Andrey Rublev and Daniel Evans will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 12:00 pm on ARANTXA SANCHEZ STADIUM. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 2 sets.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.36
Daniel Evans -> 3.38
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Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Daniel Evans
This will be the 7th time that Andrey Rublev and Daniel Evans play each other. The head to head is 3-3 for Rublev and Evans (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Rublev won 6-4 7-5 in the 1st round in Dubai back in February 2022.
Highlights Andrey Rublev vs Daniel Evans – Dubai 22-February-2022
Andrey Rublev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 34-25 | 16-13 | 8-6 | 6-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 43-26 | 26-11 | 11-6 | 6-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-26 | 23-12 | 19-5 | 6-7 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-20 | 19-7 | 14-6 | 18-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-23 | 25-10 | 9-5 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8, Rublev reached the 3rd round after beating Jack Draper 2-6 6-4 7-5.
In the 2nd round against Draper, Rublev recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-4 7-5). During the match, Rublev scored 102 points vs Draper’s 94. Rublev was exceptionally aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Regarding the service games, Rublev managed to score 15 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Andrey Rublev lost the serve 4 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Rublev put 60% of his first serves in, winning 77% (41/53) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (16/35) on the 2nd serve. Rublev broke Draper 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).
Rublev has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (352-195). 6-1 on clay in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rublev has an aggregate 87-55 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in in Marseille where he beat Felix Auger Aliassime in the final 7-5 7-6(4) and in in Dubai where he defeated Jiri Vesely in the final 6-3 6-4 and in in Belgrade where he defeated Novak Djokovic in the final 6-2 6-7(4) 6-0.
The Russian has a compiled 24-5 win-loss record in 2022, 6-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Daniel Evans
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22-25 | 8-10 | 6-7 | 1-3 | 7-5 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 18-26 | 8-11 | 3-8 | 4-3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 19-27 | 11-15 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-27 | 19-13 | 4-7 | 6-4 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-24 | 12-11 | 6-6 | 3-4 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 36, Evans got to the 3rd round after beating Federico Delbonis 6-3 6-4 and Roberto Bautista Agut 6-3 5-7 7-62.
In the 2nd round, The Brit defeated Bautista-Agut (6-3 5-7 7-62). During the match Evans scored 113 points vs Bautista-Agut’s 96. Daniel was very aggressive to blast 57 winners.
Talking about serving, Evans recorded 9 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Daniel Evans lost the serve twice and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Evans put 74% of his first serves in, winning 83% (57/69) of the points behind his 1st serve and 38% (9/24) on the 2nd serve. The Brit broke Bautista-Agut 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Evans has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Daniel’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Sydney.
The Brit has a compiled 11-10 win-loss record in 2022, 3-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rublev | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 30 | 53 |
| Pts | 102-94 | 179-148 |
| Total Points | 196 | 327 |
| Winners | 41 | 92 |
| %Winners | 40% | 51% |
Rublev played 1 match while Evans competed in 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Andrey Rublev surrendered 1 set, while Daniel Evans dropped 1 set. Rublev has played 2 set(s) less than Evans (3 vs 5). Therefore, Rublev played 23 games less than Evans. Rublev scored 41 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Daniel managed to score 92 winners (51%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rublev | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 15 | 15 |
| Avg per match | 15 | 7.5 |
| 1st in | 53/88 | 115/154 |
| %1st in | 60% | 75% |
| 1st pts | 41/53 | 92/115 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 16/35 | 15/39 |
| %2nd pts | 46% | 38% |
Rublev managed to score 15 aces . Evans made 15 aces (7.5 per match). Rublev won 77% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Evans won 80% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 38% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rublev | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 6 |
| Converted | 4/12 | 6/12 |
| % Converted | 33% | 50% |
| Conceded | 12 | 10 |
| Saved | 8 | 7 |
| % Saved | 67% | 70% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 3 |
The Russian broke his opponent 4 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Russian surrendered his serve 4 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Brit broke his opponents 6 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Brit conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rublev | |||
| R2 Draper | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 30 | |
| pts | 102-94 | 102-94 | |
| Total points | 196 | 196 | |
| Winners | 41 | 41 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 15 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 53/88 | 53/88 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 41/53 | 41/53 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/35 | 16/35 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 46% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 4/12 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 12 | |
| Saved | 8/12 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Evans | ||||
| R1 Delbonis | R2 Bautista-Agut | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-3 5-7 7-62 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 34 | 53 | |
| pts | 66-52 | 113-96 | 179-148 | |
| Total points | 118 | 209 | 327 | |
| Winners | 35 | 57 | 92 | |
| %Winners | 53% | 50% | 51% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 9 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 46/61 | 69/93 | 115/154 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 74% | 75% | |
| 1st pts | 35/46 | 57/69 | 92/115 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 83% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/15 | 9/24 | 15/39 | |
| % 2nd pts | 40% | 38% | 38% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Converted | 3/3 | 3/9 | 6/12 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 33% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 8 | 10 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 6/8 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 75% | 125% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – John IsnerIsner (6-4 6-75 6-4) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Dusan LajovicLajovic – Casper RuudRuud (7-67 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-4 4-6 7-65) – See score progression
- Rafael NadalNadal – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (6-1 7-64) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (6-0 6-3) – See score progression
- David GoffinGoffin – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Marin CilicCilic (4-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Daniel EvansEvans – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (6-3 5-7 7-62) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Lucas PouillePouille (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Cristian GarinGarin (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Gael MonfilsMonfils (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Jack DraperDraper (2-6 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Andy MurrayMurray – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (6-1 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- David GoffinGoffin – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (6-0 6-3) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Lucas PouillePouille (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Cristian GarinGarin (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Rafael NadalNadal – David GoffinGoffin (4-2) – H2H and prediction
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Andy MurrayMurray (25-11) – H2H and prediction
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Dusan LajovicLajovic (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Daniel EvansEvans (3-3) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Jannik SinnerSinner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-0) – H2H and prediction