Alexander Zverev and Stefanos Tsitsipas will face off in the semifinal of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 11th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 9:00 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Stefanos Tsitsipas who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Stefanos Tsitsipas is the pick to win this match.
Stefanos Tsitsipas -> 1.57
Alexander Zverev -> 2.54
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Prediction and head to head Alexander Zverev vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas
This will be the 11th time that Alexander Zverev and Stefanos Tsitsipas face off. The head to head is 7-3 for Tsitsipas (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on clay.
The last time that they played, Tsitsipas won 6-4 6-2 in the semifinal in Monte carlo back in April 2022.
Highlights Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Alexander Zverev – Monte carlo 16-April-2022
Alexander Zverev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 71-21 | 31-10 | 23-6 | 11-3 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-27 | 22-13 | 20-7 | 8-5 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-10 | 9-4 | 17-5 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 59-15 | 28-6 | 14-4 | 13-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3 (career-high), Zverev reached the semifinal after beating Marin Cilic 4-6 6-4 6-4, Lorenzo Musetti 6-3 1-0 ret. and Felix Auger Aliassime 6-3 7-5.
In the quarter, Alexander had a good straight sets win against Auger-Aliassime (6-3 7-5). During the match, Zverev scored 84 points vs Auger-Aliassime’s 67. The German was extremely aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Regarding the service games, Zverev scored just 1 ace during the match and he committed only 9 double faults. Overall, Alexander Zverev was very efficient on serve to win 74% (32/43) of his 1st serve and 56% (14/25) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Alexander broke Auger-Aliassime 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alexander has lost 1 set in this competition to win 54% of the points he played.
Zverev has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 67% of his matches (397-194). 8-2 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Zverev has an overall 136-63 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Zverev’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Montpellier.
Zverev has an aggregate 20-7 win-loss record in 2022, 8-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Stefanos Tsitsipas
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-22 | 13-11 | 22-6 | 8-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-24 | 19-9 | 17-5 | 11-6 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 61-24 | 18-8 | 17-4 | 18-9 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 55-19 | 26-8 | 23-5 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5, the Greek got to the semifinal after beating Lucas Pouille 6-3 6-4, Grigor Dimitrov 6-3 6-4 and Andrey Rublev 6-3 2-6 6-4.
In the quarter, Tsitsipas defeated Rublev (6-3 2-6 6-4). During the match Tsitsipas scored 85 points vs Rublev’s 78. The Greek was exceptionally aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Talking about serving, Tsitsipas blasted 10 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Stefanos Tsitsipas was exceptionally effective on serve to win 81% (39/48) of his 1st serve and 52% (14/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Tsitsipas broke Rublev twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Greek has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in in Carlo where he overcame Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the final 6-3 7-6(3).
Tsitsipas has a composed 27-8 win-loss record in 2022, 10-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2019. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Zverev | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 61 | 65 |
| Pts | 209-169 | 201-160 |
| Total Points | 378 | 361 |
| Winners | 101 | 99 |
| %Winners | 48% | 49% |
Both Zverev and Tsitsipas played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alexander Zverev conceded 1 set, while Stefanos Tsitsipas surrendered 1 set. Zverev has played 1 set more than Tsitsipas (8 vs 7). However, it’s interesting to notice that Zverev played 4 games less than Tsitsipas. Alexander scored 101 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Stefanos fired 99 winners (49%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Zverev | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 19 | 27 |
| Avg per match | 6.3 | 9 |
| 1st in | 130/180 | 115/172 |
| %1st in | 72% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 101/130 | 99/115 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 86% |
| 2nd pts | 27/50 | 31/57 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 54% |
Zverev made 19 aces (6.3 per match). Tsitsipas bagged 27 aces (9 per match). Zverev won 78% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Tsitsipas won 86% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Zverev | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 7 |
| Converted | 9/21 | 7/20 |
| % Converted | 43% | 35% |
| Conceded | 12 | 6 |
| Saved | 9 | 3 |
| % Saved | 75% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 |
Alexander broke his opponents 9 times with a 43% conversion rate. The German conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Stefanos broke his opponents 7 times with a 35% conversion rate. Stefanos conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Zverev | |||||
| R2 Cilic |
R3 Musetti |
1/4 Auger-Aliassime |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-4 6-4 | 6-3 1-0 ret. | 6-3 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 10 | 21 | 61 | |
| pts | 94-83 | 31-19 | 84-67 | 209-169 | |
| Total points | 177 | 50 | 151 | 378 | |
| Winners | 53 | 16 | 32 | 101 | |
| %Winners | 56% | 52% | 38% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 11 | 7 | 1 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 0 | 9 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 69/89 | 18/23 | 43/68 | 130/180 | |
| % 1st in | 78% | 78% | 63% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 53/69 | 16/18 | 32/43 | 101/130 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 89% | 74% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/20 | 4/5 | 14/25 | 27/50 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 80% | 56% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 2/2 | 4/10 | 9/21 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 100% | 40% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 0 | 4 | 12 | |
| Saved | 6/8 | 0/0 | 3/4 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 75% | – | 75% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Tsitsipas | |||||
| R2 Pouille |
R3 Dimitrov |
1/4 Rublev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-3 6-4 | 6-3 2-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | 27 | 65 | |
| pts | 54-41 | 62-41 | 85-78 | 201-160 | |
| Total points | 95 | 103 | 163 | 361 | |
| Winners | 31 | 29 | 39 | 99 | |
| %Winners | 57% | 47% | 46% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 7 | 10 | 10 | 27 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 33/48 | 34/49 | 48/75 | 115/172 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 69% | 64% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 31/33 | 29/34 | 39/48 | 99/115 | |
| % 1st pts | 94% | 85% | 81% | 86% | |
| 2nd pts | 5/15 | 12/15 | 14/27 | 31/57 | |
| % 2nd pts | 33% | 80% | 52% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 2/5 | 2/7 | 7/20 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 40% | 29% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0/0 | 3/5 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 0% | – | 60% | 20% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
WW
LW Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Jamie Murray/Michael VenusMurray/Michael Venus – Simone Bolelli/Ivan DodigBolelli/Ivan Dodig (7-65 7-67) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Rafael NadalNadal (6-2 1-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Juan-Sebastian Cabal/Robert FarahCabal/Robert Farah – Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio Zeballos (7-65 6-4) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Andrey RublevRublev (6-3 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Andrey RublevRublev (6-3 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Alexander ZverevZverev (7-3) – H2H and prediction
