Pavel Kotov and Gregoire Barrere will square off in the semifinal of the Aix En Provence Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 4:00 pm on COURT CENTRAL CEPAC. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Pavel Kotov who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Pavel Kotov is the pick to win this match.
Pavel Kotov -> 1.63
Gregoire Barrere -> 2.28
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Prediction and head to head Pavel Kotov vs. Gregoire Barrere
There is no head to head record between Pavel Kotov and Gregoire Barrere since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Pavel Kotov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11-22 | 9-14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 20-25 | 9-11 | 11-9 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-32 | 13-14 | 20-12 | 9-2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-20 | 5-3 | 20-9 | 12-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-25 | 5-5 | 7-11 | 17-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 163, Pavel reached the semifinal after defeating Constant Lestienne 3-6 6-4 6-1, Pablo Cuevas 4-6 6-3 6-2 and Hugo Grenier 7-5 7-66.
In the quarter, Kotov had a good straight sets win against Grenier (7-5 7-66). During the match, Kotov scored 77 points vs Grenier’s 69. The Russian was quite aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about the service games, Kotov managed to score 4 aces and he was very steady in conceding no double faults. Pavel Kotov lost the serve 3 times. Furthermore, Kotov put 73% of his first serves in, winning 63% (33/52) of the points behind his 1st serve and 74% (14/19) on the 2nd serve. Kotov broke Grenier 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian has conceded 2 set in this event to conquer 53% of the points he played.
Kotov has a solid win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 62% of his matches (186-115). 7-2 on clay in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Kotov has an overall77-52 record in the last 7 years on clay.
Kotov’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in the Forli 3 Challenger.
Pavel has an overall 16-7 win-loss record in 2022, 7-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Aix En Provence Challenger
Pavel has never competed in this tournament before.
Gregoire Barrere
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10-17 | 4-3 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-32 | 1-4 | 16-12 | 11-14 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 35-31 | 8-12 | 5-7 | 17-8 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 43-29 | 10-7 | 8-10 | 25-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-23 | 7-4 | 3-6 | 11-10 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 247, Gregoire got to the semifinal after beating Jo-Wilfried Tsonga 6-3 4-6 7-5, Juan Pablo Varillas 6-4 4-6 6-4 and Quentin Halys 6-3 7-66.
In the quarter, Gregoire had a good straight sets win against Halys (6-3 7-66). During the match Barrere scored 85 points vs Halys’s 75. Barrere was extremely aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about serving, Barrere scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Gregoire Barrere lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Barrere put 78% of his first serves in, winning 64% (37/58) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (9/16) on the 2nd serve. Gregoire broke Halys 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Gregoire has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
Barrere’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in the Quimper Challenger.
Gregoire has an overall 12-11 win-loss record in 2022, 3-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kotov | Barrere |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 78 | 83 |
| Pts | 254-229 | 270-251 |
| Total Points | 483 | 521 |
| Winners | 103 | 110 |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% |
Both Kotov and Barrere played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Pavel Kotov conceded 2 sets, while Gregoire Barrere lost 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Kotov and Barrere have played the same amount of sets 8. However, Kotov played 5 games less than Barrere. Pavel scored 103 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Gregoire managed to score 110 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kotov | Barrere |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 12 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 4 |
| 1st in | 166/242 | 161/264 |
| %1st in | 69% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 103/166 | 110/161 |
| %1st pts | 62% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 46/76 | 58/103 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 56% |
Kotov recorded 9 aces (3 per match). Barrere blasted 12 aces (4 per match). Kotov won 62% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Barrere won 68% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kotov | Barrere |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 15 | 13 |
| Converted | 15/31 | 13/24 |
| % Converted | 48% | 54% |
| Conceded | 18 | 26 |
| Saved | 8 | 18 |
| % Saved | 44% | 69% |
| Times Broken | 10 | 8 |
Pavel broke his opponents 15 times with a 48% conversion rate. The Russian lost his serve 10 times and he saved 44% of the break points that he conceded. The French player broke his opponents 13 times with a 54% conversion rate. Gregoire conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded.
| Kotov | |||||
| R1 Lestienne |
R2 Cuevas |
1/4 Grenier |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-4 6-1 | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | 7-5 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 27 | 25 | 78 | |
| pts | 88-82 | 89-78 | 77-69 | 254-229 | |
| Total points | 170 | 167 | 146 | 483 | |
| Winners | 34 | 36 | 33 | 103 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 40% | 43% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 57/90 | 57/81 | 52/71 | 166/242 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 70% | 73% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 34/57 | 36/57 | 33/52 | 103/166 | |
| % 1st pts | 60% | 63% | 63% | 62% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/33 | 12/24 | 14/19 | 46/76 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 50% | 74% | 61% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 4 | 15 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 6/12 | 4/8 | 15/31 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 50% | 50% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 8 | 3 | 18 | |
| Saved | 4/7 | 4/8 | 0/3 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 57% | 50% | 0% | 36% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | |
| Barrere | |||||
| R1 Tsonga |
R2 Pablo Patino-Samudio |
1/4 Halys |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 4-6 7-5 | 6-4 4-6 6-4 | 6-3 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 30 | 22 | 83 | |
| pts | 87-83 | 98-93 | 85-75 | 270-251 | |
| Total points | 170 | 191 | 160 | 521 | |
| Winners | 35 | 38 | 37 | 110 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 39% | 44% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 6 | 1 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 46/90 | 57/100 | 58/74 | 161/264 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 57% | 78% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 35/46 | 38/57 | 37/58 | 110/161 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 67% | 64% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 24/44 | 25/43 | 9/16 | 58/103 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 58% | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 4/7 | 4/11 | 13/24 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 57% | 36% | 54% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 11 | 7 | 26 | |
| Saved | 5/8 | 8/11 | 5/7 | 18 | |
| Saved % | 63% | 73% | 71% | 69% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWWLLLL
LLLLWLLLWW Tennis Scores in Aix En Provence Challenger
- Nicolas Barrientos/Miguel-Angel Reyes-VarelaBarrientos/Miguel-Angel Reyes-Varela – Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg/Luca Van AsscheGueymard Wayenburg/Luca Van Assche (6-0 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Gregoire BarrereBarrere – Pavel KotovKotov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Benjamin BonziBonzi – Nicolas JarryJarry (0-0) – H2H and prediction
