 1st in | 55/103 | 35/73 |
| %1st in | 53% | 48% |
| 1st pts | 43/55 | 22/35 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 63% |
| 2nd pts | 25/48 | 24/38 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 63% |
Shapovalov struck 3 aces . Basilashvili scored 2 aces . Shapovalov won 78% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Basilashvili won 63% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Shapovalov | Basilashvili |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 4 |
| Converted | 2/9 | 4/11 |
| % Converted | 22% | 36% |
| Conceded | 5 | 4 |
| Saved | 3 | 2 |
| % Saved | 60% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
The Canadian broke his opponent twice with a 22% conversion rate. Shapovalov dropped his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Basilashvili broke his opponent 4 times with a 36% conversion rate. The Georgean conceded his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Shapovalov | |||
| R1 Sonego | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 3-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 31 | |
| pts | 110-105 | 110-105 | |
| Total points | 215 | 215 | |
| Winners | 43 | 43 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 55/103 | 55/103 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 43/55 | 43/55 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 25/48 | 25/48 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/9 | 2/9 | |
| Converted % | 22% | 22% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Basilashvili | |||
| R1 Evans | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-62 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 | |
| pts | 76-60 | 76-60 | |
| Total points | 136 | 136 | |
| Winners | 22 | 22 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 29% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 35/73 | 35/73 | |
| % 1st in | 48% | 48% | |
| 1st pts | 22/35 | 22/35 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 24/38 | 24/38 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 4/11 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Tennis Scores in Rome
- Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (3-6 7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Laslo DjereDjere – Borna CoricCoric (6-2 6-73 6-2) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Ilya IvashkaIvashka (6-2 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Dusan LajovicLajovic (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (7-65 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Marcos GironGiron – Alexander BublikBublik (3-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Federico DelbonisDelbonis (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Fabio FogniniFognini – Dominic ThiemThiem (6-4 7-65) – See score progression
- Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili – Daniel EvansEvans (7-62 6-2) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Filip KrajinovicKrajinovic – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (7-67 7-64) – See score progression
- Marin CilicCilic – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Cristian GarinGarin – Francesco PassaroPassaro (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Lloyd HarrisHarris (3-6 6-3 7-67) – See score progression
- Fabio FogniniFognini – Dominic ThiemThiem (6-4 7-6(5)) – See score progression
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Federico DelbonisDelbonis (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Dusan LajovicLajovic (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Aslan KaratsevKaratsev (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (3-4) – H2H and prediction
- Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Laslo DjereDjere – Stan WawrinkaWawrinka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Casper RuudRuud (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – David GoffinGoffin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero – Jannik SinnerSinner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Filip KrajinovicKrajinovic (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Sebastian BaezBaez (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Tommy PaulPaul (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – John IsnerIsner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Christian GarinGarin (0-0) – H2H and prediction