
Sebastian Baez and Tallon Griekspoor will play each other in the 1st round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 11:00 am on COURT 2. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sebastian Baez who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Sebastian Baez is the pick to win this match.
Sebastian Baez -> 1.333
Tallon Griekspoor -> 3.42
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Sebastian Baez vs. Tallon Griekspoor
This will be the 2nd time that Sebastian Baez and Tallon Griekspoor clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Griekspoor (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Griekspoor won 7-6(6) 6-3 in the final in the Bratislava Challenger back in 2021.
Sebastian Baez
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 20-27 | 3-9 | 17-14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-28 | 5-9 | 26-11 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-27 | 9-7 | 22-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-32 | 6-12 | 27-12 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-16 | 2-1 | 52-12 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 37 (career-high), Baez got to the 1st round after beating Soon-Woo Kwon 6-4 6-4 and Emil Ruusuvuori 6-73 6-4 7-5.
In the qualifications against Ruusuvuori, Sebastian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-73 6-4 7-5). During the match, Baez scored 113 points vs Ruusuvuori’s 102. The Argentine was exceptionally aggressive to blast 46 winners.
Talking about the service games, Baez scored just 1 ace during the match and he committed only 1 double fault. Sebastian Baez lost the serve 5 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Baez put 75% of his first serves in, winning 55% (46/83) of the points behind his 1st serve and 68% (19/28) on the 2nd serve. Sebastian broke Ruusuvuori 7 times after converting 58% of his break points (7/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sebastian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has surrendered 1 set in this tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Baez has a fantastic match record in the last 7 years having won 70% of his matches (176-75). 19-6 on clay in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Baez has an overall156-59 match record in the last 7 years on clay.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title in in Estoril where he overcame Frances Tiafoe in the final 6-3 6-2.
The Argentine has an aggregate 24-13 win-loss record in 2022, 19-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
The Argentine has never competed in this tournament before.
Tallon Griekspoor
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 32-24 | 10-11 | 13-8 | 5-4 | 4-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 33-30 | 10-11 | 8-8 | 11-8 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-24 | 14-10 | 3-5 | 12-7 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 28-27 | 5-6 | 12-6 | 4-11 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 59-17 | 11-3 | 36-10 | 9-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 67, the Dutch got to the 1st round after defeating Adrian Mannarino 6-4 6-4 and Marcos Giron 7-67 6-2.
In the qualifications, Griekspoor had a good straight sets win against Giron (7-67 6-2). During the match Griekspoor scored 91 points vs Giron’s 76. The Dutch was quite aggressive to blast 34 winners.
About the serving games, Griekspoor recorded 6 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Tallon Griekspoor lost the serve twice and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Griekspoor put 62% of his first serves in, winning 67% (34/51) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (16/31) on the 2nd serve. The Dutch broke Giron 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Dutch started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Tallon has an overall 7-8 win-loss record in 2022, 3-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Baez | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 55 | 41 |
| Pts | 176-159 | 160-132 |
| Total Points | 335 | 292 |
| Winners | 74 | 58 |
| %Winners | 42% | 36% |
Both Baez and Griekspoor played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Sebastian Baez surrendered 1 set while Tallon Griekspoor hasn’t lost a set so far. Baez has played 1 set more than Griekspoor (5 vs 4). Therefore, Baez played 14 games more than Griekspoor. Sebastian scored 74 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Griekspoor scored 58 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Baez | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 12 |
| Avg per match | 0.5 | 6 |
| 1st in | 124/173 | 89/146 |
| %1st in | 72% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 74/124 | 58/89 |
| %1st pts | 60% | 65% |
| 2nd pts | 33/49 | 30/57 |
| %2nd pts | 67% | 53% |
Baez recorded 1 ace (0.5 per match). Griekspoor also recorded 12 aces (6 per match). Baez won 60% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Griekspoor won 65% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Baez | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 9 |
| Converted | 10/22 | 9/17 |
| % Converted | 45% | 53% |
| Conceded | 16 | 15 |
| Saved | 10 | 10 |
| % Saved | 63% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 5 |
The Argentine broke his opponents 10 times with a 45% conversion rate. Sebastian dropped his serve 6 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. The Dutch broke his opponents 9 times with a 53% conversion rate. Tallon conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Baez | ||||
| Q1 Kwon |
Q3 Ruusuvuori |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-73 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 35 | 55 | |
| pts | 63-57 | 113-102 | 176-159 | |
| Total points | 120 | 215 | 335 | |
| Winners | 28 | 46 | 74 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 41% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 41/62 | 83/111 | 124/173 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 75% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 28/41 | 46/83 | 74/124 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 55% | 60% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/21 | 19/28 | 33/49 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 68% | 67% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 7 | 10 | |
| Converted | 3/10 | 7/12 | 10/22 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 58% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 13 | 16 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 8/13 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 62% | 65% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 5 | 6 | |
| Griekspoor | ||||
| Q1 Mannarino |
Q3 Giron |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 7-67 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 21 | 41 | |
| pts | 69-56 | 91-76 | 160-132 | |
| Total points | 125 | 167 | 292 | |
| Winners | 24 | 34 | 58 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 37% | 36% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 38/64 | 51/82 | 89/146 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 62% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 24/38 | 34/51 | 58/89 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 67% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/26 | 16/31 | 30/57 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 52% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 4/10 | 9/17 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 40% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 10 | 15 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | 8/10 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 80% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLLWLLLW
LWWLLWWLLL Tennis Scores in Rome
- Laslo DjereDjere – Borna CoricCoric (6-2 6-73 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (3-6 7-5 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili – Daniel EvansEvans (7-62 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marcos GironGiron – Alexander BublikBublik (3-6 6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (7-65 3-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Ilya IvashkaIvashka (6-2 4-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Lloyd HarrisHarris (3-6 6-3 7-67) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Cristian GarinGarin – Francesco PassaroPassaro (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marin CilicCilic – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Filip KrajinovicKrajinovic – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (7-67 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Fabio FogniniFognini – Dominic ThiemThiem (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Aslan KaratsevKaratsev (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas – Tommy PaulPaul (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Dusan LajovicLajovic – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Federico DelbonisDelbonis (3-5) – H2H and prediction
- Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Laslo DjereDjere – Stan WawrinkaWawrinka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Casper RuudRuud (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – David GoffinGoffin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero – Jannik SinnerSinner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Filip KrajinovicKrajinovic (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Sebastian BaezBaez (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – John IsnerIsner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Christian GarinGarin (0-0) – H2H and prediction








