Andrey Rublev and Daniel Evans will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 12:00 pm on ARANTXA SANCHEZ STADIUM. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Andrey Rublev is the pick to win this match.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.36
Daniel Evans -> 3.38

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Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Daniel Evans

This will be the 7th time that Andrey Rublev and Daniel Evans play each other. The head to head is 3-3 for Rublev and Evans (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.

The last time that they played each other, Rublev won 6-4 7-5 in the 1st round in Dubai back in February 2022.

Highlights Andrey Rublev vs Daniel Evans – Dubai 22-February-2022

Andrey Rublev

Andrey Rublev

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
16
High
5
LWWLLLLLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 34-25 16-13 8-6 6-4 4-2 0-0
2024 43-26 26-11 11-6 6-7 0-2 0-0
2023 56-26 23-12 19-5 6-7 8-2 0-0
2022 51-20 19-7 14-6 18-6 0-1 0-0
2021 53-23 25-10 9-5 12-6 7-2 0-0

Ranked no. 8, Rublev reached the 3rd round after beating Jack Draper 2-6 6-4 7-5.

In the 2nd round against Draper, Rublev recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-4 7-5). During the match, Rublev scored 102 points vs Draper’s 94. Rublev was exceptionally aggressive to blast 41 winners.

Regarding the service games, Rublev managed to score 15 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Andrey Rublev lost the serve 4 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Rublev put 60% of his first serves in, winning 77% (41/53) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (16/35) on the 2nd serve. Rublev broke Draper 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).

Rublev has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (352-195). 6-1 on clay in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rublev has an aggregate 87-55 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in in Marseille where he beat Felix Auger Aliassime in the final 7-5 7-6(4) and in in Dubai where he defeated Jiri Vesely in the final 6-3 6-4 and in in Belgrade where he defeated Novak Djokovic in the final 6-2 6-7(4) 6-0.

The Russian has a compiled 24-5 win-loss record in 2022, 6-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Madrid
Rublev's Record

Daniel Evans

Daniel Evans

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
188
High
21
LWWLWLLLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 22-25 8-10 6-7 1-3 7-5 0-0
2024 18-26 8-11 3-8 4-3 3-4 0-0
2023 19-27 11-15 5-7 2-2 1-3 0-0
2022 35-27 19-13 4-7 6-4 6-3 0-0
2021 27-24 12-11 6-6 3-4 6-3 0-0

Ranked no. 36, Evans got to the 3rd round after beating Federico Delbonis 6-3 6-4 and Roberto Bautista Agut 6-3 5-7 7-62.

In the 2nd round, The Brit defeated Bautista-Agut (6-3 5-7 7-62). During the match Evans scored 113 points vs Bautista-Agut’s 96. Daniel was very aggressive to blast 57 winners.

Talking about serving, Evans recorded 9 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Daniel Evans lost the serve twice and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Evans put 74% of his first serves in, winning 83% (57/69) of the points behind his 1st serve and 38% (9/24) on the 2nd serve. The Brit broke Bautista-Agut 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Evans has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

Daniel’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Sydney.

The Brit has a compiled 11-10 win-loss record in 2022, 3-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2021. See his history.

Madrid
Evans's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

A.Rublev
D.Evans
2h:19
2h:19
Time on court​
!
4h:34
4h:34
!
2h:19
2h:19
Last match​
!
2h:58
2h:58
1
1
Match played
!
2
2
30
30
Games Played​
53
53
3
3
Set played​​
5
5
102
102
Total points​
179
179
102
102
Avg point​
89.5
89.5
41
41
Winners
92
92
41
41
Avg Winners​
46
46
40%
40%
Ratio winners
51%
51%
-- Serve --
15
15
Aces
15
15
!
15
15
Avg Aces
7.5
7.5
2
2
Double Faults
2
2
2
2
Avg Double Faults
1
1
41/53
41/53
1st won total​
92/115
92/115
!
77%
77%
1st won %
!
80%
80%
16/35
16/35
2nd won total​
15/39
15/39
46%
46%
2nd won %
!
38%
38%
-- Break Points --
4/12
4/12
BP won
6/12
6/12
4/12
4/12
Avg BP won
3/6
3/6
33%
33%
Won
50%
50%
12
12
Conceded
10
10
12
12
Avg Conceded
5
5
4
4
Broken
3
3
4
4
Avg Broken
1.5
1.5
8
8
Saved
7
7

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Rublev Evans
Match played 1 2
Tot Set 3 5
Tot Games 30 53
Pts 102-94 179-148
Total Points 196 327
Winners 41 92
%Winners 40% 51%

Rublev played 1 match while Evans competed in 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Andrey Rublev surrendered 1 set, while Daniel Evans dropped 1 set. Rublev has played 2 set(s) less than Evans (3 vs 5). Therefore, Rublev played 23 games less than Evans. Rublev scored 41 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Daniel managed to score 92 winners (51%).

Serve Performance

Serve Rublev Evans
Aces 15 15
Avg per match 15 7.5
1st in 53/88 115/154
%1st in 60% 75%
1st pts 41/53 92/115
%1st pts 77% 80%
2nd pts 16/35 15/39
%2nd pts 46% 38%

Rublev managed to score 15 aces . Evans made 15 aces (7.5 per match). Rublev won 77% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Evans won 80% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 38% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Rublev Evans
Won 4 6
Converted 4/12 6/12
% Converted 33% 50%
Conceded 12 10
Saved 8 7
% Saved 67% 70%
Times Broken 4 3

The Russian broke his opponent 4 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Russian surrendered his serve 4 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Brit broke his opponents 6 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Brit conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.

Rublev
R2
Draper
Total
Score 2-6 6-4 7-5
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 30 30
pts 102-94 102-94
Total points 196 196
Winners 41 41
%Winners 40% 40%
SERVE
Aces 15 15
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 53/88 53/88
% 1st in 60% 60%
1st pts 41/53 41/53
% 1st pts 77% 77%
2nd pts 16/35 16/35
% 2nd pts 46% 46%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/12 4/12
Converted % 33% 33%
Conceded 12 12
Saved 8/12 8
Saved % 67% 67%
Times Broken 4 4
Evans
R1
Delbonis
R2
Bautista-Agut
Total
Score 6-3 6-4 6-3 5-7 7-62
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 19 34 53
pts 66-52 113-96 179-148
Total points 118 209 327
Winners 35 57 92
%Winners 53% 50% 51%
SERVE
Aces 6 9 15
Double Faults 1 1 2
1st in 46/61 69/93 115/154
% 1st in 75% 74% 75%
1st pts 35/46 57/69 92/115
% 1st pts 76% 83% 80%
2nd pts 6/15 9/24 15/39
% 2nd pts 40% 38% 38%
Breaks
Won 3 3 6
Converted 3/3 3/9 6/12
Converted % 100% 33% 50%
Conceded 2 8 10
Saved 1/2 6/8 7
Saved % 50% 75% 125%
Times Broken 1 2 3

Tennis Scores in Madrid

Upcoming matches in the draw