Alexander Zverev and Carlos Alcaraz will play each other in the final of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 6:30 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.5
Alexander Zverev -> 2.74

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Prediction and head to head Alexander Zverev vs. Carlos Alcaraz

This will be the 3^rd time that Alexander Zverev and Carlos Alcaraz face off. The head to head is 2-0 for Zverev (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.

The last time that they played, Zverev won 6-3 6-3 in the semifinal in Vienna back in 2021.

Highlights Alexander Zverev vs Carlos Alcaraz – Vienna 30-October-2021

Alexander Zverev

Ranked no. 3 (career-high), Zverev reached the final after beating Marin Cilic 4-6 6-4 6-4, Lorenzo Musetti 6-3 1-0 ret., Felix Auger Aliassime 6-3 7-5 and Stefanos Tsitsipas 6-4 3-6 6-2.

In the semifinal, Zverev defeated Tsitsipas (6-4 3-6 6-2). During the match, Zverev scored 76 points vs Tsitsipas’s 67. Zverev was extremely aggressive to blast 40 winners.

Talking about the service games, Zverev blasted 4 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Alexander Zverev was pretty efficient on serve to win 83% (40/48) of his 1st serve and 56% (10/18) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Alexander broke Tsitsipas 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The German has dropped 2 set in this event to conquer 54% of the points he played.

Zverev has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 67% of his matches (398-194). 9-2 on clay in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Zverev has a compiled 137-63 record in the last years on clay.

Zverev’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Montpellier.

Alexander has a compiled 21-7 win-loss record in 2022, 9-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Carlos Alcaraz

Ranked no. 9 (career-high), Alcaraz got to the final after beating Nikoloz Basilashvili 6-3 7-5, Cameron Norrie 6-4 6-7⁴ 6-3, Rafael Nadal 6-2 1-6 6-3 and Novak Djokovic 6-7⁵ 7-5 7-6⁵.

In the semifinal against Djokovic, Alcaraz recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-7⁵ 7-5 7-6⁵). During the match Alcaraz scored 134 points vs Djokovic’s 131. Alcaraz was pretty aggressive to blast 67 winners.

About the serving games, Alcaraz blasted 4 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Carlos Alcaraz was quite efficient on serve to win 74% (67/91) of his 1st serve and 51% (23/45) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Alcaraz broke Djokovic twice after converting 20% of his break points (2/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Spaniard has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in in Rio de Janeiro where he overcame Diego Sebastian Schwartzman in the final 6-4 6-2 and in in Miami where he overcame Casper Ruud in the final 7-5 6-4 and in in Barcelona where he overcame Pablo Carreno-Busta in the final 6-3 6-2.

Carlos has an aggregate 27-3 win-loss record in 2022, 15-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2021. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Zverev	Alcaraz
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	11	11
Tot Games	88	115
Pts	285-236	377-352
Total Points	521	729
Winners	141	168
%Winners	49%	45%

Both Zverev and Alcaraz played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alexander Zverev surrendered 2 sets, while Carlos Alcaraz surrendered 3 sets. Talking about their workload, Zverev and Alcaraz have played the same amount of sets 11. However, Zverev played 27 games less than Alcaraz. Zverev scored 141 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard fired 168 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Zverev	Alcaraz
Aces	23	19
Avg per match	5.8	4.8
1st in	178/246	238/365
%1st in	72%	65%
1st pts	141/178	168/238
%1st pts	79%	71%
2nd pts	37/68	64/127
%2nd pts	54%	50%

Zverev fired 23 aces (5.8 per match). Alcaraz scored 19 aces (4.8 per match). Zverev won 79% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Alcaraz won 71% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Zverev	Alcaraz
Won	12	17
Converted	12/26	17/31
% Converted	46%	55%
Conceded	14	29
Saved	10	20
% Saved	71%	69%
Times Broken	4	9

The German broke his opponents 12 times with a 46% conversion rate. Zverev conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. Alcaraz broke his opponents 17 times with a 55% conversion rate. Alcaraz conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded.

Zverev
	R2 Cilic	R3 Musetti	1/4 Auger-Aliassime	1/2 Tsitsipas	Total
Score	4-6 6-4 6-4	6-3 1-0 ret.	6-3 7-5	6-4 3-6 6-2
Tot Set	3	2	2	3	10
Tot Games	30	10	21	27	88
pts	94-83	31-19	84-67	76-67	285-236
Total points	177	50	151	143	521
Winners	53	16	32	40	141
%Winners	56%	52%	38%	53%	49%
SERVE
Aces	11	7	1	4	23
Double Faults	4	0	9	4	17
1st in	69/89	18/23	43/68	48/66	178/246
% 1st in	78%	78%	63%	73%	72%
1st pts	53/69	16/18	32/43	40/48	141/178
% 1st pts	77%	89%	74%	83%	79%
2nd pts	9/20	4/5	14/25	10/18	37/68
% 2nd pts	45%	80%	56%	56%	54%
Breaks
Won	3	2	4	3	12
Converted	3/9	2/2	4/10	3/5	12/26
Converted %	33%	100%	40%	60%	46%
Conceded	8	0	4	2	14
Saved	6/8	0/0	3/4	1/2	10
Saved %	75%	–	75%	50%	50%
Times Broken	2	0	1	1	4

Alcaraz
	R2 Basilashvili	R3 Norrie	1/4 Nadal	1/2 Djokovic	Total
Score	6-3 7-5	6-4 6-74 6-3	6-2 1-6 6-3	6-75 7-5 7-65
Tot Set	2	3	3	3	11
Tot Games	21	32	24	38	115
pts	66-48	104-102	73-71	134-131	377-352
Total points	114	206	144	265	729
Winners	23	52	26	67	168
%Winners	35%	50%	36%	50%	45%
SERVE
Aces	4	7	4	4	19
Double Faults	1	4	3	4	12
1st in	35/54	73/105	39/70	91/136	238/365
% 1st in	65%	70%	56%	67%	65%
1st pts	23/35	52/73	26/39	67/91	168/238
% 1st pts	66%	71%	67%	74%	71%
2nd pts	11/19	14/32	16/31	23/45	64/127
% 2nd pts	58%	44%	52%	51%	50%
Breaks
Won	6	5	4	2	17
Converted	6/9	5/7	4/5	2/10	17/31
Converted %	67%	71%	80%	20%	55%
Conceded	5	9	9	6	29
Saved	2/5	7/9	6/9	5/6	20
Saved %	40%	78%	67%	83%	67%
Times Broken	3	2	3	1	9

Upcoming matches in the draw

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